19bb, MP, AJs vs. EP RFI - river call or fold?

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19bb, MP, AJs vs. EP RFI - river call or fold?

Hello,

Villain is unknown as I have just arrived in this table.
What you think of this play on each line? Below my thoughts:

1) Preflop: with shallow stacks I prefer not to 3bet my hand against a UTG raiser
2) Flop: dry flop, I think villain is raising almost his entire range, but he will only call a reraise with hands that crush my hand
3) Turn: nothing changed, I choose to call to maintain the villain with a wide range
4) River: I think villain would c/c river with marginal made hands (J-x and low PP) and bet with cards that have me crushed (overpairs, 9-x) and some random bluffs. Therefore I opted to fold this hand

Do you agree with this read?

Thank you,


Poker Stars, $3 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 70 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players

Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.



SB: 5,499 (9.2 bb)

BB: 4,357 (7.3 bb)

UTG+1: 12,226 (20.4 bb)

UTG+2: 19,154 (31.9 bb)

MP1: 21,670 (36.1 bb)

MP2: 11,219 (18.7 bb)

Hero (MP3): 11,330 (18.9 bb)

CO: 4,227 (7 bb)

BTN: 6,126 (10.2 bb)



Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J A

UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 1,272, 2 folds, Hero calls 1,272, 4 folds



Flop: (4,074) J 9 9 (2 players)

UTG+2 bets 1,344, Hero calls 1,344



Turn: (6,762) 3 (2 players)

UTG+2 bets 2,975, Hero calls 2,975



River: (12,712) 6 (2 players)

UTG+2 bets 6,992, Hero ?


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