200NL FR bottom set facing turn jam

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200NL FR bottom set facing turn jam

Hero Raises TT to $6 from EP
Player to direct left calls $6 and seems TAG
CO calls and is playing 11/4 over small sample(FR, only been playing an hour, stats reset each session, anonymous
BB fish calls w $150

Flop TxQxAd rainbow
Pot = $25
BB checks
Hero bets $10
EP folds
CO calls
BB folds

Turn 8d
Pot = $45
Hero bets $35
CO goes all in for $148
Hero?

I dont have much info on villain other than he seems tight over a small sample.
If villain only flats KJs, he only needs 1.5 combos of AQ for us to call here. Although, if he has things like KJo, J9s, QQ, he needs closer to 9 combos of worse value hands.

If villain is flatting hands as weak as KJo though, he may also be overvaluing Top two in this situation, or even have hands like ATo occasionally, QTo, or QKdd, Q9dd, etc.

If he is overcalling J9s, and KJs exclusively, he needs roughly 3ish worse value combos for us to continue

Torn on weather or not we should be continuing here absent of a more clear picture of villain tendencies.

Thoughts?

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