Calculating minimum fold% on bluff raises

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Calculating minimum fold% on bluff raises

Im having trouble figuring out what % my bluff needs to get through on a bluff-raise postflop. I played this hand recently and realized I wasnt sure about this.

ATdd Hero is OOP OTT

Flop Q83dd

Turn Ks

There is $260 in the pot

Hero checks, IP bets $140, Hero c/r $430 all-in

So am I risking $430 to win $400 or am I risking $290 to win $540?

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