Is this game profitable?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Is this game profitable?

I have been invited to a private game where they either play 2.5/5 with a rake of 3.5% uncapped or 5/10 with a rake of 3% uncapped. Stacks are mostly pretty deep and players are bad. There are also jackpots paid for from the rake pool (any full house KK over JJ gets a high hand bonus), also there might be a rakeback deal possible if I play enough. The games are full ring 90% of the time, but sometimes game gets short and people continue playing.

Does this sound like a beatable structure? Looking at my online db, it seems like the average pot in a FR game t is ~18.5 bb, so at the 2.5/5 game that comes to an average of 3.24 /hand and at 5/10 it's 5.5/hand. So that's probably beatable because the local 3/5 game drops 5/hand except where there is no drop and the 5/10 is like 6/hand, and those are definitely beatable.

Am I missing something?

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