3stajl's avatar

3stajl

1 points

Hey Sam! I hope it is not too late.. ;)
On the first hand I was quite suprised PIO suggest to checkback as much as 76,62%. Then i saw (at least it seems like) you input OOP range as he would have 100% of his top range. Don't you think he would raise some of these or even limp/raise? This could change your cbetting strategy a bit.
Anyway great video!

Dec. 1, 2016 | 10:06 p.m.

#johnyarmless

Thank for your reply!
Suppose you meant 6 combos of TT or JJ (with spades). That would give 12 combos of worse value bets.
Additionaly I agree he shouldn't have JsTs (becouse he would probably stab OTF as a combo draw).
But if he would have so many worse value hands which i excluded before (maybe wronlgy) than it is value bet for me OTR and fold to a jam becouse i doubt he would bluff the river after my second bet when im not capped and still can have plenty of strong holdings.
I have to say as i think more about this hand i also think its quite unlikely that he would check FD OTF than call on paired board OTT and bluff OTR so this would make even bet/fold a better option OTR for me (and i would choose little bit lower sizing so i would lose less).

Nov. 28, 2016 | 12:57 p.m.

Hi, thanks for sharing your thoughts.
Ante was 400 ofc. fixed.
About Button: I agree this is quite important factor however i saw only one hand he played and it was prettty std. So no reads that he like to stab when checked to..
Maybe Dominik played with him before and know more than me..
i called and Dominik showed: 99 for a full house

Nov. 28, 2016 | 12:29 p.m.

Thanks guys for replies

I have to say i wasn't even thinkig to check/fold on the river. I know my line seems weak and i agree he would value bet TT and JJ and 98s, but not 87s.. i suppose you meant 98s (if he have it preflop). But do you really think he would check TT or JJ on the flop in 4 way pot?? In my opinion he could check 98 or T9 on the flop becouse he block hand that he can get value from. But like i said i wouldn't even give him 98s preflop. If i would give him 98s preflop and TT, JJ not betting the flop it would make it value bet for me OTR.
The most important factor is how often does he check JTs, TT, JJ, T9s, 99, 88 or broadway flush draws OTF. And i suppose i would like to know your guess on this question.
And still would like to know what would you call preflop on BB.
Multiway pots.. still most mysterious issue.. ;p

Greetings

Nov. 24, 2016 | 4:31 p.m.

Day 2 of IPT MALTA, about 200 players left, 153 paid

blinds 1500/3000, ante 400

I played on this table for about 1,5h and seemed pretty tight due to lack of cards and 2 biggest stack on my left.
Everyone have between 30-80 blinds.

Preflop:
UTG fold
UTG+1 - Stefan Jedlicka (acitive with the biggest stack on the table about 240k blinds) raise to 7000
MP1 fold
MP2 Dominik Panka call (with the stack of 98k)
HJ fold
CO fold
BTN (seemed ok with 180k) call
SB fold
BB - HERO about 115k - with Qh2h call

First of all would like to know what is your calling range in this spot on BB (and if it include Q2s couse now i think it could be a fold especially there is no weak player in the pot and it is quite close to the bubble). But even if it should be a fold would be grateful for thoughts on the river as played.

FLOP:
[ 9s 2d 8s ] (34,100)
everyone checked

TURN:
[ 9s 2d 8s 2c ] (34,100)

I bet 19k (i suppose i could bet little bit less but would like to hear your opinion on sizing also)
UTG+1 fold
Dominik Panka calls
BTN fold

RIVER:
[ 9s 2d 8s 2c 7c ] (72,100)

HERO check
Dominik Panka bets 38k

My thoughts:
I would value bet against player which i don't know much about or some weaker player. However i think Dominik has quite thight range calling MP2 with 33bb (and i think it would be something like 88-TT and suited broadways like T9s, JTs, QJs, KJs, KQs, AJs, AQs and maybe some AQo and QTs KTs so i don't see many hands i can get value from (3 combination of T9s) becouse i think he would bet TT OTF. Maybe it seems weird but i actually think my trips is more of bluffcatcher (against missed draws, assuming he check some of them OTF) and i loose to JTs (4 combinations and ocassionally 88-99 which checekd flop, but wouldn't give him too many of these (maye 1 combination of each, having in mind that he has only one player to act behind and and not so dry of a flop) so it would be 6 cominations of better hands.
The question is how often does he check the flop with FD with this stack size and how often does he bluff them OTR especially with this sizing? if he would check FD OTF half of the time and bet them OTR about 2/3 of the time it would be 2 combinations of missed FD and 6 combinations of better hands. if those assuptions would be correct i have +EV call.

Would like to know if you agree with this conclusion or maybe i missed something.

Thanks in advance guys

Nov. 20, 2016 | 12:37 a.m.

Nice video! Can't wait for turn! ;D

Nov. 19, 2016 | 10:42 p.m.

PS. I knew my cbet was bigger than standard on such a board but i was surprised it was so big and i did look once again on this hand in HM and find out the pot on the flop was 146k (after converting this hand there are no antes)

Oct. 17, 2013 | 11:09 a.m.

thank you very much for reply! :) I agree about the size of cbet - it could be smaller (and on such a dry board i usually make smaller cbet) but to be honest i wanted to make sure i won't convince myself that: " he raised my cbet becouse it looks weak" (and that is becouse i think at low stakes some weaker players make such assumptions sometimes). As said i did fold this hand.

Oct. 17, 2013 | 10:56 a.m.

Thanks for reply :) 

However i was first to act so i couldn't check behind. This hand is not complicated but is weird becouse if it would be a good player i think fold would be better becouse we need 28,8% equity and vs AJ+, 99 or AA we have about 13% but i don't think good player would shove flop with 99 or AA. And that is why i share this hand becouse i can't put him on preflop range well..

Oct. 11, 2013 | 6:47 p.m.

LJ: white_shahin: 279055
HJ: xerox206: 842798
CO: carmelo55: 87215
BN: adamo123: 560306
SB: madwinter000: 1653034
BB: busch_1992: 610744
UTG: flave tg: 281518
UTG1: 3stajl: 970400
UTG2: marlin5555: 182946
Preflop (27000) (9 Players)
3stajl was dealt T A
flave tg folds, 3stajl raises to 36000, marlin5555 folds, white_shahin calls 36000, xerox206 folds, carmelo55 folds, adamo123 folds, madwinter000 calls 27000, busch_1992 folds
Flop (126000) 5 9 A (3 Players)
madwinter000 checks, 3stajl bets 62150, white_shahin raises to 240805, and is all in, madwinter000 folds

Oct. 9, 2013 | 11:49 a.m.

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