Betman

Excellent! I'll watch all your videos.

1) Reason why 2 streets of geometrical size are better than one street all-in:
1.1 It fits more bluffing combos this way, so it realizes more equity. Hands that Bluffs in a GTO range are better for us than hands that checks giving up.
1.2 Our value combos will get called more often.

2) Possible reason why PIO still bets some TT on 2222 board.
To prevent from chopping against 99, 88 whenever a J, Q, K, A comes on the river. So the board 2222 needs less protection than 2223 but it still needs some protection.

This last hand TT betting big/shoving our entire range is awesome.

Even TT for thin value... a beautiful solution.

Great video. Cheers from Brazil :)

Yes, thought we were IP

Would you jam trips too?

"Always gonna be +EV" >>> but is it always gonna be better than check behind? Why?

When he bets for bluff a determined size, if you fold more than bet/(bet + pot), then his bluffs will be profitable. Example: he bets 50 in 100. If you fold more than 50/(50+100) = 33% of the time, he can exploit you by bluffing any2. In a pot sized bet, if you fold more than 50%, he can exploit you with bluffs.

So the best we can do is avoiding them to explore us bluffing any2. That means we will call the less amount possible. If he bets pot, we have to call the 50% best part of our range. If he bets 2xpot, we need to call the 60% best part and a size from pot to 2xpot, we need to call from 50% to 100%.

You can see that if you start with a very large range you might be in trouble. You'd have to call a lot of bad hands to avoid being exploited by bluffs.

You could even through a dice to do that. But again, doing that won't make you richer, it just might protect you against better or unknown players.

I really like his move OTR since your range is capped. You almost never have flushes and not even trips, I think.

But it's hard to explore him here... we don't know if he bluffs more than 1/3 of the time here and though you are right about many possible airs, he also has many value combos. Flushes, fulls, KJ and even trips could play this range since you will have a LOT of Tx there.

A way to play unexploitable here and don't lose money, you should be folding exactly half of your range. That would be all your PP and a few aces. You could choose your worse aces for that, sth like A2, A3 and A4...

If you want to explore him and make some money, you gotta figure out an estimative of how many combos he has of value and how many of bluffs he has. If he has more bluffs than half of combos of value, you have to call. Otherwise, fold. But I have no idea how his range would be like.

Aiden's idea seems nice on this spot. 1/3 is the perfect size for you to bluff (aiming to fold his missed draws) so he might call against 1/3 very often. Plus, you might not even get value shoving since you lose to 9 combos and beat not more than that.

I think I prefer folding river.
His size is like 2x the pot. You will have the Ah often enough to fold every time you don't have it and not worrying about being explored by bluffs,I think.
And I don't think he would have a lot of bluffs there. It will often be the Ah, too.

It's hard to say like that. If you could say which range do you open from which position and which do you 3bet/4bet and how you react to 3bets, I would give a few suggestions and start a discussion.

I think it's close, but a bit +EV. I think you beat around 40% of his range or a bit more OTT. That is a few AK and Ax bluffs. The other 60% would be AA, KK, QQ and very few AQ.

Fold turn seems more profitable to be. I can't see many floats flop apart from KJs and against this range you told - which is pretty reasonable - we just don't win enough.

It's too many blinds. If you have no info, it's totally fine to fold JJ. Not just because u r on the bottom of your range, but because any normal player will have AA, KK, and few combos of AK on his range in a way that you don't have a profitable call.

If you have any hint that he could be any crazy, I believe we should call with TT+ because he has more reasons to do this with bluffs than KK+. It's just a bad move to shove aces...

If you consider his range only JJ+ and AK it's a profitable call (u need to win 27% and he'd have JJ 28,5% of time). Taking the JJ off the range of the average 2table player on this river spot doesn't make much sense to me. I mean, some of them wouldn't bet, yes, but some would value light even with TT and bluff sometimes. It's a bit close, but I think the possibility of bluffs would incline us to call, u always have to put some combos of bluffs, I wouldn't be so much suprised if he shows 9Ts against your line and as you said, you're on top of your range, you almost never has QQ from his eyes.

This Overbet OTR in villain's eyes means flushes or air. Don't know if u'd bet that large with straight or less and if you are betting thin, u r probably folding to a raise.
So, what kind of spade flushes would u x/r flop? 85s, 67s? There are much more missed draws than value hands on your perceived range, I think.

Why wouldn't I? I post complicated hands that I'm not confident on what I'm doing and/or want other points of view. He had Ah2h.

Yes, I'd put draws on most part of combos. qsxs jsxs tsxs.. Villain was unknown, he could have a lot of things... Against some very specific players I could fold

about 100 hands.
I made some math for the turn, we'd need about at least 21% to call if we have hhs remaining stack OTR whenever a Q or a 9 appears. We have less than 18 and there is also a chance he doesn't stack river plus the small chance he has JJ, QQ.... seems clearly -EV

what kind of Ace do they have as they called turn? Only AJ and floats... quite rare. And even an ace would fold often enough. I need to win only 2 times in 3 this spot, u made the calculus or u r just sayin'?

It's NL25 Zoom

should never be afraid of sets?

It's NL25 Zoom