Btw I dunno how, but your odds oracle is showing 35% EQ vs a strong AA range but that is wrong. You actually don't get direct preflop odds - it is usually between 29-33%. Your exact hand has 31%. Smth like AKJQss has only 29%. So take caution with ss Axxx hands.
April 17, 2017 | 8:12 a.m.
You didn't use the right syntax.
K+ means all one pair K and better (TP, twopair, sets etc etc). Ass means any nfd hand (which is rly questionable)
I gave him flop cbetting range of every top pair and better (altho this is questionable), Qfd+ and oesd+ and wrap+.
For stackoff range I gave him toptwo+, TP with fd, nfd with any pair and I even gave him a wrap which is highly unlikely and we still fall short with needed EQ. So we cannot go broke ott.
As played I think we have a very easy fold on the flop. Our hand is very weak, we have no significant future blockers and no nut outs.
April 12, 2017 | 4:25 p.m.
Cool, so then you know that mp should be 3b at least 25% for you to come to a slight EQ push preflop. And like mentioned before, rake plays significant roll at these stakes and diminishes slight +EV moves all of the time.
March 7, 2017 | 11:19 a.m.
UTG 86/47 wit 60% EP rfi, he gets 3b by a reg that is surely 3b him a bit wider I gave him aprox 8% 3b ip.
F: spr is 0.6 we should have around 26-27% EQ to stackoff. Ingame I thought we have that.
Just want to check if I did an okay pj analysis.
I use only 50% rfi for whale, and 8% 3bip for reg. I have them going to the flop with 100% of their pf range.
Otf, I set up ranges that stack off:
I intentionally set up ranges a bit tighter. I am sure whale stacks off wider (at least KK also).
And we have 28% EQ vs that range. There surely is a margin for error somewhere. So it seems we are stacking with this hand otf?
Feb. 28, 2017 | 12:23 p.m.
Villain 37/18 4% 3b.
P:might be a bit loosish, CO doesn't 3b too much, BB overfolds to steal a bunch
F: std call with nfd
T: his T x range probably consists of some air but mostly of top pair AA kind of hands. I think I should bet probably halfpot here and set up river shove on certain runouts that overall favour my range or improve my hand. In game I obv fail to do so.
R: I am very low in my range, I think villain would bet his trips by now. I choose large sizing but in retrospect that makes little sense. I think halfpot to 2/3 should do.
-Would bet ott and like I said shove on decent rivers be an optimal line here?
-As played is there merit to try to bluff villain off AA here?
Overall I think I butchered this hand as well as I could :P
Feb. 28, 2017 | 11:59 a.m.
why is betting this flop a no brainer?
Feb. 28, 2017 | 11:46 a.m.
Feb. 25, 2017 | 1:28 p.m.
You are right, he should miss decent amount with his frq's. Did a quick RD in pj:
A)Q4+ = 13%
B)hh,AKJ+,KJ9+,KJ = 36%
C)* = 51%
This is just for quick reference.
About the second quote I don't know if you misread it or it was just miss quoted but I DIDN'T think we are doing well vs their gii range. We are gii vs a range of QT+ and rly strong draws that have decent EQ vs our hand.
So if we have decent FE vs UTG and SB range is very wide and weak(but player is passive and stationy) why am I choosing a large size otf? Doesn't that have an effect of "isolating" myself vs top of their ranges?
So right now flop check makes sense. Don't know how much we can utilize our bluff blockers also - Kh, two A, on certain board runouts. Would that skew the decision into bluffing?
Feb. 25, 2017 | 1:21 p.m.
UTG 38/25 with 32% EP rfi.
P: std sqz for value
F: It is a board that technically hits UTG's range pretty well. SB is way too wide. Spr is 1.7 and we need aprox 38% to go broke on this flop. If we get money in on this flop I don't think we are doing very well vs both of villains GII ranges. That is the reason I choose a smaller sizing, because there is still a lot of value to gain vs SB and if any of them shoves flop I think I have an easy fold.
T: Turn brings a pretty bad card, it improves a lot of his flop calling range. I decide to xb and mostly give up if I don't improve.
R: Changes nothing therefor I give up.
-How would you play this hand?
-What are your sizing post flop and reasons for it?
Feb. 24, 2017 | 4:52 p.m.
There is a poster.
Guy 3b 86/25 w 24% 3b -> cbets 5/5 srp, but pretty passive in 3b pots.
Cold caller 38/25.
With spr aprox 1.7 we need 38% EQ on avg to stack off on this flop.
First of all at this spr our hand seems to play horrible. With lower spr I think it is a snap donk shove.
I have no clear picture of who has the most advantage on this board. Yeah only CO can have AA combos but we block those and his range is insanely wide. LAG cold caller probably has decent amount of high card rundowns, high pairs, some good mid rundowns.
I guess with our hand we are doing well EQ wise vs CO range. I also expect BB to do some do some donking with top of his range so I can discount rly strong hands out of his range and we are doing well EQ also.
-Does it make sense to pot dnk on this flop vs such opponents? Our hand seems strong enough but needs protection, it sucks in playability.
Feb. 24, 2017 | 4:16 p.m.
CO 47/20 (15h), SB 82/30 (590h), BB 42/9 (35h)
P: std open
F: rly passive villain dnks, but we are still putting in money vs his stackoff range otf I guess
-With two players left to act, what are we accomplishing if we reraise otf? Seems that the continuing hands from CO and SB range fare
fairly well vs our "weak" top two.
-If I just call otf, am I folding on diamonds, K, J, 8?
Feb. 22, 2017 | 7:45 p.m.
P: looks to loose to me, you are pushing slightly over 51% EQ vs 27% rfi but that doesn't mean much because most of the time flop will be 3way. Hand is pretty but lacks in connectedness (gap in the mid and bottom) and it blocks nf card and 2nd nf card.
F: I think you are crushing this board so I like the bet. Villains shouldn't have too many 83+ and obv they don't have top set. I also like the betsize - I think this is absolutely not a spot where we are in a polarized spot or where our hand benefits from 3/4+ size.
T: I think I would just shove here. It is weird because I cannot find many hands that actually call, esp when the board pairs. I am actually open to small bet size too to keep their dominated range in and drawing hands also, but I would use 1/3 to not enable them correct pot odds.
Feb. 13, 2017 | 3:12 p.m.
Villain is 92/29 54h.
P: std 3b
F: I have an overpair with a gs and bdfd. I think vs two villains overcalling I still have a flop cbet for value.
T: He donks halfpot. This seems to me like a desperate attempt to draw cheaply sided with some marginal sd value. I also block the nuts. I would assume he would be potting if he wanted max fold eq with a monster draw. I don't know how much do I benefit from shoving here?
R: pretty bricky card. I would have folded on an any connecting 4card str8 card but here I decided to bluffcatch.
1.What is your turn thought process?
2.Should we bluffcatch R?
Feb. 12, 2017 | 5:48 p.m.
Villain a loose reg that doesn’t grasp preflop concepts too well.
P: looser open, could definitely find a fold here in a different scenario. But BTN and SB 3b rly narrow and BB is a fish.
F: cbet for value. Reg xr and his range here is QT, sets, wraps, pair+combodraw. He has all the wraps bcs his blind 3b is 1% over decent sample. I did an adhoc estimation with equilab and it seems we should call. I am not sure. Maybe a detailed range breakdown in PJ would show different results.
T: Turn gives us ridic amount of outs but also completes some of his draws. If we are not up against a set or higher fd we have 17 clear out. I decided to call based on that. Raising AI makes no sense. We have no FE and mostly we are putting in the money behind when he calls(and he alw cls imo). Could be that I am bit optimistic in this spot.
1.) Is flop a call vs his xr if his raising range is rly narrow as described?
2.) I was positive ingame turn is a call and I am wondering if anyone can prove different?
Jan. 9, 2017 | 7:30 p.m.
I would fold this hand pre. Reason being you hold first and second nutflush card. On top of that it is three to a suit and pretty disconnected.
As played it is fine. We cannot chase 2p outs that give us pretty bad visibility and hard decisions on later streets.
Jan. 9, 2017 | 11:50 a.m.
Guys limping are 70+ vpip passive whales. Villain raising is 45/17.
P: I am not completely sure here. We have a pretty good hand, but it will go mw most of the time and only quality it has is some sort of connectedness.
F: We flop a 13out wrap. Villain pot cbets and whale flats. We are usually up against a rly strong range here or at least we should be. I was thinking about shipping because of one guy overcalling but I don’t know which has the higher EV - peeling and stacking on decent turns or just stacking of. It didn't instinctively feel optimal. We are oop which makes our decision harder ott if we hit.
T: We pickup additional outs with our fd and we have sufficient EQ to stack off.
1. Can we stack our wrap otf?
2. When we call flop and hit T should we be donk shoving here?
Jan. 6, 2017 | 12:03 p.m.
Villain is 54/38 wit SB rfi of 60%.
F: An okay defend I believe
T: We pickup a fd to go along our oesd. So we call. I don't think raising is an option w/o any significant blockers?
R: River is a brick. And we are very low in our range. Can I bluff here profitably? I would have rare boat combos here like A7 or a very few 44. I'd probably fold 97 and raise 77 and 99 ott.
1. How to decide if bluff otr is good?
2. Pairing river cards intuitively feel bad for bluffing, but that should not be the case if we can rep hands viably, right?
Jan. 5, 2017 | 1:42 p.m.
Villain 34/20 with 11% 3b. He is bombing even in MP with 29%(14), probably a sample, but just to paint the picture that he probably 3b same wide range from all positions.
F: He xb so he is pretty much capping himself to medium weak hands or air.
T: We turn nuts with, nfd redraw, that is why I pot in this case, to charge his weaker fd’s or to freeroll him when we are splitting.
R: It was really hard to imagine how many boat combos can he have here. My instinct told me not many, because firstly he xb flop, we pot ott and we block many cards that would make his "2p+combo draw" ott a call. At the same time it is probably too thin to vbet for value anyway. We block clubs twice which is not the greatest thing.
A lot of gray area in my thinking here is created by his wide 3b %, I have no idea how he constructs his range and how weighted are some hands then postflop.
1. This river is to thin to vbet probably - b/f kinda makes little sense, right?
2. Is xc an option?
Jan. 5, 2017 | 1:28 p.m.
This is a 93/67 that is steaming because he lost a couple of stacks. Now he is 3b every hand and I would assume his 3b is well over 20%.
We are pushing marginal EQ here vs 20% 3b and are a small favourite. Vs a 30% range we are pushing good 54%.
Should I 3b this hand pre or call and play post – gotta consider flop will be mw if we flat and our hand can hit nuts only with a str8.
Dec. 30, 2016 | 3:19 p.m.
Vs a 99/47 w 50% 3b over 76h. Cbet F overall 95%. Cbet in 3b pot 90/100(4)/100(1)
P: Semi-connected hand 3 to a suite, not sure how good opening this wide is when there is a maniac with high 3b% in the blinds, but all in all I do want to play a lot of hands vs him so I decided open it.
F: Flop GS+FD. It already feels bad to call vs pot bet with weak draw but vs his tendencies I need to defend I think.
T: I pick up weak sd that doesn’t help + 2 extra outs for trips that are probably clean.
1.) Maybe pre is already a mistake.
2.) I am pretty torn between just calling flop or shoving otf, because of how wide he is. I expect some FE??
3.) As played I think I definitely have better hands ott, that could call and that don’t block his “bluffing cards”.