Forgot to ask if you would change anything after 50k hands in 'Regular' Population exploits 10NL ZOOM section?
Sept. 26, 2017 | 3:28 p.m.
Amazing! Everything was so nicely structured and executed rly well. You gave me huge inspiration to take similar action in my own game (-mass tabling). Rly loved it from post #1 till the end.
Congrats again, hope you do similar challenges as you move up the stakes! Cheers & GL!
Sept. 25, 2017 | 4:11 p.m.
60h on the villain, reg 25/20 10%(21) 3b. BU rfi 33%(3).
F: flop looks like the one i am doing a lot of betting for a small size. I have decent blockers to his J combos, and other two cards don't connect too much with his defending range. We can apply much pressure on T and R cards vs his middle pp calling.
T: turning tp, which means I am continuing to barrel with my hand for value.
R: I don't know what to do on this river. He has some backdoor flushes like JT, JK, J9 that beat me. Besides that he has some hands like A2s, A4s probably and some Jx to bluffcatch with. I need him to call very few worse hands. I also think he turns very little hands into bluff.
Tnhx for input.
Sept. 11, 2017 | 3:57 p.m.
Sup! I'm interested :)
July 11, 2017 | 2:45 p.m.
Btw I dunno how, but your odds oracle is showing 35% EQ vs a strong AA range but that is wrong. You actually don't get direct preflop odds - it is usually between 29-33%. Your exact hand has 31%. Smth like AKJQss has only 29%. So take caution with ss Axxx hands.
April 17, 2017 | 8:12 a.m.
You didn't use the right syntax.
K+ means all one pair K and better (TP, twopair, sets etc etc). Ass means any nfd hand (which is rly questionable)
I gave him flop cbetting range of every top pair and better (altho this is questionable), Qfd+ and oesd+ and wrap+.
For stackoff range I gave him toptwo+, TP with fd, nfd with any pair and I even gave him a wrap which is highly unlikely and we still fall short with needed EQ. So we cannot go broke ott.
As played I think we have a very easy fold on the flop. Our hand is very weak, we have no significant future blockers and no nut outs.
April 12, 2017 | 4:25 p.m.
Cool, so then you know that mp should be 3b at least 25% for you to come to a slight EQ push preflop. And like mentioned before, rake plays significant roll at these stakes and diminishes slight +EV moves all of the time.
March 7, 2017 | 11:19 a.m.
UTG 86/47 wit 60% EP rfi, he gets 3b by a reg that is surely 3b him a bit wider I gave him aprox 8% 3b ip.
F: spr is 0.6 we should have around 26-27% EQ to stackoff. Ingame I thought we have that.
Just want to check if I did an okay pj analysis.
I use only 50% rfi for whale, and 8% 3bip for reg. I have them going to the flop with 100% of their pf range.
Otf, I set up ranges that stack off:
I intentionally set up ranges a bit tighter. I am sure whale stacks off wider (at least KK also).
And we have 28% EQ vs that range. There surely is a margin for error somewhere. So it seems we are stacking with this hand otf?
Feb. 28, 2017 | 12:23 p.m.
Villain 37/18 4% 3b.
P:might be a bit loosish, CO doesn't 3b too much, BB overfolds to steal a bunch
F: std call with nfd
T: his T x range probably consists of some air but mostly of top pair AA kind of hands. I think I should bet probably halfpot here and set up river shove on certain runouts that overall favour my range or improve my hand. In game I obv fail to do so.
R: I am very low in my range, I think villain would bet his trips by now. I choose large sizing but in retrospect that makes little sense. I think halfpot to 2/3 should do.
-Would bet ott and like I said shove on decent rivers be an optimal line here?
-As played is there merit to try to bluff villain off AA here?
Overall I think I butchered this hand as well as I could :P
Feb. 28, 2017 | 11:59 a.m.
why is betting this flop a no brainer?
Feb. 28, 2017 | 11:46 a.m.
Feb. 25, 2017 | 1:28 p.m.
You are right, he should miss decent amount with his frq's. Did a quick RD in pj:
A)Q4+ = 13%
B)hh,AKJ+,KJ9+,KJ = 36%
C)* = 51%
This is just for quick reference.
About the second quote I don't know if you misread it or it was just miss quoted but I DIDN'T think we are doing well vs their gii range. We are gii vs a range of QT+ and rly strong draws that have decent EQ vs our hand.
So if we have decent FE vs UTG and SB range is very wide and weak(but player is passive and stationy) why am I choosing a large size otf? Doesn't that have an effect of "isolating" myself vs top of their ranges?
So right now flop check makes sense. Don't know how much we can utilize our bluff blockers also - Kh, two A, on certain board runouts. Would that skew the decision into bluffing?
Feb. 25, 2017 | 1:21 p.m.
UTG 38/25 with 32% EP rfi.
P: std sqz for value
F: It is a board that technically hits UTG's range pretty well. SB is way too wide. Spr is 1.7 and we need aprox 38% to go broke on this flop. If we get money in on this flop I don't think we are doing very well vs both of villains GII ranges. That is the reason I choose a smaller sizing, because there is still a lot of value to gain vs SB and if any of them shoves flop I think I have an easy fold.
T: Turn brings a pretty bad card, it improves a lot of his flop calling range. I decide to xb and mostly give up if I don't improve.
R: Changes nothing therefor I give up.
-How would you play this hand?
-What are your sizing post flop and reasons for it?
Feb. 24, 2017 | 4:52 p.m.
There is a poster.
Guy 3b 86/25 w 24% 3b -> cbets 5/5 srp, but pretty passive in 3b pots.
Cold caller 38/25.
With spr aprox 1.7 we need 38% EQ on avg to stack off on this flop.
First of all at this spr our hand seems to play horrible. With lower spr I think it is a snap donk shove.
I have no clear picture of who has the most advantage on this board. Yeah only CO can have AA combos but we block those and his range is insanely wide. LAG cold caller probably has decent amount of high card rundowns, high pairs, some good mid rundowns.
I guess with our hand we are doing well EQ wise vs CO range. I also expect BB to do some do some donking with top of his range so I can discount rly strong hands out of his range and we are doing well EQ also.
-Does it make sense to pot dnk on this flop vs such opponents? Our hand seems strong enough but needs protection, it sucks in playability.
Feb. 24, 2017 | 4:16 p.m.
CO 47/20 (15h), SB 82/30 (590h), BB 42/9 (35h)
P: std open
F: rly passive villain dnks, but we are still putting in money vs his stackoff range otf I guess
-With two players left to act, what are we accomplishing if we reraise otf? Seems that the continuing hands from CO and SB range fare
fairly well vs our "weak" top two.
-If I just call otf, am I folding on diamonds, K, J, 8?
Feb. 22, 2017 | 7:45 p.m.
P: looks to loose to me, you are pushing slightly over 51% EQ vs 27% rfi but that doesn't mean much because most of the time flop will be 3way. Hand is pretty but lacks in connectedness (gap in the mid and bottom) and it blocks nf card and 2nd nf card.
F: I think you are crushing this board so I like the bet. Villains shouldn't have too many 83+ and obv they don't have top set. I also like the betsize - I think this is absolutely not a spot where we are in a polarized spot or where our hand benefits from 3/4+ size.
T: I think I would just shove here. It is weird because I cannot find many hands that actually call, esp when the board pairs. I am actually open to small bet size too to keep their dominated range in and drawing hands also, but I would use 1/3 to not enable them correct pot odds.
Feb. 13, 2017 | 3:12 p.m.
Villain is 92/29 54h.
P: std 3b
F: I have an overpair with a gs and bdfd. I think vs two villains overcalling I still have a flop cbet for value.
T: He donks halfpot. This seems to me like a desperate attempt to draw cheaply sided with some marginal sd value. I also block the nuts. I would assume he would be potting if he wanted max fold eq with a monster draw. I don't know how much do I benefit from shoving here?
R: pretty bricky card. I would have folded on an any connecting 4card str8 card but here I decided to bluffcatch.
1.What is your turn thought process?
2.Should we bluffcatch R?
Feb. 12, 2017 | 5:48 p.m.
Villain a loose reg that doesn’t grasp preflop concepts too well.
P: looser open, could definitely find a fold here in a different scenario. But BTN and SB 3b rly narrow and BB is a fish.
F: cbet for value. Reg xr and his range here is QT, sets, wraps, pair+combodraw. He has all the wraps bcs his blind 3b is 1% over decent sample. I did an adhoc estimation with equilab and it seems we should call. I am not sure. Maybe a detailed range breakdown in PJ would show different results.
T: Turn gives us ridic amount of outs but also completes some of his draws. If we are not up against a set or higher fd we have 17 clear out. I decided to call based on that. Raising AI makes no sense. We have no FE and mostly we are putting in the money behind when he calls(and he alw cls imo). Could be that I am bit optimistic in this spot.
1.) Is flop a call vs his xr if his raising range is rly narrow as described?
2.) I was positive ingame turn is a call and I am wondering if anyone can prove different?