I thought the turn on one hand helps those hands that you mentioned, but on the other gives my range a good amount of fulls and some flushes alraedy, all of this hands in his range might not be so happy with getting in vs such a strong action. Would you get in with such hands?
April 11, 2015 | 9:04 a.m.
3bet from sb 14, vs BTN 13 (depolarized)
3betpot cbet: 44
fold to float in 3bet pot: 60
Good enough reason to bet, which was my plan originally
Working a bit on crev i extimated that even if he aims at a 3rd nut flush, a big portion of his hands are folding (60% roughly).
I extimated, even when he calls with the 3rd nut flush (TxTh) or better, he's still folding a very good amount of hands (60%).
Rake is $1.21
April 10, 2015 | 9:26 p.m.
Oh my bad then! woo it's an awesome graph then man!
April 2, 2015 | 2:30 p.m.
Hi! Gl for everything!
May i ask you what are those ev adj spikes in your graph? There are like 3 of them and they cover more than 60 stacks
April 1, 2015 | 8:49 a.m.
NL25 week 2
Guys i'm so proud of my self! In the beginning of the week i had an amazing tilt session and it wasnt good, i found myself 3betting almost atc really big for at least 1 hour and acting like a maniac, i'm a bit ashamed of it but i'm proud of coming clean. The day after i got my shit back together and started focus sessioning with 2 table zoom and constant note taking and it paid off.
Looking forward to the weeks coming since there will be holiday and i'll have a lot of time.
March 29, 2015 | 11:36 a.m.
There we go with a super cool update.
In the past 3 weeks i managed to play 10k hands each week, i know it's not a lot but i'm finding myself to be quite busy with university attendance, gym sessions and social life. On the bright side i have to say i studied a lot of theory and since i'm having decent results i might carve a bit of time from theory and dedicate it to playing, i'm thinking of switching the study/play ratios from 1/3 to something like 1/5 or 1/6, still have to decide.
Having a decent bankroll has driven me towards the NL25 level up, which, truth be said, i don't regret at all, since, exept from some new regular, the field looks exactly alike the one i left at NL10.
By the way here's my latest results:
NL10 Week 1 and 2
NL25 Week 1
You'll hear from me in a week, good luck at the tables!
March 22, 2015 | 5:13 p.m.
Hmm, isn't that an argument for XC then? I mean, if he floats X range vs a bet, and bets the same X range + maybe some bluffs, then XC seems better, no?
Actually there are a few things that i noticed, by betting and getting floated:
- We don't lose initiative
- We have an actual street to manipulate the size of the pot
- When we check the turn he's probably going to bet for protection / bluff
By betting you totally probably collect 2 bets, and eventually one on the river if you decide to bet it (it might look bluffy expecially when overcards and draws miss). By checking you:
- Hope that he bets, because he can manipulate his bet sizing and eventually pot control by checking and delaying his stab
- Are not sure if he's gonna bet 3 streets, as PhisyFishy pointed out a big part of his perceived value range is more likely to call 3 streets than bet 3 streets
- Balance a checking range that honestly i wouldnt have since on this flop your cbet is going to be super effective most likely
Don't you think that ranges in these positions aren't wide enough to make protection such a big concern?
On the contrary, i think ranges in these positions are so wide that your cbet should find such a big fold equity / value that you shouldnt have such a wide checking range.
Let me know your thoughts, glad to share some points of view
March 11, 2015 | 12:18 p.m.
What do you mean we don't have flushes when we check the turn? Are you donk leading turn every time you hit a flush there ?
I like the play, expecially since the guy is going for thin value. Since it seems that the guy is fishy you might consider going with a bigger size with your bluffs, just to get him off hands like two pair, I would bet 8 with like you did with big two pairs, sets and flushes because even if he should he's not folding two pair, and 11 or 12 or even 13/14 with bluffs since he's not likely to notice.
March 11, 2015 | 8:21 a.m.
I have a question mate, why would you have a checking range OOP on Qxx dry? I mean it's cool to balance and defend your X range and everything, but on this kind of flop I would rather defend my turn checking range when floated, and if you are sure that he's barreling 3 streets on this flop I guess there's a good chance he's gonna float you and bet almost every single turn when you check.
Moreover, all the hands he's betting when you check the flop, exept bluffs probably, are floating your cbet, and that's it, whereas on a Q67 or a A26ss board when you check the flop he's likely to fire all of his draws and his back doors.
I'm only making this point because on this flop for example I cbet a very big part of my range, therefore when I check TT on Q389 I really need a little portion of big hands to check with along.
What hands do you check flop with ?
March 11, 2015 | 8:12 a.m.
I'm gonna cut the crap:
- I've put my shit together
- I'm done with exams (for now)
- I'm back hitting the gym (Lefortaments watch upon me)
- I have a decent bankroll that i finally moved on stars to compete with good players
- I finally developed a solid game strategy and a solid mindset to give the best that i can at the tables
The plan is to move up with a normal bankroll management and to improve day by day by posting sessions and hands.
This is my first week, decent result but i could have played a lot more.
Hands i had trouble with:
Both hands are against unknown players with no history and low hands sample
That's all for today, i'll keep the thread as much updated as i can! Thanks for your time.
March 10, 2015 | 10:47 p.m.
We don't have many bluff combinations?
March 10, 2015 | 9:37 a.m.
March 10, 2015 | 9:36 a.m.
Can i? I mean most of the times with pocket pairs as far as i saw you bet for protection and to collect dead money. I see your point about position tho. Thanks
Feb. 2, 2015 | 3:13 p.m.
Hi guys! I'm watching so many videos and i can't help but notice that a lot of you are 3betting in position pocket pairs like 88,99 and TT vs recreational players. What's the reason behind that?
What i mean is that as far as my experience goes most of recreational players have a very low fold to 3bet, thus my first instinct would be to keep a fairly strong 3bet range and to flat pocket pairs in order to capitalize on my sets and sometimes overpairs. (and that's how i'm playing right now). Is the fact that they have a wide call to 3bet a good reason to widen up my 3bet for value range to pocket pairs like that? Is there really value there? Because as wide as it could be someone call to 3bets i don't really see my pocket T getting to face 9T or JT so often to justify such 3bet.
Another aspect of fishes that i noticed is that they are very stubborn postflop and where a decent player would fold a second pair to a double barrell, most of them would probably just call, making me feel really helpless when i'm holding 99 double barelling 23JKx and losing to JT in a 3bet pot. Another reason that makes me want to go back to my value oriented strategy.
Feb. 1, 2015 | 5:50 p.m.
It's time for an update!
January has been an awesome month so far, i managed to keep positive bb/100 despite the insanely high rake and i'm very happy about it. Including rakeback i've been winning 16 stacks which is decent, with the profits from last week of december ( when i began playing ) i'm up 20 stacks and i'm really happy about it.
There's an important change going on tho, since i'm tired of the poor software and the low quality of plays going on on that room i'm off switching to Pokerstars to play NL10 and try to climb levels, alongside studying all of the materials i got and become a decent player :)
Starting roll: 500
Current roll: 700
Can't wait to update you with my first NL10 Zoom hands! See you guys!
Jan. 21, 2015 | 12:31 p.m.
Thanks mate i'll follow your suggestions :)
Jan. 19, 2015 | 10:36 p.m.
There we go with another update. As always i feel that i'm improving day by day, i'm going on with the mathematics of poker and watching video series to become a better player :)
On the practicing side i had a pretty decent january so far, a few days ago i would have said that i had some good run and some bad run, but getting to understand now standard deviation and normal distribution i guess things are going even too normally to actually mention the word "run".
Here's the graph :)
From 1 Jan to 9 Jan
There is both some NL10 and NL5zoom, it's pretty much 50% - 50%. I'm trying to play vs as many opponent's types as possible :)
I'll see you on the next update!
Jan. 9, 2015 | 10:13 p.m.
I know that this is really complicate matter and that there is no quick fix, and i know that this is a noob question and that by asking i look stupid. I'm just searching for some valuable hints
So here's the deal, at my tables it's really often to find a guy that looks pretty much like this
Fold to 3bet 40
Fold to cbet 35 Fold to tcbet 50 etc..
You can imagine the other stats since i guess you get what kind of player we are talking about.
My first problem comes from the fact that, due being relatively new to the game, i have a very hard time evaluating their ranges because they are too big. Whithout any further information you might say that playing it's pretty easy, just fold whenever they show strenght. What i'm struggling with is that they show strenght in many different spots and i'm getting really confused.
They show strenght ( usually by minraising or potting)
- In the moment they hit 2 pair + BUT on the river aswell after maybe slowplaying regardlessly of the amount of free cards they give.
- On the river when they miss a draw
- On the flop when they hit marginal top pairs
- Whenever you are supposed to bet and you don't bet (this one is a nightmare for me) for example vs missed cbet and vs missed turn cbet.
I am making profit, but i feel like in this kind of pots i'm not winning enough and i don't have a solid strategy.
POSTFLOP: Sizeing bigger with my value range and smaller with my bluff/semibluff range
With my hyper strong value range i'm having no big difficulties but when i have hands like TPTK or OVERPAIR i'm getting in so many weird spots.
Which brings me to the biggest doubt i have at the moment, and it's about cbetting vs huge ranges with this kind of hands.
Every time i ask myself:
Do i want to get value from lower pairs and draws? Yes
Do i want to collect dead money from his folding range? Yes
Do i want tho to create a big pot when i don't want to play a big pot? No
Do i want, through creating a big pot, to give implied odds to tons of card to be able to call me and get value on the river? No
Do i want to bet big? So that i get paid a lot by drawing hands and random hands they just call because they are calling stations? Yes
Do i want to bet big? So that i valueown my self vs all his 2 pairs (Calling so wide they have two pairs combos on basically every single board) and sets that are already in the range? No
PREFLOP And i'm not even sure if i want to bet more preflop like 4bb+ to put them at disadvantage because
- I'm giving informations about the strenght of my hand to regulars
- I'm forcing them to adjust by folding the weakest hands in their range, and to play back with a stronger range. Let's say i have KJo, i suppose i don't want J4o to fold right? Why would i force them to play just KJ+ when i could face a wider range?
At the moment what i started doing with my vulnerable hits on the flop is
- Keeping my preflop sizes small
- Cbetting smaller and fewer times and check calling more
- Value betting only when i'm sure i'm valuebetting
By doing this i'm actually keeping the pot smaller and being passive which gives me these advantages
- I have more room to bluffcatch since their PSBs are going to be 10-15bb big instead of 30+
- I get easily to the river and to the showdown, causing my range advantage to actually realize his equity no matter what when i call river
- I put them in the condition of having to fire multiple barrels if they really want to get a fold from me, and what i noticed is that they are completely incapable of running a multiple street bluff. When i encounter multiple barrels i'm almost always sure i don't have the best hand
This small adjustment is also causing on the other side a lot of free/cheap turns to be given, which is both painful when my hand is vulnerable, but helpful for the draw portion of my ranges.
My river call efficiency at the moment is 1.53 (i don't know if it's too low because i'm not practical, i just added it so that you can evaluate better).
Thanks a lot guys and have a good week! :)
Jan. 7, 2015 | 3:29 p.m.
Amazing video. I already watched it once and you made me realize that there's so much i can learn.
First of all i'm amazed by the fact that you are playing so well and reasoning so smoothly without a hud.
I am kind of a new player so i believe my hud is getting me started in range thinking so it's not bad as it seems, but clearly the way you reason about ranges is so clean and pure that, when for example someone cbets and i instantly look at the cbetflop stats instead of reasoning like you do and when i make decisions purely based on those stupid numbers instead of having healthy thought processes, i'm kind of ashamed of myself.
I'm gonna first of all watch the video again, then in game i'm going to try to think straight, maybe playing few tables, and most of all i'll try to not let the HUD's presence pollute my game.
Thanks man keep up the good work.
Jan. 6, 2015 | 10:10 a.m.
And that's what i'm talking about. Sat down at 4 tables 5Max with COMPLETE fishes, some with VPIP over 60; payed attention to every hand, bet in the right spots, folded in the bad spots. That's the redline i want to have, along with the feeling when a session is over to be completely aware of every hand i played, and not be ashamed of any of them.
I can't really say i would be proud to show anyone some of the hands i played in the previous session where i spewed value everywhere.
These are the sessions i want to play. Time to sleep :)
Jan. 5, 2015 | 11:16 p.m.
Terrible session today. I feel so bad about it, like a dog who just dig a huge hole in the garden and now is sorry. It feels so weird but the moment i lose more are the one with the most fishes at the table.
Now i see the mistake but douring the session i couldnt. The thing is some fish made some horrible calls and yet won, and i realized something was wrong with my ranges, that were probably too wide just in those 3-4 spots, the point is i assumed my ranges where wrong entirely and started to nit up.
"How bad can it be to nit up vs fishes?"
I found out later in Hm that i was playing 16 13 7 (godwhy.jpg)
I did everything wrong. I kept opening 2x, 2,5x and such, i kept valuebetting too too too small, 3betting small, i ended up in tons of mutliway pots i didnt want to play, i adapted in the worst possible way.
The result has been a disaster. The showdown winnings has remained pretty much the same but the nonshowdown that i was loving so much dropped immediatly.
Today we discovered that when the field is full fish the answer is not to nit up but to learn to play small pots, and most importantly paying attention to every big blind you fold and making sure to extract the maximum value, always.
If tomorrow i'll face the same situation i'll make sure to keep an healthy VPIP and PFR, to keep a really really low 3bet and to focus as much as i can in every hand.
Even tho it has been a bad day i'm very happy for a few reason, the first is that i wisely played NL5 instead of 10 because i knew my game has lots of flaws and mistakes, playing a lower stakes gives me the opportunity to focus at my best on the efficiency of what i do instead of being worried about losing money.
In the end i am very proud of how i spent this 5 days and i realize that i'm learning a lot. Awesome :)
Jan. 5, 2015 | 6:26 p.m.
There we go with another day at NL5 zoom. A really good day, i feel like i'm improving so much day by day and i'm very happy. Started a lot of new videoseries aswell.
Useless to say that i'm seriously impressed by how my redline has changed over the course of just a few weeks. I'll see you tomorrow!
Jan. 4, 2015 | 11:46 p.m.
I just switched to ps, i'm enjoying the tougher field and studying a lot. I feel like in 2 days i've improved 10 timeso what i would have improved on the old poker room. Thanks for the hint man i really appreciate it.
Jan. 4, 2015 | 2:53 p.m.
MP: $3.79 (Hero)
CO wins $1.66
Rake is $0.09
Jan. 4, 2015 | 9:48 a.m.
Really important updates!
This morning i had a rough session and i realized a few things:
On the website i'm playing on there are a lot of bad aspects. First of all tables are 5max and very often people is sitting out randomly due the absence of a real time bank, what happens is that you find yourself playing with 60/10 guy's, paying a lot of rake and having to face continuously 4-3 handed tables with tons of multiway pots, where playing tight ranges is gonna kill you because of the amount of blinds that you pay.
Another key thing i noticed is that i always try to avoid spots where i'm required to 3 barrel bluff (sometimes even 2), and i find myself too many times trying to get a cheap showdowns whithout actually worrying about the image i'm giving and revealing the weakness of my hand, complietely ignoring ranges and stuff, i'm just too scared to continue even if i don't have any particular read on the fish.
Solving this two things at the same time i decided to move on pokerstars and switching down to NL5 for a bit. I need all of it. I need 6 seats instead of 5, i need that awesome software, i need the timebank, i need resonable rake, i need to get to know regulars and adapt to different kind of them, i need the lower stake to be confident with my complicate hands that require a little more action and thinking.
This is the graph of 1,2 and 3 Jan on my poker room at NL10
And this is the graph of today at NL5 Zoom on Pokerstars
I know. I said that i would have ignored the ev line this year, but when i finish the session i'm always kind of curious to check it out.. I feel stupid because of this. I still have to stop watching the profits douring a session, i'll start working on that first; when that bad habit will be eradicated i'll work on the "check the ev line" thing i promise. :)