Andreas Nyberg's avatar

Andreas Nyberg

65 points

Phil, we all wish you great success and we are sure you are giving your best to make it a fair site.
I still think this is a very interesting idea, it was posted on 2+2 forums:
"I wonder if it is not possible to make encrypted hand histories and sell the encryption to only those who want to offer a HUD on RIO. This way one could avoid datamining and limit the HUD like stars does. Additionally the HUD could be forced to only show stats from non observed hand histories, practically only to show the stats where Hero participated. Alternatively or additionally the trackers could also prevent observed RIO hand histories from being imported."

BTW: One could also limit the number of stats being displayed.

May 4, 2018 | 9:01 a.m.

Thank you Leszek, I did learn a lot from your vids.
@14 Betting KTT4 with Top Pair and weak flushdraw on Ks7s5c is imo not a clear bet. It is one of those hands which really depend on villains style. I think the less villain raises and the wider villain calls ∼ [R5% C60% F35%] -> better to cbet (becomes more of a value bet). The more villain raises the tighter villain calls ∼ [R14% C40% F46%] -> better to check (too often we run to higher flushes, TPTK etc. while the folding range should not have more than 15% equity). Even vs a tight calling range [R5% C49% F46%] it seems to me that betting might not be good at all especially the tighter the preflop range should be.

Jan. 13, 2018 | 5:41 a.m.

Comment | Andreas Nyberg commented on Session Review

Raise Folding QJ seems to be a matter of bet/raise sizing. When BTN bets small 33% Pio apparently suggests a protection raise as long as pio doesn't feel pot committed. So changing Cbet size to 75% pio will not raise (@Bet66 and Raise45 it already raises only 20% of the time) and changing raise size to 75% pio will also not raise.
Pio makes always sense, somehow.

Jan. 13, 2018 | 4:54 a.m.

I have played only 2k Hands. Using Piosolver and watching ofc Rio Vids. But it is really difficult to put people on a range (25NL):
For example I 3bet AKo vs a some what looser RWPC range. Flop comes JhTh5s (SPR4.5). I have AK and cbet and get called turn is 3s. I thought good card to ship as I had no hearts. But I also was thinking: does he 4bet TT+, does he 4 bet all AA/AKo combos? If so how often? Does he raise TT and at least some JJ on the flop? Does he raise sometimes AJ on the flop? The limper (UTG) was a 20/7/2 player: How tight/wide is his Iso raise vs a tight limper?
What I mean is: The preflop range already has a huge impact in NL not to speak of post flop strategy. In PLO you have somehow always equity. But here you are often way way behind, way way ahead.
Another spot was a 3 way pot: I have Top 2 also on JT5s. Flatted CO vs a tight UTG range (14%) and a very tight (12/5/0 ofc small sample 70hands) player flats on the button. UTG checks, I bet 3/4 and BTN raises 3x. I timed out (lol). The main question was: Does he preflop flat AA,KK,QQ and raises flop 3 way IP when my flatting range contains lots of TT/55/JT?

BTW: if there is a skype group looking for an active new member, than just pm me.

Jan. 2, 2018 | 6:48 a.m.

Different reasons can lead to high WWSF. One important reason could be calling too many raises. When your WWSF is over 50 and AF lower than 3 than you might not be too bluffy at all but you might be a station. Important stats are: Fold to Cbet, Fold Cbet to raise, Cbet (all for F/T/R). You still can have a high W$SD when you fold the river/turn often because you get there with too many weak hands.
Simply put: You probably bet and/or call too often on Flop/Turn

Dec. 20, 2017 | 10:02 a.m.

Let me make it easier:
If we are going to semi bluff raise light with hands with which we could call, out of the ranges that we chose to raise some of the time, do we semi bluff raise the stronger part and call with the weaker part or do we raise the weaker part and call with the stronger part.
Another example:
Someone cbets 80% plus and we have the second nut flushdraw + a non nut gutshot on Q76s. When we chose to light semibluff raise this hand some of the time, should we do it with the stronger part (backdoors/overcards) or with the weaker part?
Qh7s6h
A) AsKh5s3h
B) KhJc5c3h

April 21, 2017 | 3:16 a.m.

1) Villain cbets too often
2) balancing turn range when raising
For example on Q76s when I want to XR 20% of my bare nutflushdraws and fold to 3 bet because villains 3 betting range is too heavy and we are deeper. Should I do it with the stronger NFD's or with the weakest? Or lets say some bare second nutflushdraws and fold to reraise.
BTW: TOP pair + OE I called semi bluff, I should have mentioned that all flops are suited.

April 19, 2017 | 6:06 p.m.

A) We want to sometimes bluff x-raise and fold to 3 bet
which hand do we rather bluff raise
Top pair + backdoors/overcards
or
Weak Top pair
B) We want to sometimes semi bluff x-raise and fold to 3 bet
which hand do we rather semi bluff raise
Top pair + Nut openender + backdoors/overcards
or
Weakest Top pair + Nut openender
C) We want to sometimes semi bluff x-raise and fold to 3 bet
nut flush draw with backdoors/overcards
or weakest nutflushdraws

Important is of course the reason behind our decision.

April 19, 2017 | 8:45 a.m.

Just wanted to ask the same thing. Tommy is good at theory but unfortunately somewhat unreliable. Part 1, part 1 , part 1 and where is the rest?

March 11, 2017 | 6:22 p.m.

Post | Andreas Nyberg posted in PLO: River Fold GTO question

I have a notecaddy note for river fold. It is only filtered on the river: River is heads up and bet size is at least 66% of the pot. Now the player pool average shows 66% fold. Isn't this way too high?
Two questions:
If it were nearly GTO shouldn't it be somewhere between 40-55?
@ which % would you consider someone folding too often and @ which % would you consider someone folding too rarely?

Feb. 21, 2017 | 3:30 p.m.

I have attached an image of the last 20 times I did cbet turn and fold to raise. I hope such a thread will be useful for everyone. I didn't pick any hands to avoid self censorship and bias. Your opinion and participation is very appreciated.
All hands are from Pokerstars Zoom 25 and in single raised pots. My barreling/cbet stats in HU pots are: F76/T54/R45

Dec. 9, 2016 | 10:27 a.m.

interested in all of them but I would like to see one series finished than the next one
the way you are doing it it takes very long till one has enough understanding for any of them

Dec. 4, 2016 | 4:32 p.m.

Is Hero's preflop play standard?

Dec. 1, 2016 | 5:51 p.m.

These vids are not elite stuff. Nice videos and for sure lots of work but not elite stuff.

Oct. 20, 2016 | 7:57 p.m.

Hand History | Andreas Nyberg posted in PLO: PLO100 Zoom: Bad 3barrel bluff?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $61.86
SB: $104.22
BB: $50.00
UTG: $160.69
MP: $32.88
CO: $157.85 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is CO with Q K T 8
UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, Hero raises to $5.25, 3 folds, UTG calls $3.75
Flop ($11.25) 9 7 3
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.00, UTG calls $6.00
Turn ($23.25) 9 7 3 4
UTG checks, Hero bets $15.00, UTG calls $15.00
River ($53.25) 9 7 3 4 2
UTG checks, Hero bets $24.00, UTG calls $24.00

Feb. 16, 2015 | 8:23 p.m.

I agree, you play to tight preflop, there was like 10-20 spots where you should steal that you folded.

Jan. 5, 2015 | 11:35 a.m.

Jan. 2, 2015 | 2:06 a.m.

Mcdonkeyplo @ skype PLO50-PLO100

Dec. 7, 2014 | 5:41 p.m.

With Pokertracker you are allowed to mine up to 30 hands on stars, so it would be helpful to have observed hands working, sometimes they are very interesting. You just need to remove (under the *** HOLE CARDS ***) 'Dealt to xxx [3s 9s Th 7c]'  and you have an observed hand history.

June 1, 2014 | 1:33 p.m.

Very nice, ty. Its only that PJ doesn't work with observed hands anymore. It only shows initializing. Kinda doesn't work without Hero in HH.

May 31, 2014 | 1:03 p.m.

How about adding '-' to range construction: like flop 982 and QJ- meaning any gut shot? For analyzing different part of a range, this would be very useful.

May 22, 2014 | 9:55 a.m.

Phil, You did never come back to answer the questions. Just a reminder!

May 22, 2014 | 9:48 a.m.

Often in these spots i find myself starring in to a set or "at worst" AKcxcx, since we never GII good here i'd just fold, there are alot better spots to GII with a shit load more EQ then these spots.


May 19, 2014 | 3:40 p.m.

I think the last 10 videos has been Zoom PLO, i would love to see something else then  Zoom videos . HH reviews, live session watching someone else play, HU PLO  anything but ZOOM


May 19, 2014 | 9:59 a.m.

Vs this kind of opponent, I cbet here my whole range on the small size. I think it is very difficult to defend properly vs a balanced small cbet (1/2 or 1/3) oop on boards like this. When he raises and we don't reraise our bare straights, our calling range will have a good balance on all the different turn textures. If he calls, we decide how the turn plays out.

May 12, 2014 | 3:08 p.m.

I like your video a lot, and it is very nice to see that you don't talk about things which are not conform with the topic, still i think an elite video should be more advanced. And I have lots of questions:

the main question is: on most boards, we don't find enough hands which will protect our betting range, when we should strengthen our checking range. To make it simple: Most of the time when I put hands into my checking range, it hurts more the betting range than it helps the checking range. This leads me to the conclusion on some boards I have to fight back thinner instead of strengthening my checking range and on some boards I have to check nearly all of my range. Of course if someone goes out of line and is too aggressive (bets a lot) when checked to than it is easy to strengthen the checking range but as long as someone is medium aggressive, I still think that weakening the betting range harms more than helps.

Now to the hand examples:

@18 with AQ9 on AQ9s vs a passive raiser, I think I can find a fold, what do you think how much our equity vs the raising range of a passive player is and what do you think what is his raising range on this board vs a 3 bettor? We need 40% vs his range, but if he is not raising any Ass, we don't have more than 35, do we?

@24 villain raises a lot: your actual hand, although vulnerable to higher two pair draws, still looks like a very good hand to call a raise and see a non diamond turn (we have also higher two pair outs and a nutbackdoorflushdraw). I think his range is loaded with lots of flushdraws and he will make more mistakes on the turn than we will. A disadvantage is ofc that we are oop. But with no straights possible on the turn. A call and lead turn or a call and check raise turn seems to be better than get it in now, where he cannot make any mistakes vs our actual hand on the flop (in position I think it is a clear call).

@27 Your check calling range seems to be so heavy in Pot Control hands which come with a backdoor flush and surely not with the nutflushdraw. Given that I think a lower flush you would not donk on the river, I guess calling there with a straight is not bad. At least in his shoes, I would have difficulties to fold too. Would you please explain what our leading range on the river looks like? With SPR 0.5 are we leading there any flush? I see you turning lots of Top pair hands into a bluff.

@33:55 villain raises a lot and you say that when we bet and he calls, we will have difficulties to bluff flush turns, but his raising range (especially without the nutflushblocker is very unpolarized on this board texture) contains so many flushdraws, which makes his calling range so weak on the spade turns, and I think vs a guy who raises a lot, we should not check our Nutflushdraws. I think (at least if his 50% stab range should be more polarized here than his raising range) we still should bet and not go for a ckraise. Our check raising range is so heavy in Nutflushdraws that he should stab here more polarized when checked to (I would bet here small and more polarized, surely checking back some flushes). --> I think the way you played it is better than your recommendation at 100BB stacksize (in the actual hand you are deeper, so checking might be better).

My comments are just for the sake of some discussion and thank you for a very nice Video.




May 11, 2014 | 2:53 p.m.

Yes you should barrel the turn since only a gutshot completes OTT, gross spot when he raises us  but i think we got to much eq to fold.

May 10, 2014 | 6:34 p.m.

Comment | Andreas Nyberg commented on luxury problem

If we just call we invite the K+A high flushdraw to come along witch would be bad for us , if we are going with the hand raising is better i think , make a bare nfd fold so our fd is live.

May 10, 2014 | 6:12 p.m.

Jam turn , if he had a made hand JJxx 88xx he would raise bigger OTF to charge the draws, also i think he just pots the turn with sets not bet 2/3 pot.

May 10, 2014 | 6:02 p.m.

Comment | Andreas Nyberg commented on luxury problem

Our hand looks strong but our wrap is only drawing to 3 nutouts (8's) .UTG potting in 4people should set of some alarmbells , sets and AKQdd , dont think he pots bare NFD. Gross spot for sure... since i think he's not  pot/folding i would fold cause playing a 400bb pot with 20-30% equity sure sucks 


May 9, 2014 | 9:06 a.m.

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