JJ+ should be 5bet in these positions^^
and him trapping AA-QQ shouldn't even be a consideration without a read, because it's just much better EV wise and strategy wise to 5bet those hands.
I could see people calling the 4b with TT-88 though and some KQ QJs JTs type hands.
March 10, 2017 | 7:30 a.m.
Appearantly my equity drastically increses from 20% (absolutely no air in his range) to 40% (KJ added in his range)....
But I gave him stuff like J9s and Q9s in the range where I had 20% equity which should be flats but since a onetabler I need to give him some 9x but at the same time a bit of randomness...
March 10, 2017 | 6:15 a.m.
SB: $214.04 (Hero)
March 9, 2017 | 9 p.m.
UTG: $225.29 (Hero)
Rake is $2.75
March 8, 2017 | 8:57 p.m.
ya I'm thinking like 200z until I lose 1k and then PLO100 until maybe 5k$ and then drop down to 50z. Just wanted a confirmation that my bankrollmanagment is not too aggressive here because I heard of people that recommend 200-300 buyins for PLO.
And I'm not 100% confident that I can beat PLO200 ^.^ ... haha maybe I should better play PLO100?
March 7, 2017 | 9:17 a.m.
UTG: $217.40 (Hero)
March 7, 2017 | 8:05 a.m.
We need to defend our checkingrange on this Turn.
KQs is a good hand to check/call, agree. However betting it at a small frequency probably gains EV because it's good for our range if we can make the nuts on a King river.
AA is also good to trap on the Turn because we block the hand that is most likely to pay us off (AQ) and vs hands like QJ or even KQ we only have 2 streets anyway so might just as well go bet/check/bet. Also if we check villain is still going to bet AQ so we are not going to lose value (could make sense to even check/raise AA sometimes mixed in with some weak FDs that didn't want to bet turn).
On the river you have a bluffcatcher but your hand is underrepped, you're getting good odds and he doesn't have you beat often (some AQ combos (but he is obv gonna bet AQ often OTT), QJs, JJ). So this is a mandatory call.
However in the end the EV of the call is mainly determined by his bluffing frequency. If he doesn't bluff often enough then this is a losing call. I can imagine lots of players are going to bet their flushdraws OTT to your check meaning that they will end up with few busted flushdraws, but if he was passive he can still have plenty of busted flushdraws here. But then again passive players don't bluff enough.
But nonetheless, the check/call on the river is never terrible so you're not doing much wrong if you always check/call river (based on my calculations it's the GTO way to play here).
So just call and if you see that villain deviates too hard from the equilibrium (meaning he isn't bluffing enough OTR) you should always fold this hand (well maybe not always because this will teach him to change his ways).
March 4, 2017 | 2:15 a.m.
I think I like betting 2$ on the flop and shoving any turn.
As played your betsizing on the turn is a bit weird but it shouldn't make that much of a difference. River you should just bet yourself since it's a negative freeroll if you check/call.
But as played it's really ugly on the river. I don't think we are ahead often on the river after he bets since there are no draws on the flop and QQ and JJ probably fold turn or checkbehind river if they called turn.
But there is a good chance that he plays AK or maybe even KQs this way so I think just because of splitting possibilities we have to call river.
March 2, 2017 | 1:23 a.m.
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
March 1, 2017 | 5:29 p.m.
Feb. 28, 2017 | 2:06 a.m.
Humm I think ATo is too lose for squeeze because it doesn't play well postflop. Just a call pre imo.
As played KQx should connect pretty well with his strong range so I don't feel good with betting. Feels like we need at least JT or something like AJ with J of spades to bet flop.
Feb. 27, 2017 | 6:46 p.m.
AK will mostly bet Turn but if he has KQs, KJs or QQ JJ people would very often checkbehind Turn and bet River with QQ or better so I wouldn't say that we are always good. Of course we are sometimes good on the river.
Feb. 27, 2017 | 5:40 p.m.
BB: $26.70 (Hero)
Rake is $0.32
Feb. 27, 2017 | 4:48 p.m.
SB lost and shows three of a kind, Kings.
BN wins $48.25
Rake is $2.00
Feb. 27, 2017 | 1:09 p.m.
Cbet 2/3 on the flop.
As played I'm calling flop but without the backdoorflushdraw I'm folding as well.
Your plan with the call is to hit and play according to odds and outs. Tricky card is when you hit the King on the Turn but if he bets big enough on the King we should fold.
But I'm expecting he is making betsizing mistakes if we hit our flushdraw on the turn and that he is too undisciplined to fold his Set or whatever if we hit our flush so these factors considered+ the good price your getting + gutshot makes it a call for me.
Feb. 27, 2017 | 12:44 p.m.
MP+1: $33.09 (Hero)
Feb. 27, 2017 | 12:29 p.m.
Folding to the raise can't be too bad but I think your doing yourself a favor if you bet the flop like 55% pot with these stack sizes.
Your going to be in a world of hurt if you use small sizes on the flop and say a 6 7 8 9 T 5 4 comes on the turn and you get raised. So you really want him to play more honest here --> big sizing acomplishes that.