Hans Wurst

Depends on a few more variables like Hands played and standard deviation.
You can try this yourself:
http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/
just add in the numbers.

Yep, if he is bluffing way too much it's still better to call and let him barrel off with all his bluffs. If he bluffs and improved then that's unlucky but still better than raising and potentially making him fold a bluff.

I' not sure what your background is but to me it seems as if you might have been playing nlhe a bit.
In FLHE most of the check behinds will happen if you openraise on the button and get a lowcard Flop whichs hits BBs Range way better than Heros.
to balance I check behind hands which are not strong enough to 3bet the Turn against a TUrnx/r since I don't loose value compared to betting the Flop.

I think on most wet Boards the PFA has an advantage (except Low-Card Boards).
Maybe it's easier if you give an example.

I copy an answer of RunLikePanda from a year ago:

"checking back the right hands is quite tough, it depends a lot on the board texture and on RangevsRange. But yes on avg the the checking ranges are to weak of most people."

Just a small Update

I probably won't be able to play tomorrow so I want to sum up this month.
in Total I played around 13k hands. Where half of them were NL and the other half was FLHE since the games were pretty good and I think there is still more EV for me than in NLHE.

I'm still struggeling with a lot of the ranges in NLHE and therefore still Vbetting way to thin I guess.

And I just seem to enjoy FLHE more since there is more action and you can show down way more :D
So I think I will be focussing on FLHE again and see if I want to get back to NLHE in the future :)

Good Luck to all of you, wish you good hands.

Short Update
Since the beginning I lost around 7,5 Stacks.in nearly 6k hands.
However my Game improved and I will be putting in more work during next week.

My Goals for the coming week is to watch 1 Replay of my Game and 4 Videos of RIO Coaches.
Additionally I want to clear the Jacks+ Challenge every Day which should be no problem at all.
During the weekdays I will be playing NL20z only and on weekends I will also add NL25z.
Lastly I want to post 10 HH in the forum.

Have a nice Week and GL at the tables.

Thanks a lot for your long reply Litro. This was indeed very helpful!

Maybe Iformulated orotection badly. I just wanted to say that in case SB has sth like Gutter or OESD it would be good for my hand to charge him in case My hand is ahead of BBs range. Thats what I ment with protection.

Also what I forgot to mention I though that since Villains Stack is short he is most likely a bad player and might be holding hands which should not be betting in the first place and also call too lightly.

Against a fullstack I think a call is clearly better.

I just came until minute 20.

Here are some remarks from me. Maybe these are helpful or it may start a discussion :)
Table 1 is top left, Table 2 Top richgt, Table 3 bottom left, Table 4 bottom right

1:10 AQc Table 4
I don’t see a reason my your range should not be betting small on this flop. Like 1/3 maybe

1:40 A8h OTT I this you can bet this Turn after the check through.Maybe you shouldthe follow up on the river to get a better Axt o fold. But I prefer the bet over a x/c

02:38 QJo Table 4: I think a give up is better on the Turn since Ax might call the Turn

04:20 Table 2 AKo why do you 3bet so small?

08:00 Table 4
Q5o I would be tempted to call the River since I think his line does not make that much sense.

08:25 Table 1
I don’t like the way you played KQc here. I think I would prefer a cold4bet. And I also think the Flopcall is too loose.

10:00 Table 4 QTo I would raise it up preflop

10:30 KTO I think that’s a neasy fold on the River since all draws hit OTR

12:45 Table 4 I’m not sure if I like the Flop Cbet and also the Turnbet

16:40 table 3 I think a FLopdonk AI might be best since you will stack off agaisnt all better hands but might get called from Ak, or sth like this plus FDs or PPs

Thanks for your help, guys :)

Yep you're right, I confused it with the SB.
Thanks. Good luck to you too.
Yes I play on Stars most often. If you want we can exchange Screennames per PM.

My assumptions might be way off. I'm pretty new and therefore still struggling with the ranges :)

Thanks for posting your assumptions about calling ranges.

Yeah I also felt weird having a hard time even if I flopped top pair.

@Nick: You say that Villains Hand is face up. What do you think he has? Only QQ+ or even KK+?
Do you think AK is Preflop in Villains Range? If so do you think that Villains like this will check behind the Flop with AK always?

I know that Villains Line is very strong. But even if Villain has a Range of QQ+,AKs (or KK+,AK) I have around 24% which is a bit more than the required 22%.
Do you think that this is not enough because of reverse implied odds?

I like your Line with the Ac, Since I think a lot of Acx will bet the Flop and check the Turn. The 1/3 pot bet on the flop looks pretty weak and in conjunction with the turn check looks like a FD. There might be K9c-K6c (3 combos), J8c, 98c and 87c prob which are around 6 combos.
J9c would prob bet the turn aswell.
So you're getting 2/5,5 and therefore Villain needs to bluff at least 2 combos which is pretty likely imo.

I like a valuebet with Tx with a kicker higher than J for Villain since you have most likely a T at most.
You loose to A6s (2 combos), 88 (3 combos), ATs (2combos), KTs(2combos), QTs(2combos) Q9s (2 combos, Qs9s would probably have bet the River) and 97s (2combos). Total 15 combos
However you can win against A^ FDs and also split against Tx (which probably x behind the River).
You're getting 2,2/6,68 which means 34%. So VIllain has to bluff at least 7,5 --> 8 bluffcombos for the call to be good. Which means if he bluffs KQh, 98h, K9h, and five other bluffs the call is +EV.

I think this is likely therefore I like your play.

Do you always 3bet to 11b pre? Before you did the same against a 3bb or from Bu and now you do this against a 3,5 or from MP2. I would 3bet bigger this time.

I have similar problems on the Turn, but would play it the same way against a minraise. I don't think you have a lot of FE if you shove it and your EQ is also not great.

I don't see a pair folding with since Villain is pretty short. Against a full stack i would have like this play better.

I can see myself doing this play aswell with the same reasoning, but be aware that some players will use this sizing to get you to raise the River. But as far as you don't know that I like your play

I also dislike this kind of hands...
I like the way you played the hand. I would have 3bet to 10bb preflop but I thats onnly a minor concern.
I like the fold ott since you might have only a few outs and also you might be improving on the river and loose even more on a 5 or T vs QT or Tx which are quite a few combos.

The problem is you're not repping much. What hand would you play like this? 99 and QdJd, KdJd, KdQd and AdKd and maybe T9s. Meaning you're holding 6:4 Madehands vs semibluffs
However Villain can hold slowplays like AA,KK,QQ and JJ and also might hold T7s, T9s plus the Flushdraws. But for me it's hard to put him on a range, so I prefer to get it in since I'm not sure weather I should bluff or not unimproved on the River.

WHat do you think is VIllains most likely holding?

You need to have 35% EQ against his Range (3,9/11,1). So if you think he's shoving wider than JJ+,AQs+,AK, then you should call, otherwise fold.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.70% 28.81% 4.88% { AsQs }
BB 66.30% 61.42% 4.88% { KK, JJ, AdAh, AdAc, AhAc, QdQh, QdQc, QhQc, AQs, AdKd, AhKh, AcKc, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs }

Since he's short and you don't know him I think you can get away with a call, but it's close.Since he seems to not call that much preflop.