mck5030

Here's a hand that I had the other day that I'd like some input on.

Underground NYC cash game. Lots of fish, villain is a decently good TAG reg, capable of bluffs, seemed to be getting drunk. Usual open for this game is $20-25. Just looking for feedback on the hand and my thought process of breaking it all down.

Villain is Dealer
Hero is BB

Folded around to Villain

Seat 1: Seat 1 ($200)
Seat 2: Seat 2 ($200)
Seat 3: Villain ($1500)
Seat 4: Seat 4 ($200)
Seat 5: Hero ($1500)
Seat 6: Seat 6 ($200)
Seat 7: Seat 7 ($200)
Seat 8: Seat 8 ($200)
Seat 9: Seat 9 ($200)
Seat 4 posts the small blind of $3
Hero posts the big blind of $5
The button is in seat #3
* HOLE CARDS
Dealt to Hero [Qs Qc]
Seat 6 folds
Seat 7 folds
Seat 8 folds
Seat 9 folds
Seat 1 folds
Seat 2 folds
Villain raises to $30
Seat 4 folds
Hero raises to $90
Villain calls $60
FLOP * [Jh 9s 4c]
Hero checks
Villain bets $125
Hero calls $125
* TURN [Jh 9s 4c] [Jd]
Hero checks
Villain bets $250
Hero calls $250
RIVER * [Jh 9s 4c Jd] [10s]
Hero checks
Villain bets $400
Hero ??????????????

His value range here has 2 suited combos of AJ. Give him the 3 combos of 9's. He could have KK or AA, but I think he 4 bets those with us being so deep. I don't see him betting this flop with 10's after I 3 bet pre flop. I don't see him barreling off a hand like KQs all the way to the river when I block spades and clubs for the back door flush draw with my queens, maybe he could take this line with KQ hearts, but I think that gives up on the turn. my check call range is obviously pretty strong. I'm repping overpairs/ underpairs/ sets. I think I have most of the combos of 10's here, have the JJ, and I could play 99 this way as well.

So his bluffs here are most obviously AK (16 combos), AQ (8 combos). He could be turning a hand like 88, 77 into a semi bluff.

Am i right in assuming his range is very polarized? but more bluff heavy?
On the river we are getting about 3:1 on the call meaning we need at least 25% equity? Is this math correct? We have a bit more than that with QQ?

This is my first time trying to get this in depth on the analysis of a hand, so any and all feedback about my thought process is welcome and encouraged.

I ended up calling. What actually got me to call was the fact that he opened to $30 which was odd compared to his usual open and lead me to believe that he didn't have many Jacks in his hands that would have that sizing. Although thinking about it maybe he would take a larger sizing like that with 9-9, but In my head I put him more on AK, AQ type hands.

Thanks in advance.

Will post his hand after some replies.

Hey guys,

Any good resources for getting more in depth with my HUD? I know all the basics and what not, but I'd love to go deeper and some kind of cheat sheet seems like it would be super helpful. Currently using holdem manager.

Thanks!

ACR, against an unknown. I've only played 30 hands at table, nothing major shown. We both have 100 BB.

Hero is SB with 5d, 5s

Folded to me

Hero completes
BB checks

Flop 2c 5c 6d

Hero checks
BB bets $10
Hero calls

Turn Ad (pot $28)

Hero checks
BB bets $20
Hero raise to $60
BB calls

River Jh (pot $148)

Hero bets $150
BB raises $176 all in

Hero ??? I called.

What do you guys see his range being here? Thinking about it further, bottom is set of 2's and 6's... I guess he never raises any ace. Never bluffs because there's not much fold equity to be had. 3-4 is top and what he has most of the time. Any input on how it was played?

Will update results.

Game is a Live 2/5 game in NYC. Villain is on the button. Don't know him, and only read is someone else just telling me that hes played 10 hands in 4 hours. I had just sat down at the table.

Table Live_Pokah - $2.5/$5 - No Limit Holdem - 1:00:00 ET - 2001/01/01
Seat 1: Seat 1 ($1000)
Seat 2: Seat 2 ($700)
Seat 3: Seat 3 ($750)
Seat 4: Seat 4 Villain ($2000)
Seat 5: Hero ($1100)
Seat 6: Seat 6 ($600)
Seat 7: Seat 7 ($400)
Seat 8: Seat 8 ($700)
Hero posts the small blind of $2.5
Seat 6 posts the big blind of $5
The button is in seat #4
* HOLE CARDS
Dealt to Hero [qs qh]
Seat 7 folds
Seat 8 calls $5
Seat 1 calls $5
Seat 2 raises to $30
Seat 3 folds
Seat 4 calls $30
Hero raises to $100
Seat 6 folds
Seat 8 folds
Seat 1 folds
Seat 2 calls $70
Seat 4 calls $70
FLOP * [6h 8d 9c]
Hero bets $160
Seat 6 calls $160
Seat 2 folds
Seat 4 raises to $360
Hero calls $200
Seat 6 folds
TURN [6h 8d 9c] [ 10s]
Hero checks
Seat 4 bets ALL IN
Hero folds
Seat 4 mucks

I feel as if i played this terribly and I had put him on a set. So really I think I should have folded his flop raise, or shoved. Calling was just a huge waste of $200 since I know hes shoving basically every turn card. What would you guys have done differently? He told me what he had when I left later that night and I will update the post with his cards after a few replies.