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ubaldus

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Comment | ubaldus commented on Live $2/$5: AA utg

I didn't fold... and he had 87s. I ran this hand through PokerSnowie - it also likes a call, though not by much.

July 17, 2017 | 7:38 p.m.

Live 2/5 game, Miami (i.e., quite a few loose players in the game). I have JdTd in big blind.
The villain is in cutoff, and is capable of playing any two cards. His bluffs were picked off twice in one hour.

Pf: Utg limps, the villain limps, button limps, sb raises to $20, I decide to call $20, everybody calls (yep, that's Miami for you).

Flop: 3 hearts - Qh9h6h, everybody checks, still $100 in the pot.

Turn: Kc, so I have my straight on this dangerous board. Sb checks, I bet $65, utg folds, the villain jams for $280 effective, button and sb fold.
I need to call $215 to win $660. Does he have the flush 2/3 of the time in this spot?

July 17, 2017 | 7:30 p.m.

Post | ubaldus posted in NLHE: Live $2/$5: AA utg

Villain is a young kid, seems to be a bit on a LAG side. I have $700, he has $1000.

I get AdAc utg and raise to $20, get 4 callers (this is how they play in Miami). $100 in the pot.

Flop Jh8h5c. Blinds check, I bet $50 (too small?), only the villain calls in cutoff. $200 in the pot.

Turn 8d. I check, he bets $120, I call. $440 in the pot.

River 4d. I check, and he bets $400.

Insta-fold or consider calling? AA is just a bluff-catcher here, he is polarized - bluffs or trips/boats.

May 14, 2017 | 5:32 a.m.

Blinds 250/500. Hero with 42 bb (21k), villain with about 60 bb (30 k).
Villain (in mp) opens for 1300, hero calls with AdQc in cutoff, everybody else folds - 4000 in the pot.

Flop AKQ all spades. Villain donks 4000, a pot-sized bet. If I call 4000, I have 15700 left behind, and getting close to pot-committed.

What to do here? His bet looks like an attempt to protect a vulnerable hand. But his vulnerable hands are ahead of my AQ , I am only beating KQ, AJ and AT perhaps.

Is just folding AQ correct here? Btw, PokerSnowie recommends folding , but it occasionally gives strange advice on monochrome boards like this one.

May 5, 2017 | 5:49 p.m.

Playing live $150 MTT in Seminole Hard Rock, 60 left out of ~200, 27 paid and top 10 also get extra $360 seat in the SHR open.

Both hero (UTG) and villain (UTG+3) have ~27 bb, pretty close to the average stack size.

Hero has QQ utg, and opens for 2.5 bb.
Fold, fold, villain 3-bets 8 bb, fold, fold, fold, short stack in sb calls all-in for 7 bb, fold.

Now, the villain is a straightforward TAG-ish player, and he remarked before that I appear to play tight and show real hands. Him 3-betting me looks pretty strong. At this table, it's probably AA, KK, AK and maybe AQs. On the other hand, there is some extra money in the pot.

So, hero's options are:
(1) fold, and still have about 25 bb.
(2) 4-bet shove, he is pretty certain to call it. QQ has 39 to 42% equity against his range, if it is really that strong.
(3) call, and if the flop comes below queens, shove on the flop. QQ would have about 50% equity + extra money in the pot.

What would be the preferred play here?

Results: I shove, he calls with AKo and gets his A on the river (sb
had TT, flop was 998).

Nov. 6, 2016 | 6:03 p.m.

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