Big 25€ - Final Table Hand/ICM question

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Big 25€ - Final Table Hand/ICM question

Sincerely, this tourney is more low stakes than middle in field quality.

We are at FT (200 players tourney) and left 7. At this point, table have 10-30bbs stacks and utg just lost a big pot (very bad bluff with terrible sizes). This guy is very bad, but not to loose pre-flop.

After losing a big pot, shove 12bbs from utg. I'm in doubt but I know I will call this at CO.

http://weaktight.com/7308180

My thoughts and questions:

  • At this point, I dont how much ICM I should take in consideration. We have stakes that easily we will find flips and coolers situations. Instead a cooler Ak vs QQ or AQ vs JJ, know will become more often situations with pairs vs AJ/KQ in late positions.

  • Having 30bbs-40bbs stacks will give you a big advantage to explore others in ICM situations.

  • UTG should be more tilted (or in a whatever situation, lets jam and over this) but I don't think he will jam so light to be in a very good situation. I think I have 50%+ (55% max... maybe some situations 60%) against his range. Do you agree?

  • We have 3 more guys to play;

So 50-55% equity vs his range (with 3 guys to talk) is enough to call or we should fold ICM wise?

Thanks in advance.

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