edge folding in mtt's

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

edge folding in mtt's

Hi,

I've been wondering about a topic lately, which is not taking thin edges in soft mtts. I agree that we should not take just any edge, but I've never seens numbers about that topic.

For example, let's say we know that 5b shoving our 59bb stack (53bb remaining after the 3b) with A2s is +EV, but we have a pretty good stack left remaining in a soft field live mtt if we fold, what kind of edge do we need to take the spot in amount of bb won ? It would be even more precise to talk about the ev gain per amount of bb risked for the play (like a 0.2bb edge, when risking 6bb to call a shortstack shove is clearly worth it, while a 0.5bb edge when risking our whole 60bb stack might not be)

Like is a +1bb shove with 30% bust probability (with 53bb) worth it ? If not what would be your cap ?

Also, is it flawed logic to be thinking that a 1bb EV gain on one hand amounts to 100 bb/100 and so is hugely winning, and way above our expected winrate and should be taken ?

Lets just for argument sake say that we are talking about early to mid levels, where more than 25% of the field remains and so ICM is negligible.

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