SB: 20.39 BB (VPIP: 29.14, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 179)
Hero (BB): 34.54 BB
UTG: 38.6 BB (VPIP: 23.50, PFR: 17.62, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 1,156)
UTG+1: 22.25 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 12.90, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
MP: 14.51 BB (VPIP: 25.57, PFR: 18.14, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 487)
CO: 9.67 BB (VPIP: 29.25, PFR: 2.86, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 106)
BTN: 14.73 BB (VPIP: 31.55, PFR: 18.24, 3Bet Preflop: 6.35, Hands: 169)
7 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.2 BB) Hero has 8h Kh
UTG raises to 2.03 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.03 BB
Flop : (5.26 BB, 2 players) 5h Jd 2h
Hero checks, UTG bets 1.58 BB, Hero calls 1.58 BB
Turn : (8.42 BB, 2 players) Ah
Hero checks, UTG bets 5.05 BB, Hero?
I find that vs a lot of midstakes regs, the river is checked behind way too often when a flush is completed, making it harder to capture the value from their bluffs OTR when we flush up OTT or OTR.
Assuming we are against the kind of opponent that we believe is not going to bluff enough on the river when there are possible flushes on the board, we are going to lose quite a bit of value if we just check turn and river.
In this particular hand, we are bit too deep to shove turn IMO to expect to get called often enough. My question is: would you rather raise small OTT, lead river, or still check river?