Seminole Hard Rock $360 MTT unique ICM spot

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Seminole Hard Rock $360 MTT unique ICM spot

Seminole Hard Rock Hollywood ran a unique format $360 MTT with $500k guarantee this weekend.

Link to structure sheet

Basically, there were 8 Day 1 flights. For each bag after one's first, it's best stack forward with a $2500 bonus (taken from prizepool) for the forfeited stack. I bagged Flights 1C and 1D, with a 517k stack on 1D - one of the top stacks in the field. I proceeded to play the remaining flights solely to try to get the $2500 multi-bag bonus. In 1H last night the following spot came up:

About 125 left, 72 pay. 1500/3000 blinds with 3000 BB ante. 15k starting stack, so average stack that bags will be roughly 150k. I get dealt AJo UTG+1 9 handed with 43.5k. This is a +cEV shove (although the weakest offsuit ace I shove) but curious how much ICM sways my decision given that I'm still 50 away from the money but effectively playing a satellite. And not only am I effectively playing a satellite, others in the field who haven't bagged yet are playing a traditional MTT with a $700 mincash, so incentives vary wildly.

Any insight would be great, ICM definitely isn't the strongest part of my game.

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