$100NL. Leveraging bet sizing tell on turn, should we turn our combo draw into bluff? 3 handed.

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

$100NL. Leveraging bet sizing tell on turn, should we turn our combo draw into bluff? 3 handed.

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (9 Players) MP: $111.76
MP+1: $94.50
MP+2: $100.00
CO: $93.20
BN: $168.84 (Hero)
SB: $94.08
BB: $100.00
UTG: $71.83
UTG+1: $100.00
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is BN with A J
2 folds, MP raises to $2.00, MP+1 folds, MP+2 calls $2.00, CO folds, Hero calls $2.00, SB calls $1.50, BB folds
Flop ($9.00) 6 K T
SB checks, MP bets $6.41, MP+2 folds, Hero calls $6.41, SB calls $6.41
Turn ($28.23) 6 K T J
SB checks, MP bets $8.00

MP V. Straightforward TAG as far as I can tell. 13/6/70 - VPIP/PFR/Total AFq in 48 hands.
SB V. New player. Not much of a read.

Didn't 3bet preflop since V raising with solid range and MP+2 a fish so didn't want to get blown off this hand IP by MP V.

To me, this turn sizing is a classic, "I like my hand, but its not that strong and I'm scared of something". I thought V has a lot of AK/AA here, maybe some KQs. Given my outs and good shot at making V fold on turn or river, I really want to raise here. Buttt, I was juxtaposed with SB sitting there who could have KJ, AQ, maybe even Q9s given small PF sizing.

Which route is best here?

Loading 4 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy