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[20NL] Tough spot against a likely regular

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[20NL] Tough spot against a likely regular

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (5 Players) SB: $20.10 (Hero)
BB: $20.00
UTG: $22.19
CO: $27.09
BN: $21.80
Preflop ($0.30) Hero is SB with T A
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, BB calls $0.42
Hey guys, bb is likely a nitty regular, running 24/10/2 over 120 hands. (keep in mind that this is 5 handed)
Flop ($1.24) K 4 A
Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40
Turn ($2.04) K 4 A 6
Hero checks, BB bets $1.55, Hero calls $1.55
I think given the profile betting is better than checking here. But I don't want to fall into something too assumptive like assuming that he's not gonna bluff his draws versus this weak check.
River ($5.14) K 4 A 6 9
Hero checks, BB bets $3.90, Hero calls $3.90
He reps A6, K9, A9, and that's almost it. I don't think he is ever betting worst for value here. But I think there is something inconsistent with my thought process if I check a hand this string on the turn to think that this very good runout is a tough spot.

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