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25 zone thoughts on turn overbet

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25 zone thoughts on turn overbet

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) CO: $37.83 (Hero)
BN: $39.58
SB: $31.93
BB: $41.73
UTG: $145.18
MP: $23.42
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with J T
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BN folds, SB calls $0.50, BB folds
Flop ($1.45) K 8 5
SB checks, Hero bets $0.44, SB calls $0.44
Turn ($2.33) K 8 5 9
SB checks, Hero bets $3.22

zone poker so no reads

Theoretically villain should be getting to the turn relatively capped given he should be check raising a lot against my small sizing and I'm obviously still uncapped. This is also one of the higher EV bluffs I have and block some Kx combos. The 9 also doesn't change a lot except specifically 99 as I'd expect 67 to check raise a lot as well. On the other hand, Villain has called out of the SB with no reads and given how soft 25nl on ignition is already it's very possible he's a fish and is much less capped than he theoretically should be.

Either way I think I want to barrel here pretty often. Do you think an overbet works here or something like 2/3 or 3/4 works better?

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