25z KQo facing huge overbet OTR

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25z KQo facing huge overbet OTR

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $40.23
SB: $25.60
BB: $60.33
UTG: $26.39
MP: $26.23
CO: $38.43 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with K Q
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BB calls $0.50
Flop ($1.60) J Q 5
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($1.60) J Q 5 8
BB bets $1.53, Hero calls $1.53
River ($4.66) J Q 5 8 Q
BB bets $14.00, Hero calls $14.00

V is unknown, first hand vs him.

I was thinking a lot OTR, my time bank was on 1 sec when I called. After his pot turn, I just couldn't exclude busted draws and saw enough Qx, like QsTs, Qs9s and ruined J8. Against a wider range (if I add some randomness: TT-88,55,KJs,QTs-Q9s,Q5s,T9s,KJo,Q8o+,T9o) I got 52%
If I leave only Qx, and boats (88,55,QTs-Q9s,Q5s,Q8o+) my call is breakeven (42% and the potodds is 42% too).

I grinded almost 70k hands at nl25z, and I just cannot say that I have never seen so many ridicoulus showdowns in these situations. What's your thoughts? Should we fold this one against unknown?

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