The Game Plan

[50NLz] To value bet or not

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[50NLz] To value bet or not

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

Hero (BTN): 139.66 BB
SB: 113.44 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 70.72 BB (VPIP: 22.58, PFR: 9.68, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
UTG: 112.42 BB (VPIP: 28.28, PFR: 19.19, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 99)
MP: 150.12 BB (VPIP: 24.53, PFR: 20.75, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 56)
CO: 299.98 BB (VPIP: 17.54, PFR: 12.28, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 59)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8s Qh
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, SB calls 2 BB, fold

Q8o is def the bottom of my opening raise here

Flop : (6 BB, 2 players) 8d 2h 7h
SB checks, Hero bets 2.5 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB

Nice flop for me but there are two hearts on board and a possible straight draw so I bet 1/2 pot for protection and for value

Turn : (11 BB, 2 players) 4d
SB checks, Hero bets 4.5 BB, SB calls 4.5 BB

Don't know if I l like my turn bet here but still there are draws on this board so 1/2 pot bet again

River : (20 BB, 2 players) 3d
SB checks, Hero bets 8.5 BB, SB calls 8.5 BB

Villain showed no aggression and only a straight is a possible draw but that hand would likely have either raised on turn or bet out on river so not much change he has that hand. As I have top pair reasonable kicker I choose to value bet thin as I think I can get called by both worse 8 and something like A7 or 67 or ...

Hero shows 8s Qh (One Pair, Eights)
(Pre 60%, Flop 79%, Turn 80%)

SB mucks 7c 5c (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 40%, Flop 21%, Turn 20%)

Hero wins 35.16 BB
Rake paid 1.84 BB

What do you think off the line taken ?

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