I'm currently working on visualizing ranges and I would like to get your inputs on my line of thinking. If there's anything you can help me improve on I would love to hear about it.
BTN: 137.7 BB
SB: 97.7 BB
BB: 173.9 BB Vpip 24/PFR 14/3B 0 ~21 hands
Hero (UTG): 186.7 BB
MP: 200.2 BB
CO: 121.2 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has As 2s
Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop : (7.5 BB, 3 players) 2h 3d 2c
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 2 BB, SB calls 2 BB, BB raises to 10 BB, Hero calls 8 BB, fold
I thought about range betting on the flop because of how this board still allows me to retain my equity advantage. I felt like their ranges were very capped given that 99-JJ isn't in their range since BB had a good chance to squeeze with all his medium-strong PP's, AJs-AKs, AQo-AKo against my EP open. Based on how BB's stats are forming [even with the small sample] he's looking to be on the more passive side preflop. When he raised, I thought he could've been raising a few hands here like 33, 54s, and now small to medium PP 55-TT that want to gain FE from overcards which is a good portion of my range. I'm not too sure if raising here was a good play because If I call the raise this contracts my range to A2s, 33, 99+, which puts him in a tough spot if called since he's playing OOP in the next street
Turn : (29.5 BB, 2 players) 5h
BB bets 22.1 BB, Hero calls 22.1 BB
When Villain barrels the Turn with this big sizing it looked like a bet that wanted either a lot of protection or a boat that was flopped or completed on the turn. Villain also could have 66-TT which I beat. I felt like playing the Turn cautiously because of Villain's line but I also might've gotten a lot of value from overpairs by shoving
River : (73.7 BB, 2 players) Th
BB checks, Hero bets 22 BB, BB calls 22 BB
This board seems like a board that wasn't dynamic at all which didn't allow it to change the nut advantage as much. I mean, TT completes but I think Villain would've bet a boat here since he wouldn't want to miss out on value if I check. Could he be trapping?
Now what hands would I have here that would bet river: A2s, TT+, I don't think I have a lot of bluffs here.
What hands do I think Villain can have: 66-99
I thought betting out 22% pot was a great way to get value out of those hands since a T isn't really a scare card for Villain unlike an A which I could've been floating withe