Can we make a hero fold on the river given what we know about villain?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Can we make a hero fold on the river given what we know about villain?

iPoker - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:

UTG: €11.48
Hero (MP): €11.37
CO: €12.31
BTN: €10.00
SB: €13.25
BB: €10.00

SB posts SB €0.05, BB posts BB €0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: €0.15) Hero has Kd Jh
fold, Hero raises to €0.25, fold, fold, fold, BB calls €0.15

Flop : (€0.55, 2 players) Js 3d 2h
BB checks, Hero bets €0.19, BB calls €0.19

Turn : (€0.93, 2 players) Jd
BB checks, Hero checks

River : (€0.93, 2 players) Ah
BB bets €1.30, Hero?

BB is 19Vpip 8Pfr from 160 hands.

My question is can we ever expect BB to make this size river bet with QJ or JT or even KJ? BB has never x/raised a cbet so far or 3bet pre in any situation. He seems on the nitty side and has a 65% fold to cbet. He basically has zero bluffs in this spot from what I have deduced.

45s isn't out of the question when calling pre & flop, but I don't think this player would make a river bet that large on a paired board with 45s when the straight gets there, so im not including that in value hands that beat me.

So he can have 3 combos of 22, 3 combos of 33, 3 combos of AJ, 4 combos of JT (has defended JTo previously), 4 combos of JQ and 2 of KJ.

Im just not sure if he bets this big on the river with JT or JQ...So is it resonable to consider folding here in this spot? This is my first time posting a hand so i'm pretty new to this, any help is greatly appreciated!


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