Do we have enough evidence to fold overpair on turn?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Do we have enough evidence to fold overpair on turn?

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (8 Players) UTG: $184.76
MP: $262.66
UTG+1: $197.00
MP+1: $210.75 (Hero)
CO: $219.55
BN: $219.82
SB: $186.39
BB: $60.00
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is MP+1 with K K
3 folds, Hero raises to $5.00, CO folds, BN calls $5.00, SB folds, BB calls $3.00
Flop ($16.00) Q 9 5
BB checks, Hero bets $10.00, BN raises to $30.00, BB folds, Hero calls $20.00
Turn ($76.00) Q 9 5 3
Hero checks, BN bets $72.20

I know it looks like a trival shove on turn. But I think there are 3 factors in favor of nitting it up:

1) BTN raises with BB in the hand
2) My Ks blocker sucks
3) V seemed loose/passive. Only 46 hands, but was only folding 57% of hands to PFR, AFq of only 23 and WTSD of 10%.

Is this enough?

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