Facing a check raise shove on the turn

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Facing a check raise shove on the turn

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $5.00
SB: $5.96
BB: $5.59
UTG: $8.16
MP: $9.01
CO: $7.56 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is CO with Q A
UTG raises to $0.15, MP folds, Hero calls $0.15, 2 folds, BB calls $0.10
UTG was playing 31/28 with a 3bet stat over 23 from 40 hands. Against an aggro fish, raising UTG, I don't want to 3bet them and have to face a 4bet and putting myself in a horrible position. I would certainly being raising TT+ and AJs+ for value and could happily call the 4bet. AQo is just a little bit down on my range I think and therefore I elected to call.

BB (26/21 over 19 hands) could have a wide range obviously. Something like A9o+, 22+, suited aces/kings/connectors and most broadways
Flop ($0.47) A 9 2
BB checks, UTG bets $0.28, Hero calls $0.28, BB raises to $0.93, UTG folds, Hero calls $0.65
No need to raise if the aggro fish decides to go mental and barrell away, I call.
When the BB raises you would have to give him a range of TPGK type hands, flopped 2 pair, flush draws and sets, of which there is only 6.

Re raising might get all worse to fold and only keep in the 2 pair and sets. Maybe weak TP hands could call a shove? I once again elect to call .
Turn ($2.61) A 9 2 6
BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $4.51 and is all in
Once the BB checks then I should be going for value again any flush draws and weaker TP. Once he shoves then I feel I am in a relatively tight spot.

I lose to all sets and 2 pairs and flush draws have decent equity against me.
The maths shows I need roughly 33% equity to make this call. If I give him all flushdraws that I beat and then 2 pairs/sets and some TP that I beat then I only manage to get to around 32% equity. Adding all the random offsuit Aces and suited aces into the mix then It would be a clear call but I don't think many people would be checking raising them into 2 players.

When looking back on the hand I think it's going to have to be a reluctant call considering players at these stakes can do some weird stuff sometimes. Interesting to hear what you think and anyway I can improve my hand analysis?


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