Facing large turn jam w set

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Facing large turn jam w set

HJ raise to 3bb
Hero raise QhQc to 9bb CO
HJ call, 100bb start

Flop AdTd6h
Pot = 19.5
Check
Hero bets 5bb
Call

Turn Qd
Pot = 29.5bb
Check
Hero bet 15bb
HJ all in for 86bb eff
71bb to call

Hero?

Player is some sort of reg. Haven't played extensively with him, just one of the 100nl regs in the mix

We need around 35% equity to continue. I Don't know if I see bluffs taking this line, or worst hands taking this line. It just feels and looks like alot of turned flushes and straights. Don't think TT slow plays flop to overbet the turn when the straightening/flushing card comes in. AQ seems unlikely as well. Only thing is he needs so few of these combos for us to make a call. This is also assuming he never bluffs(although, I think it's hard for him to find bluffs here unless he is flatting KQo preflop, which guessing he isn't)

Maybe an okay spot to make an explo fold? Imagine calling can't be too bad either absent of history.

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