Limped in Fish overjams River
Posted by PokerVagabond
Posted by
PokerVagabond
posted in
Low Stakes
Limped in Fish overjams River
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players)
BN: $4.40
SB: $2.41
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
UTG: $8.46
MP: $5.39
CO: $10.02
SB: $2.41
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
UTG: $8.46
MP: $5.39
CO: $10.02
Villain is playing 57/14 over 7 hands. Obvious fish even with limited hands due to stats and limping
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is BB with
Q
Q
, , , , , ,
Maybe could have bumped it up to .26c or even .30c
Flop
($0.53)
T
8
8
, ,
Min raise could indicate a whole host of things. From limped in AA/KK, Any T, Any 8 and also random bluffs. I elect to simply call as I don't think, on average, that I would be in very good shape if we got it in here. Also by calling I keep in any bluffs (Which could be alot)
Turn
($1.81)
T
8
8
J
, ,
Similar situation to the previous and the board just became worse. With a bet of under 1/3 pot I tend to find these spots very polarising. If I elect to raise then I fold out any spewy bluffs that are deciding to continue and so, in my opinion, I only really have a option of calling. If I raise here what would call me that I beat? AT,QT,KT?
River
($2.91)
T
8
8
J
6
,
If my maths serves me correctly, Risk/(Risk+Reward) then we need around 35% equity to make this call. Please let me know if I have this wrong!
It is my opinion that fish don't tend to overjam the river unless that are extremely strong, I mat inclined to call if i had more reads and could see the villain is an aggro fish but that is far from the case here.
After putting a very wide range into flopzilla and giving villain a lot of bluffs on the river it still seems that are we a decent chunk away from hitting our required equity. Would love to hear peoples thoughts and ways I can improve my hand reading analysis and what not.
Thanks again people!
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