Maximizing our value with the nuts - sizing?
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by
MatoStar
posted in
Low Stakes
Maximizing our value with the nuts - sizing?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (9 Players)
MP: $9.90
UTG+1: $35.01
MP+1: $14.75
MP+2: $25.00 (Hero)
CO: $25.21
BN: $49.63
SB: $29.84
BB: $31.54
UTG: $38.31
UTG+1: $35.01
MP+1: $14.75
MP+2: $25.00 (Hero)
CO: $25.21
BN: $49.63
SB: $29.84
BB: $31.54
UTG: $38.31
57/29 (7)
looks like a big fish:)
looks like a big fish:)
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is MP+2 with
K
K
, , , , , , ,
Flop
($3.65)
A
9
Q
, , , ,
Turn
($10.63)
A
9
Q
T
,
can we consider donking here exploitatively? 1/4-1/3 sizing if so? Maybe a little bit bigger given his flop sizing - his range is supposed to be polarized to TP+
River
($10.63)
A
9
Q
T
5
Given his line potbet flop, check turn - I see mainly hands without a spade in his range.. maybe some AxJs at best and lower flushes.
However, how would you choose the optimal bet sizing in order to maximize our value? I would expect that his calling range is gonna be inelastic (except of few XxXs combos)
However, how would you choose the optimal bet sizing in order to maximize our value? I would expect that his calling range is gonna be inelastic (except of few XxXs combos)
I see it from a few different angles:
- We wanna look bluffy and bomb it - he might think that we wanna steal the pot from a split. 100%+
- Bet so tiny 20-33% that he might think that he is good often enough and the pot is already pretty big
- Bet somewhere in between 40-60% to still offer a decent prize for calling with the flush
Would you choose any of these 3 options and why?
Or did I miss something?
Cheers
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