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nl100 AQo in a 4bet pot - river decision

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

nl100 AQo in a 4bet pot - river decision

iPoker, Hold'em No Limit - €0.50/€1.00 - 6 players

UTG: €214.76 (215 bb)
MP: €181.10 (181 bb)
CO: €123.11 (123 bb)
BU (Hero): €100.00 (100 bb)
SB: €66.58 (67 bb)
BB: €146.44 (146 bb)

Pre-Flop: (€1.50) Hero is BTN with A♦ Q♣
3 players fold, Hero raises to €2.50, 1 fold, BB 3-bets to €9, Hero 4-bets to €21.50, BB calls €12.50

Flop: (€43.50) 3♣ A♣ 2♠ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (€43.50) 5♥ (2 players)
BB bets €9, Hero calls €9

River: (€61.50) 2♥ (2 players)
BB bets €1, Hero raises to €69.50 (all-in), BB calls €68.50

villain was playing 29/23/18 in 90 hands. No history, no notes. Do we have a thin value OTR? Do we have any other bet sizes as an exploitline 20bb? After his confusing line, I think we are against something like A5s (1), A3s (2), AK (8), Axs(??), other crazy sh*t(??). I just cannot imagine, there are any straights in his range after this line. What do you think? Will we get enough calls from worse Axs to make river jam +ev?

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