nl100 bombing the river vs sticky rec

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

nl100 bombing the river vs sticky rec

iPoker, Hold'em No Limit - €0.50/€1.00 - 6 players

UTG: €100.50 (101 bb)
MP: €116.13 (116 bb)
CO: €40.00 (40 bb)
BU (Hero): €135.26 (135 bb)
SB: €89.15 (89 bb)
BB: €152.28 (152 bb)

Pre-Flop: (€2.50) Hero is BTN with K♣ J♦
2 players fold, CO checks, Hero raises to €4, SB calls €3.50, 2 players fold

Flop: (€10) 9♦ 2♣ 5♥ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets €3, SB calls €3

Turn: (€16) Q♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets €12, SB calls €12

River: (€40) 8♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero?

Hey! This hand was plaed on a regular table, so ranges arent as tight as they would be on a zoom table. SB is a sticky rec, playing something like 50/5 ~50 hands. I know this player type hates folding, but hmmm..
I am not sure about bet sizings too. OTF he have all the sets (he will never 3bet 99). But he can have a lot of gutshots, bd straights and bd flushes. The turn helps my range, betting bigger would be better from potsize to 1,5x pot maybe?. OTR he can have a lot of 9x (except 99), a lot of 5x (except 55),some 8x (like 86,78), a few Qx, and small pocketpairs under the 9. I have a nice blocker to JT, T9, QT,K9 and to the flush and need ~60% folds to be breakeven when bombing the river. This situation occurs often against recs in this pool, and they usually call it down with a lot of thrash pair with no kicker. Based on this, I am not sure how to construct my bluff to value ratio in these spots.

Spoiler
I bombed, he snapped and shown 78o :)

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