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NL100 fold monster draw on turn?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100 fold monster draw on turn?

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) MP: $104.00
CO: $100.00 (Hero)
BN: $228.11
SB: $85.89
BB: $102.50
UTG: $99.00
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is CO with 8 7
UTG folds, MP raises to $3.00, Hero calls $3.00, 2 folds, BB calls $2.00
Absolute bottom of my calling range, there's a rec in the SB.
Flop ($9.50) J 3 6
BB checks, MP bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50, BB raises to $21.50, MP calls $15.00, Hero calls $15.00
It's pretty ugly to call the check/raise because there is a chance my flush draw is dominated.
Turn ($74.00) J 3 6 9
BB bets $78.00 and is all in, MP folds, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins $71.00
Rake is $3.00

I thought I didn't have the odds to call. It was a really painful fold. :(

Since it's multiway, MP cbet and I called, I don't think he's doing this with anything but a set. Maybe a NFD.
Equity against just sets:
CO 29.55% 29.55% 0.00% 8c7c
BB 70.45% 70.45% 0.00% JJ, 66, 33

If he also has 5c4c it's a call.
CO 34.32% 34.32% 0.00% 8c7c
BB 65.68% 65.68% 0.00% JJ, 66, 33, 5c4c

If he has NFD's my equity is worse than against just sets.
CO 26.85% 26.85% 0.00% 8c7c
BB 73.15% 73.15% 0.00% JJ, 66, 33, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac2c

Against all of the above and Jxcc
CO 26.73% 26.73% 0.00% 8c7c
BB 73.27% 73.27% 0.00% JJ, 66, 33, AcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, JcTc, Ac9c, Jc9c, Ac5c, Ac4c, 5c4c, Ac2c

Did I make a good fold or did I miss any hands a regular could have here?

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