UTG+1: $4.05 (Hero)
I gave the CO who is 13/10 a tighter range that usual at these stakes. A 7.4% range which consists of: QQ-66, AQs-AJs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, AQo+ and is 98 combos. Do you agree? My question is: Do people at these stakes prefer to flat all pocket pairs at this scenario and maybe fold suited connectors like 98s and t9s?
Now the question is how wide does the BTN flat here. From what I know(I might be wrong here) the BTN right now needs to call even less than the CO. But since here at nl2 people call a lot, I gave BTN this range:
Do you agree with this assumption? Btw If we were in the BTN instead of utg1, what range should we flat here?
For flop calling range I gave him: All top pairs, 2nd pocket pairs, middle pairs and low pairs. Also gutshots, fds and oesds. I think he raises here 2pair + . Flop defence % is 65. About 8% of his preflop range is raised for value
At turn I gave him a range with top pairs, fds and oesds.
For river he has 33% of the time straight+. About 50% of the time has AJ, AQ and AKo. The rest is folded. If that is a correct assumption then our bet for value was terrible. Lastly in order to call the river raise we need to win 15% of the time. That's about 5 value raises to 1 bluff raise. But I dont think people at nl2 will bluff that much. So even if I had a hand like AK and tried to get value from AJ or AQ, to a raise I would have folded. What do you think?