nl25: TPTK vs nitty capped range

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

nl25: TPTK vs nitty capped range

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (8 Players) MP+1: $21.13
CO: $44.25
BN: $25.56
SB: $24.45
BB: $25.00
UTG: $25.85
UTG+1: $49.47 (Hero)
MP: $25.35
14/9 2k
3b 3,2
cb 69/48/40
wsd 59
standard nit, who is explo folding many rivers and even on flop and turn I guess
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG+1 with A K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.00, MP folds, MP+1 calls $1.00, 3 folds, BB raises to $3.50, Hero calls $2.50, MP+1 folds
Do not wanna 4b against 3.5 3betting range.. I think we have right odds to call
Flop ($8.10) 4 4 3
BB bets $2.55, Hero calls $2.55
Possibly could be range betting with AQs or even vs TT-QQ we have odds to call.. plus having some backdoors is also nice.
Turn ($13.20) 4 4 3 A
BB checks, Hero checks
I believe that player like this would be here pretty capped to JJ-KK (maybe even TT) and possibly AA. Do not think that I will get more than 1 street from pocket pairs.. tough to say on which street is he calling more likely.. I would say OTR since now we are floating AK,AQ,AJs OTF and it makes no sense to bet a pocket pair.. however, with 99 or so, I think it might be the best strategy vs this type of opponent.
River ($13.20) 4 4 3 A 8
BB checks, Hero bets $8.32
Now we have to bet.. Didnt want to bet small, bc small bets are generally underbluffed and I would say nit knows that.. So using bigger sizing to attack his capped range.

Would you rather bet the turn? (maybe I am now missing value from AQ)
What sizing would you choose?
Is betting the turn with 88-TT as a bluff a decent option vs nitty guys?

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