Overfolding AA?

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Overfolding AA?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) CO: $40.04
BN: $23.80
SB: $29.15
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.78 (Hero)
MP: $24.90
Villian is an somewhat aggresive reg 26/21/11 postflop aggresion factor 45% (300hands)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50
Flop ($2.35) 9 4 3
BB checks, Hero bets $1.12, MP calls $1.12, BB calls $1.12
What do u think of flopstrategy: bet with high frequency and dont bet to big because they can have sets and flushes? Or would u like to go bigger?
Turn ($5.71) 9 4 3 2
BB checks, Hero bets $2.73, MP raises to $7.10, BB folds, Hero calls $4.37
This is intresting because he doesnt have a lot of bluffs, because i have the Ac in my hand.
My pot odds are 31%, 8 outs (16%) are drawing me to the nuts, 3 outs Ah/As/2C (6%) are improving me but not to the nuts. Lets say i have 20% to improve and beat him. He still needs to have 11% bluffs or combos in his range that i can beat. Does this mean i have to find 5 combos? I forgot how to calculate how many bluff combos he need here. Can someone explain me? I really cant find bluff combos, so i think I already have to fold here. Or he has to do this with JJ then i can call, but dont see that happening.
River ($19.91) 9 4 3 2 4
Hero checks, MP bets $6.65, Hero folds
He is saying i have a flush, and wants value from my overpairs. I think its impossible he will bluff with this sizings. If so I will tell him please go to nl500.
Final Pot MP wins $19.01
Rake is $0.90

Loading 16 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy