river valuebet with checkraised bottom two pair?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

river valuebet with checkraised bottom two pair?

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $310.23
SB: $201.00
BB: $328.21 (Hero)
UTG: $292.61
MP: $426.75
CO: $69.59
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BB with 7 5
UTG folds, MP raises to $5.00, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.00
Flop ($11.00) 7 5 T
Hero checks, MP bets $5.54, Hero raises to $19.97, MP calls $14.43
Turn ($50.94) 7 5 T K
Hero bets $42.00, MP calls $42.00
River ($134.94) 7 5 T K 9
Hero bets $88.57, MP folds

Villain opens 24% there
cbet 55%
21% WTS

OTF I think c/r >> c/c
OTT I have a pretty clear valuebet/fold IMO

OTR his only QJ is spades, prooobably for me too unless I pick A QsJx for being unnecessarily agressive
my 68 spades comes in
He prolly never has it MP

I am wondering whether or not my bet is too optimistic, given the 9 rolls in.

If I check I would always check/call anything to potsize... and be a little bit lost to an overshove but would probably still call..

Another option I thought about is betting smaller to induce!?

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