turned Toppair - Valuebet River?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

turned Toppair - Valuebet River?

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $26.31
SB: $19.61
BB: $29.73
UTG: $10.71
MP: $16.85 (Hero)
CO: $17.35
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is MP with K Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 3 folds, BB calls $0.24
Flop ($0.88) 3 7 6
BB checks, Hero bets $0.28, BB calls $0.28
Turn ($1.44) 3 7 6 Q
BB checks, Hero bets $1.04, BB calls $1.04
River ($3.52) 3 7 6 Q T
BB checks, Hero bets $2.52

Villain is pretty loose with 31/29 but could be Variance of low samplesize.

On the Flop I don't Cbet this Hand all the time, but I think our Overcards make a somewhat decent Bluff with some implieds. However I decided to bet small because I think our Valuehands want to protect but also don't want to bloat the Pot.

Turn is standard I guess.

River I wasn't sure if I have > 50% with that Sizing. We have a lot of Sets, 2Pairs and Straights and Villian is somewhat capped because of the Flopcall. So I think our Size has to be somewhat big. We could go smaller here with our Hand but isn't that a little too obvious?

I gave him that Calling-Range on the River against which we have a thin valuebet, assuming he never Bluffs us of the Hand: 99-88,33,A7s,Q7s-Q6s,T7s,76s,KdQd,KhQh,KcQc,QdJd,QhJh,QcJc,AhTh,QdTd,QhTh,QcTc,JhTh,Th9h,Th8h,9h8h,AdQs,AdQc,AhQs,AhQc,AsQd,AsQh realistic or not?

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