BvB AA on AJ7r

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BvB AA on AJ7r

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (3 Players) BN: $124.26
SB: $151.44 (Hero)
BB: $127.41
BB puts the "AG" in TAG. 35/22. 14% 3bet to steal, 70% double barrel. (2500 hand sample)

63% fold to steal.

Anecdotally, I think they've studied some fundamentals but end up making spewy plays. I'm not sure; I'm so used to my opponents being weak-tight that anytime someone actually finds aggression regularly postflop, I don't know how to draw the line between if they're balanced or spewy.

I would imagine that villain sees me as TAG, perhaps on the nitty side.
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is SB with K A A 2
BN folds, Hero raises to $3.00, BB calls $2.00
Unremarkable street.
Flop ($6.00) A 7 J
Hero checks, BB bets $4.73, Hero raises to $19.89, BB calls $15.16
I suspect this is a very mix-y spot if looking at it through a solver. Lack of backdoor diamonds hurts. Villain's overall tendencies and their 45% bet-when-checked-to made me feel like x/r was a good line here: either I see another card before inflating the pot or I get two (or more) bets in while I have the nuts. (Check-raising also lets me play a turn with a lower SPR when I'll never be drawing dead.)
Turn ($45.78) A 7 J T
Effectively $104.52 left. I really didn't know what to do here. I can't GII without villain being excited about it, but it feels like there are a lot of bad rivers for me. I lightly block the nuts and now have my own gutshot (maybe only to a chop). KQ and 98 are in villain's flop continues, but it's also a strange flop for them to bet/call without being PFR... so I have a hard time putting them on a range. Also consider the fact that their KQxx/98xx rundowns that might call the flop are also liable to be 3bet preflop given how wide they've shown themselves to do that. Figuring out their preflop call, flop bet/call range is just very tricky to me...

Hey y'all.

I keep meaning to post some hands here, but I tag them during play and then look at them afterwards and decide they're not interesting.

But here's one I thought might be interesting!

Thoughts on both flop and turn are welcome. Doubt preflop will be controversial.


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