UTG: $43.97 (Hero)
SB is an interesting player as a villain: I've got more than 200 hands on them and their stats suggest that they're on the tighter side of TAGgy (24/18, 3% 3bet) but during this session I noted a couple of things that put them significantly outside of optimal or textbook-TAG play, imo: I saw them 4betting what was probably too wide a range preflop and I also decided they were showing too little attention to bet sizing (potting too often, basically).
When villain raises... I think in retrospect I should maybe just GII here. I think multiple tables and a short time bank on this particular table made me a little conservative and hasty to just call.
I may be fabricating this after the fact, but I feel like I wanted to be able to let villain bet the river for me or keep my range more ambiguous should they check the river to me.
Because I feel like this is a pretty unlikely JJ line, so I'm not super likely to be value-cutting myself, right? (I haven't checked the math on how much equity a combo draw could have against me here, though. Seems likely I'm at least ahead of all non-JJ, if not way ahead. But then am I getting too many folds on the turn by 3betting compared to getting another bet on the river? Hard to say.)
I didn't mean to post HHs so infrequently after my last one, so I'm glad to have what I think is an interesting one to share.
Frankly, I think I should have taken more time to think through the turn (hurried as I may have been), as I really don't think I had a great plan for different kinds of rivers. Even in retrospect, I don't know that I'm sure what I do on various spades and straightening cards. (Board pair I don't think I'm ever folding.)
I'm eager to see what you think street-by-street, as I think there could be arguments for more than one play on each street. Cheers.