Small thing, but you have to remove the board pairing flush outs vs villain's sets in the AJhh hand around 9 mins. I still think it's a call, but not all hearts are clean vs villain's sets.
July 14, 2015 | 5:12 p.m.
Multiway and deep (as we in single raised pots with 3 players) I like to have nuttable hands, flushes and straights, disguised two pairs etc. My implied odds are great and I'm not going to lose my stack on an 8 high rainbow flop with 87s. Whereas with a hand like KJo on KT8 two tone, competent opponents aren't going to be putting in much money with a worse hand and I basically have an ok bluffcatcher multiway, deepstacked and out of position vs the initial raiser with 2 more streets of action to come.
So I like to use these offsuit broadways as squeeze bluffs because we block a lot of their 4betting range and even flatting range - AK/KQs. And if we do get called it will probably be heads up and we'll have a strong range and the betting lead and a lower stack to pot ratio so we can check raise all in with top pair good kicker.
June 9, 2015 | 1:07 p.m.
RIO formatting seems to have gotten rid of the * so, just edited to make it easier to understand. Mathmatically, I'm not sure how to work that out. I guess you should estimate villain's calling range in sb and work out the price you are getting and then think of hands that will have enough equity vs both ranges.
For overcalling, I would be heavily bias towards suited combos - so any suited Ace, most suited Kings, 67s, all smaller pps. I would probably squeeze as a bluff here with a hand like KQo/KJo/AJo, overcall with AQo/JTs and squeeze for value for AQs+ TT+. Seems pretty reasonable.
June 8, 2015 | 9:12 p.m.
I think if you want to be able to bluff river you need to set up sizing on flop and turn so you have more FE on river with a bigger bet. I would bet between 40-50% on flop and turn to leave about $6.10 to jam in to $7.60 on river. Sized as you did you only have to be bluffing 25% of the time for his call to be break even.
I would check back turn to realise equity, as J is a far better card for his range than yours - he has more JJ, JTs (with bdfd or fd that might float), AJs (sometimes) combos than you do, I'd also check back half my AA combos here to protect these bluffs. Then bet 80% on any K, Q, diamond and half the club rivers (bdfd).
June 8, 2015 | 5:15 p.m.
To work out how much you need to defend to prevent him profitably raising any two cards use this formula.
Where risk = the bbs he is raising and reward = bbs in pot. So for 4bb raise size we get 1-(4/(4+1.5) = .2727. Which works out as 27.27%. But, the onus to defend the blinds is not just on you in the bb, some % of the time the sb will combat his open as well. So if we weight the amount each player contributed to the dead blinds to work out how much they should each defend vs a 4bb open we get:
BB= 27.27 * 0.66 (because BB contributed 66% of dead money ~ 1bb) = 18%
SB = 27.27 * 0.33 = 9%
(rounded up to nearest whole number)
Hope that helps.
June 8, 2015 | 4:58 p.m.
There's obviously no value hands you beat here. I think turn is clear x/f. You have AJ in your range as well as AK some % of the time and JJ so AQ isn't that high up that you need to call. I hate his sizing if he's value betting, especially if it has you folding a hand as good as AQ on this flop.
April 29, 2015 | 1:46 p.m.
As above, fold pre vs this villain and fold river as played. I think vs population AJo could be a better 4bet bluff hand co v btn and AJs makes a better call. 68% of the time you miss the flop oop, and the 32% you do flop a pair you're often dominated vs 3bettors range.
April 29, 2015 | 1:40 p.m.
- just call - you telegraph your hand strength too much when you raise. he may be inducing with 5x.
- nuts or air - he's never doing this with QT and probably not KQ? vs villain you described you have to call I think.
- could be 67cc or just a super value heavy 5. Vs this guy I'd probably call turn then call any non club non 9/4/A/K river. Or if you really think he's full of it just jam turn.
Vs 10nl population I'm snap folding turn though, and never raising flop cbet. pretty horrible spot either way. Folding flop would not be a disaster by any stretch, as vs someone this mad you'll own him in other ways than calling down with marginal TPs.
April 29, 2015 | 1:38 p.m.
Really enjoyed the video, thanks. Personally, I'd like to see something on constructing preflop ranges, RFI, 3b, 4b from and vs different positions. With a view to being balanced and getting enough board coverage on different flops from all positions.