You gave no reads, so we assume these are unknowns. Though, you have more than 100bbs, so you must have played a couple of hands and at least know if the BB is reggish.
Assuming the squeezer is somewhat reasonable, he most likely has good high cards, good aces ss or double suited high rundowns. On the flop, when the agg checks, i think it's a reasonable spot to bet with our TP+ gutshot, it looks strong and we make them fold a good chunk of equity. If they raise we are never really bad. A check might also work, with the plan to raise if Btn bets. But i'd prefer to bet in this spot.
On the turn, his bet looks on the weak side. We should also consider that the Q hits our range better than the initial aggressor, so his bet makes me believe he is more likely to also have a Q in his hand plus some high cards. That means a lot of equity against our hand. We don't like a 7, 3, A, K, also 9, on river. That's about 25-30% equity, we are happy to fold out if we raise in this spot. We don't let him realize his equity. Yes, it does look like we have a draw when we just call here and he might pay on river, but i think this will happen less often then the benefits we gain from him folding out the equity in turn. Additionally, we keep our range more balanced when we have a solid combodraw on turn and decide to raise.
This is my opinion, please post if you see it differently.
Aug. 21, 2014 | 8:48 a.m.
Although it's a speculative rundown, it looks to be a call pre as the double single-gaps are below and it will hit some flops quite well (we might even dominate some of his rundowns given his high 3bet). Not sure how it plays against a tough opponent.
Spasswer, what Cbet % did you use (sorry if missed it in the juice example)? Could you run it using a 12% 3bet, and a 50% cbet ( it's a very wet board that hits us pretty well, so i think he might check a wider range here)?
Aug. 20, 2014 | 9:42 p.m.
Nice video. Thanks for sharing your thought process. I like that you find it easy to recognize when you are not sure about a certain spot. Do you review the hands after the session? If yes, what is your approach?
I am wondering about two hands:
- at ~34:45 - you fold AQT4ss (to A) IP (OTB) versus what looks a loose opener?
- same at 44:50 with AQJ5ss (toA) IP vs. UTG loose opener?
You note that these are close spots. I had the impression that ABBxss (toA) are profitable IP (as flats/ or 3bs in specific spots). Can you elaborate more on these kind of hands?
July 16, 2014 | 10:55 a.m.
Very nice, detailed answer, thanks Tom.
I guess it's a close spot if we add a flush draw on this flop, like instead of 9s is a 9h.
May 21, 2014 | 10:23 a.m.
SB: Hero: $11.37
BB: Player3: $11.62
UTG: Player4: $9.20
HJ: Player5: $10.61
CO: Player6: $8.30
While in game, I was lost on the turn. So, I would like to hear some thoughts for optimal turn play. Subsequently, what do we do on different rivers?
Player4 folds, Player5 folds, Player6 folds, Player1 raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.95, Player3 folds, Player1 calls $0.70