I have been watching a ton of videos about sizing and agree a smaller bet size in this spot would be better. And when i think about it more if villain had the nut flush here he played it in a way which would have won him more if i wasn't such a river raise calling nit..
Dec. 13, 2018 | 8:30 a.m.
i mean being 4pl it is also possible he doesn't know the rules and thought he actually had the nuts with his Ad : )
Dec. 13, 2018 | 8:17 a.m.
Okay so I can’t get the hand history to work from Microgaming so will attempt to just write it out. Been thinking a lot about this hand and think I made a big mistake folding river.
Three handed. Effective stack 200bb. I open pot on the button with KKJ5ds. The sb folds and the big blind pots. I call. I think this is fairly standard. No history with villain. I do have him tagged yellow which means that he kind of knows what he is doing but is on the looser side.
Flop is 472 all diamonds giving me the second nut flush. Villain check calls 75% psb.
Villain checks a Ten on the turn. This is where I think I make a big mistake, I check back. My reasoning being that if he has AAxx no flush , I’m miles ahead, like have him pretty much drawing dead and am crushed if he has AAxxdd
River is a Q. Villain checks again so I go for value and bet 75% pot and villain rips it in my face, check raising pot.
Now, Is villain ever playing the nut flush like this? I mean ever. I have the second nuts and there are 4 diamonds on the board and two in my hand.
I remember listening to a Phil Galfond video where he says when things don’t make sense a good default strategy is to just call. I folded. I levelled myself into a fold where I think it should have been a clear call, as am at the near top of my range..
I think my turn check back made villain think he could successfully turn the nut flush blocker into a bluff, as most people would be going for 3 streets of value with the second nuts here.
Dec. 12, 2018 | 10:52 a.m.
3 bet bluffing doesn’t work so well in micro plo.. river is definitely a fold..although I think we have to cbet.. if we were playing holdem I can see why checking back flop with nfd might be a good idea..
Dec. 4, 2018 | 9:53 p.m.
I am learning plo at the minute and have a hard time folding KK pre.. However I find it easy to fold in the blinds.. it just sucks ass playing a deep 4 bet pot OOP with meh Kings vs a villain who is going to Cbet most flops.. we can’t just fold all flops that don’t give us the nuts, which is how we end up in a shitty spot sticking in 70bb and folding to the second barrel..
Dec. 3, 2018 | 11:16 p.m.
I don’t understand why it is better to bet this flop with JJ than it is AA/KK. Villain likely has 6 outs with two overs or he has a hand like 55-88, maybe even ATs..
the only bluff we can have when we bomb turn really is AQs+, occasionally JQ however given UTG is a CS we wouldn’t be wanting to play a big pot OOP with JQ which is why your range is pretty much JJ+ AQs+.. would like to check turns in this spot some % of the time and let villain float us.
I Wouldn’t be worried about too many river cards, villain likely has just 12% equity with his overs and just 4% with his pocket pairs that don’t have straight draws. I like two streets of value in these spots,but just don’t really see what is calling us that we beat as played given villain is tight..
sometimes I think you just have to be brave to get stacks and let villain put you on AK, which is impossible given how the hand has played out.. in these spots with SPR ~ 1, I base my action when OOP on what I would do if villain shoves.. if I call I just check and give him some rope.. it’s sooooo tempting to just ram it in when in villains shoes with all kinds of hands that we are absolutely crushing with this SPR..
Sept. 18, 2018 | 12:24 p.m.
It's not that large considering villain opens for pot..
Sept. 8, 2018 | 4:06 p.m.
Sept. 7, 2018 | 11:09 a.m.
So how do we know which bluffcatchers are bluff raises and which are bluffcatchers? We can’t raise too many bluff catchers as we won’t have any good bluff catchers left to bluff catch? I think I answered my own question.. raise the worst bluffcatchers, bluffcatch with the best?
Sept. 7, 2018 | 2:29 a.m.
If you have to choose AK on this board to turn into a bluff I think you have to do something aggressive before the river.. and raise bigger. You aren’t using that sizing with a Q like ever.. it almost looks like you are turning AA into a bluff cos why not...