I agree with your anlysis, in fact i think i only have 7 outs on the turn so it should definitely be a fold.
Yeah that was my plan for the river but i changed my mind after thinking about it. What do you expect to fold out on the river?I have very little air on the river so game theory wise i should be shoving but the fact is I think he almost always has a flush here which he has added into his c/c range. If he did somehow have a semi bluff i think he continues with it a high percentage of the time on the river. Maybe some small percentage of the time I fold out 78s. The fact i don't think i can bluff profitably here probably makes it even more of a fold on the turn.
Jan. 25, 2015 | 6:20 a.m.
MP: $1150.25 (Hero)