BubbleNedRum's avatar

BubbleNedRum

82 points

maybe on higher stakes with less rake and looser 4b ranges.
but i am quite certain that it is not profitable to 3b/c a hand like A5s with a SPR of 1.2x or something with tight 4b ranges, even IP and given your small-ish 4b sizing (which i like though)

Sept. 20, 2018 | 1:26 p.m.

don't see a reason not to cbet range on this flop here. also not sure why you give him A2-5s?
as played easy call on the turn, if he'd bet 80% i would start thinking about folding, but not vs 45% after two checks from the PFA

Sept. 20, 2018 | 10:53 a.m.

i'd either check flop or turn tbh (might be wrong though, because i tend to check too much).
when 3betting 4x we probably have 0 sets on this texture, while he can have them all.

Sept. 20, 2018 | 10:49 a.m.

i guess vs most of the population this line is fine. agreed with slightly bigger flop sizing.

Sept. 18, 2018 | 2:33 p.m.

would not agree 100% with that.
obv. there is some truth in it, but I would be a bit more cautious.
especially concerning rake and general tightness of lower stakes, you can make massive mistakes by watching and trying to adapt plays from higher stakes.
yes, the coaches will hopefully explain what they are doing, but you will also have a lot of stuff like "we have to call this 3b with QTo BU vs SB, it is super standard", when on the micros it is in most instances a losing play. and for a beginner it is very difficult what is "standard" in the different games.

Sept. 6, 2018 | 10:41 p.m.

nh. especially on NL10 you will see enough confused AK, KJ, KQ AQ, TT type of hands or completely random spazz to make the call profitable. if he has any of the few AJ / AA combos, so be it.

please leave out the results in the future.

Sept. 4, 2018 | 6:21 p.m.

Sept. 4, 2018 | 11:08 a.m.

i think you are talking about something completely different. also limping is not simplifying, but rather adding another branch to the game tree.
what hero is asking is something like this: if GTO is betting 70% and checking 30%, where every single hand is a mix of both, how much EV can we loose by just betting 100%. and thats what the other two guys answered quite brilliant.

Aug. 31, 2018 | 7:18 p.m.

have you seen the post of samu above?

Aug. 28, 2018 | 3:05 p.m.

you analysed it perfectly imo. would only go a tad bigger on the flop

Aug. 26, 2018 | 11:50 a.m.

i don't like the check-call, i think he will mostly show up with better when he bets and check all the stuff that we beat behind. i also see pretty much zero bluffs. maybe the 3 combos 98s BDFD. especially vs fish i like the exploitative blockbet of something like 11.8bb here a lot, we can still get value from the odd AJ, QJ, JT, J9.

Aug. 25, 2018 | 12:47 p.m.

i don't like the calldown.
the biggest reason is that you block the mostly likely bluff he does that with heavily, namely 97. there is further no BDFD which he could barrel as a bluff, reducing his bluffincombos to a minimum. additionally, you have so many better hands here to continue with. i am bad with combo counting, but you probably have 87s, 98s, T9s, JTs, QTs, KTs, ATs, TT-AA to continue.
if anything, i would prefer a raise over the call on the river way more.

Aug. 25, 2018 | 12:41 p.m.

i mean i like the idea, but recently i started to wonder how good overbets are working on NL10. it's a bit of a whatever example, but recently i overbet river and what i assumed was one of the strongest regs in the pool called me off with third pair and a blocker to the busted flush draw. the board was K94dd x 6 and he called me with 7d6x.
so what i am saying is, not even regs like folding on this limit and i am not sure how likely it is that you get to fold out AJ/AQ/AK on later streets

Aug. 24, 2018 | 11:26 a.m.

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.05 (Hero)
SB: $9.90
BB: $12.31
UTG: $10.05
MP: $15.18
CO: $10.05
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with 7 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB folds, BB raises to $1.00, Hero calls $0.75
Flop ($2.05) 9 9 K
BB bets $0.98, Hero calls $0.98
Turn ($4.01) 9 9 K 9
BB checks, Hero bets $2.25

Aug. 17, 2018 | 5:21 p.m.

are you sure you can generalize that?
i have the feeling that even on NL10 regs are super aggressive vs checks

Aug. 16, 2018 | 3:55 p.m.

for that topic check this thread and especially the posts of zenfish:

http://www.runitonce.com/nlhe/why-13-is-the-best-sizing-on-the-flop/

Aug. 14, 2018 | 3:38 p.m.

i don't mind the coldcall here, because regs on this limit coldcall still way to wide. because of that even thinking villains will not put you on the quite obvious TT-JJ, AQ, KQ or whatever range. from something like NL25/50 i would stop having a coldcall3bet range.

overall i like the way you played the hand, we can't fold on the turn yet with that sizing imo, even though most rivers will play really shitty.

Aug. 14, 2018 | 2:25 p.m.

if i want to check stuff on the turn i would prefer JT, QJ, KT kind of hands because they block gutshots/straighdraws, preferably with a spade (even though you probably only have KQo)
with this assumption I might be wrong, but I would also prefer checking AsA/KsK over ATo because protection is less of an issue. with that statement i am not 100% sure though.

Aug. 14, 2018 | 2:22 p.m.

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $25.07
SB: $22.12
BB: $17.48
UTG: $18.41 (Hero)
MP: $31.41
CO: $9.81
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to $0.48, 2 folds, BN raises to $1.44, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3.88, BN calls $2.44
Flop ($8.00) K 2 J
Hero

Aug. 13, 2018 | 6:48 p.m.

Aug. 13, 2018 | 6:02 p.m.

cheers for pointing that out, for whatever reason i forgot the "half" in front of "potsize" :D

Aug. 11, 2018 | 1:18 p.m.

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $16.81
SB: $32.51 (Hero)
BB: $47.34
UTG: $22.07
MP: $14.21
CO: $20.48
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is SB with A J
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.48, BB raises to $1.72, Hero calls $1.24
Flop ($3.44) 3 5 J
Hero checks, BB bets $1.58, Hero calls $1.58
Turn ($6.60) 3 5 J 8
Hero checks, BB bets $3.92, Hero calls $3.92
River ($14.44) 3 5 J 8 9
Hero checks, BB bets $8.24, Hero folds
Final Pot BB wins $13.79
Rake is $0.65

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:39 p.m.

Hand History | BubbleNedRum posted in NLHE: [z16] AKo 3bet pot fold turn?
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $24.40 (Hero)
SB: $17.51
BB: $13.15
UTG: $17.81
MP: $40.28
CO: $23.94
villain is unkown, playing 18/9 over 11 hands
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BN with K A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.40, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.38, SB folds, BB calls $1.22, MP calls $0.98
Flop ($4.22) K 8 5
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB folds, MP raises to $3.60, Hero calls $2.35
very standard until here.
Turn ($11.42) K 8 5 3
MP bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00
now the hand gets tricky. i was very close to folding turn, because we block the few bluffs he might have on an otherwise really dry board. but then i thought that we are very far up in our range and if we fold AK here, we basically fold everything and leave us only with AA and KK.
River ($23.42) K 8 5 3 Q
MP bets $17.90, Hero folds
OTR we have pretty much half-potsize left and i think it is an easy fold, after even KQ gets there.
Final Pot MP wins $22.37
Rake is $1.05

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:32 p.m.

not sure about a 1/4 pot bet on this flop. if the flop were T22 I would agree, but I would assume that Q99 is a very good board for the caller.

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:22 p.m.

agreed with the previous posters, especially in these positions.
if it would go EP or, HJ 3bet and BB cold4bet I would be more inclined to just call.

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:19 p.m.

yes, i would also cbet small here. you should be aware that 33 needs more protection than, say, TT here.
as played i would probably fold river, he has zero natural bluffs. would be way more inclined to bluffcatch if there is a FD on the board when it goes b/x/b

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:18 p.m.

nothing to add here, very good post!

Aug. 10, 2018 | 1:14 p.m.

would you mind giving us the range you see him raising on the turn?

Aug. 9, 2018 | 10:35 a.m.

is so far no one in the jam turn camp to deny equity?

as opposed to Kalupso, i don't think he has K9s in his range, 22 very rarely and that pretty much leaves 99 for his valuecombos.

Aug. 7, 2018 | 2:15 p.m.

i don't know if i would be capable to do it in game, but i think now looking at it i would prefer folding.
villain does not seem like the kind of player, who would understand that he has more 6x, twopair in this spot than we do and therefore i see him rarely bluffing.
given that he folded 1-6 to cbet should already narrow his range quite a bit. and do you really think that he is donking a random A7s or whatever?
plus we are blocking the BDFD, so if we want to fold something we should start with these combos

Aug. 7, 2018 | 2:09 p.m.

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