CUT OFF opens 2.3x we are BB with pocket 66s, 30BBs effective no icm considerations yet.
When i look at charts, i can se that it's a +EV jam and it's recommended to jam Pairs, especially low pairs, and some Ax can be good jams at 20-30bb in this kind of spots, especially if they fold to much etc.
However, if we feel that we have a great edge, do we really want to take those small +EV spots? Or is it better to relax abit and play as much postflop as possibole? I just feel like im busting alot of mtts this way on coinflips, in soft fields. I'm fine taking them if i feel like a underdog at the table or that i dont have big edge postflop ofcourse, but otherwise i feel like its not the necessary line.
Feb. 3, 2019 | 10:24 p.m.
Its called variance
Jan. 28, 2019 | 5:34 p.m.
Pretty random flop bet, if u want to get creative rather start betting 22-44 with a diamond, or some Kq jq kjs, then you have abit More equity when called. I dont se any reason to add random bluffs here 3way, when ranges are pretty strong. And you have the natural better bluffs.
As played i would also overbet river probably:D think sb Will bet flushes alot otr and u can credible rep flushes. Its better to have a high diamond or 54s as you would block his calls. But i think he Will bet overfolding here so like the overbet. Just be careful with the flop play its pretty bad
Jan. 19, 2019 | 7:35 p.m.
As Krzysztof Slaski says, i agree this spot is likely very underbluffed because how the board lacks any kind of natural bluffs. He basically need to xr and barrel off some 55,66,88,89s wich i dont se happening at 200z. It’s very likely a 7x that just want to make sure he stacks all good Ax.
Jan. 18, 2019 | 11:52 a.m.
Jan. 18, 2019 | 11:44 a.m.
Against a weak fish player type i Defently valuebet, not to big as we target a very weak 1 pair so we dont wanna go to large for thin value. Its Pretty important to know if hes capable of xr bluffing etc and How u gonna respond. Against weak passive i just tend to bet alot and fold to action
Jan. 4, 2019 | 2:02 p.m.
How do you guys change when playing deeper stacks?
I guess the standard advice is, you can 3bet abit more in position and tighten up abit OOP because positions matters more when SPR is bigger.
Would be nice to hear what you guys think, like how much tighter should we 4bet, how much wider 3bet? Maybe someone working with PIOpreflop can share some insights.
I dont find any videos about this, juan copani have some good vids about deep, but they are more about postflop play!
Jan. 2, 2019 | 11:58 p.m.
About the ranges i gave, i gave him 50% of the J7o, all J8o, most of the 77-88.
''Thin value (26)
J9 (6), J10 (8), QJs (3), T9 (9), ''
Yea, ofcourse, if he goes for thin value with this range, the story is different. Thats not happening in my game however vs competent players, and its not happening at equilibrium either.
But if thats the case, we want to call. But that's a big assumption imo. If you play in soft live games, yea it's quite different because some recs just se their trips and jams way to thinly here.
''I feel it is one of those spots where your right less than half the time, but have to call with the odds.''
Invite me to your games please, they seem soft :d
Jan. 2, 2019 | 11:52 p.m.
''But, is the villain capable of having enough bluffs when they B B B?''
Thats my worry, he had a pretty low aggression and barrel frequncies over a decent sample. Also the this board i dont think he tries to get me off an ace often enough, for this sizing.
What do you think about bluffcatchers? Prefer AJ over A4,A5s? or other way around?
Jan. 2, 2019 | 7:16 p.m.
Ohh, i mean he cant jam JT, JQ in this spot, its way to thin and would acctualy be a bluff ^^
Only calling boats= overfolding. Im not sure, havent checked this one in a solver yet, maybe it's. I think its close because both players have a decent amount of boats, including offsuit combos.
But i also mentioned this villian got low aggression factor, so if its a close or 0EV call in a solver, its a fold because he wont find the bluffs thats hard to find, as a weak player.
Jan. 2, 2019 | 7:09 p.m.
RunItTw1ce Yes i think so.
Yea, me too.. Ye, but i still belive we rather should call with worse Ax becaue we want to think about removal in this situation, having the J kicker dosent help us to beat his value range, we do block bluffs tho.
Jan. 2, 2019 | 6:45 p.m.
UTG: $192.70 (Hero)
Jan. 2, 2019 | 6:31 p.m.
SB: $209.63 (Hero)
Jan. 2, 2019 | 6:22 p.m.
UTG wins and shows a full house, Jacks full of Threes.
UTG wins $462.11
Rake is $2.75
Jan. 2, 2019 | 6:08 p.m.
SB: $276.61 (Hero)
Jan. 2, 2019 | 5:27 p.m.
100bb first plz, Will be More beneficial för cash players as well!
Dec. 28, 2018 | 4:28 a.m.
Is this stuff also applicable to cashgames? Like how much we needed to tighten up our calls against a ''to tight'' 3b range. Or are we able to defend much wider there because of the SPR is bigger?
Maybe you could do the next part on 100bbs.
Dec. 26, 2018 | 4:01 p.m.
Acctualy i think anzbar line is cool in a vaccum, and the highest ev line. IP Will do More calling mistakes than bluffing on that turn, and still calling all value. Probably not balanced as you said tho.
Dec. 23, 2018 | 8:09 p.m.
I have some questions about exploitative plays and the risk off getting exploited back.
So let's assume we have an autoprofit spot, for example that our opponent is folding to much, so all off our bluffs will be +EV in a vaccum.
Shall we then go for the 100% exploit?
- The merit i se is that we gain alot of EV with some trash hands that should not have buisness in bluffing.
- The problem tho, is that we can loose alot of EV in the future if we get detected with some crazy reckless bluffs.
I think the best way to go is to overbluff for sure, but don't use bluffs that looks too reckless so our opponent can/will start to adjust, because then suddenly our strategy can be sucidal, if he decide to start bluffcatching us a ton because he saw us with some reckless bluffs. And i dont think we want to be in such a levling wars?
There would be some exceptions there we probably want to exploit 100%, more likely this will happen in live games against people we wont see again, or against recrational players in some spots. But starting levling wars against regs in a game we play alot dosent seem to appealing?
Also another thing about absuing people 100%, is that they might notice, and fix leaks in their games and then we lost long term EV.
Another example would be if someone is not bluffing enough OTR and we got a bluffcatcher, we want to fold all the bluffcatchers in a vaccum,
but can that hurt is in the long run?
- I think no? Because they don't know what type of hand we folded, and our stats can still look very legit/standard. So i think we are pretty safe in this type of spots, atleast in a bigger player pool when the spot dosen't show up very often so it's extremly difficult to detect. It would be more of a dangerous exploit if we play a small pool with good players in my opinion.
I want to hear your thougts, on how much you think we should exploit in these type of spots if you agree or think different.