The end of the first week. One of the hardest weeks of my career. There hasn't been a time in nearly a year where I had so little focus. The last time I had this kind of focus problem, my coach told me I played poker badly. This time, I'm conscious that I've been playing poker very badly, without him needing to say it.I think I know the root cause of this.
My wife is dissatisfied with her job for a very long time. That's why I try to have constructive conversations with her about her job every day. As a result of these conversations, we thought that leaving the job was the right decision. She wants to quit her job and stay at home for a certain period of time. Of course, to do this, I either need to earn more money or spend less.
I try not to talk about the mental effects of poker on me to show those around me how professional I am at poker. Therefore, the people around me think that I have no problems and that everything is perfect. But the facts are not like that. While my wife is having problems, I am having problems too. But I had to hide these problems for too long. Because from focusing on her problems, I forgot about my own problems. When these problems are added to the fear of financial difficulties, you can realize that it is a complete disaster for poker.
Yesterday I realized that this was not going to continue like this and decided to talk to my wife. I told her that he had problems, that I respected that, but that life goes on and that I couldn't talk to her about my problems because he kept having these problems all the time. It's hard not to talk about these things with my wife for a long time because my wife is my best friend.
I try to follow 100 buyin rule. Because of this i try to mix the stakes.
NL500 Bankroll 26.
NL200 Bankroll 66.
NL100 Bankroll 131.
NL50 Bankroll 262.
1NL200 3 NL100 105.
2NL 200 3 NL100 94.
3NL200 3 NL100 87.
When I start playing higher limit, if things don't go well enough, I feel an unnecessary pressure on me. Not all of my poker bank is on GGPoker. It's $1850 right now. When I play NL200 and lose 1-2 buyins, I feel pressure as if my bankroll is gone. I was having the same problem when playing live poker. Every time I had to add money to the table, there was an unnecessary pressure on me even though I had enough cash. Playing for a week without looking at my safe is probably the best option. If I get the message that my bankroll is not enough, I can already understand that I need to stop playing NL200. So this week, my extra goal for the next week will be to be able to play without looking at my bankroll.
June 26, 2022 | 8:57 a.m.
Yeah. I can only play from GGPoker, WPN and some app games. I never try WPN in new skin.
I try to calculate the total money i get back from GGPoker. Its really hard because its depends on how lucky you are in Jackpot. The number i find is something like %42. Rake in NL100 is 10.5bb/100 so i am getting 4,4bb/100 from rakeback. But in very long run. Short run sometimes you will not hit jackpot and it can drop to 2,5bb/100. For NL200 rale 8,73bb/100 and rakeback will be 3,66bb/100. I can compare Bodog player and GGPlayer.
Bodog player because of the 4 table limitation can only play 25k-30k hands for a month (correct me if i am wrong because i play there for a little period). GGPlayer can grind very hard but lets say with same focus he can play 35k-40k for a month. If GG player hit 4bb/100 winrate in NL200 it will be 7,66bb/100 and he will earn 5362$. Bodog player need to hit for 10,7bb/100 winrate to reach that money. I don't know how much rakeback they get but i think in long run it will be 1bb/100. So GGplayer 4bb/100 = Bodog player 9bb/100. Its not %100 but it can give some idea.
June 24, 2022 | 5:33 a.m.
New Destination Time
3 years ago, my friend said we are going to play live poker. Back then, I had a $1000 poker bankroll. I told him it was impossible because I had no money. He told me he was going to stack me. This is how my live poker adventure began.
Here I met new players whose existence I was not aware of before. I played with many different players. And unknowingly, I overestimated the people here with the guidance of their people. At that time, I didn't have the poker knowledge I have today. Despite that, I was a decent poker player. That's why I set a goal for myself without realizing it. "One day I will be a better player than the players here"
I came back from a poker festival 3 years later. I couldn't understand this so clearly, but my game and personality have changed a lot. I was sure I knew better poker than anyone sitting at my desk. More importantly, I was more professional than anyone else sitting at my desk. It is an incredible feeling when a person realizes that he is successful in a job he has worked hard for.
I came home after the festival and the main problem appeared. For all these years, I have unconsciously set myself the goal of becoming a better player than the people there. And from the impression I got from the people I talked to and from the game played at the table, I've already accomplished that. Because of this, I started to have a hard time playing poker. But I can still study for hours. That's why I think it's time to leave this part of my career behind. It's time to set new goals. But first, I need to remind myself briefly what I've accomplished.
-I have made all my family and people around me adopt poker as a profession.
-I was selected to one of the world's leading poker groups.
-I learned a completely new game.
-I learned how to develop my own strategy.
-I played too many hands.
-I started exercising regularly.
And so many other things that I didn't think of. All my hands from GGPoker.
(Yeah winrate is look low because of high rake and so many rush and cash tables)
All my hands from reg tables.
Only Reg Tables
Currently my poker bank is 13K$. My first goal is to play NL200 online poker and NL500 live poker comfortably. 100 buyins for online, 40 buyins for live are acceptable to me. So my first goal will be 20K$ poker bankroll until the new year. Usually $1000 is enough for my expenses for the house. On average, it will be necessary to withdraw this amount every month. I will review this on a weekly basis. As difficult as it is, I will share all of my assessments here. For this, I think Sundays are the best choice. My weekly posts will not be based on money. Because it is very meaningless to evaluate poker in such a short time.
1.Play poker at least 27 hours a week.
2.Crossfit at least 4 times in a week.
3.Same morning routine at least 6 times in a week.
I didn't set a goal to study because I always have motivation to study.
-Brush your teeth.
-Clean coffee machine.
-Grind coffee on the balcony for sunlight.
-Huberman Space time bridging on the balcony.
-Put the coffee in the machine and take a cold shower.
-Put the coffee in the thermos to drink after 1 hour.
-Visualize what happens if I don't reach the goal for 1 minute.
June 21, 2022 | 6:12 a.m.
Hey Butcher1848 .I'm glad you like my posts. I also like the big bankroll thing but like there is also confusion there. What is big bankroll and what is small bankroll? If we use variance calculator again for 5bb/100 winner Minimum bankroll for less than 5% risk of ruin bankroll is 30 buyin. If you want less risk and use %1 risk of ruin if i remember will be 2.2 times of the %5 which will be 60 buyin. But is %1 risk acceptable?It can be very personal. For me right now after trying different bankroll management i decide to use 50 buyin. I am 31 years old and i really want to be risky right now in my career. But again %1,5 risk of ruin can be very risky for another player.
I don't dislike GTO players. What i try to say is open a GTO solver and act like you are training is so easy. I usually find myself in an endless debate when i talk about a hand on the GTO program. Because EV difference vs Reg in so many spot is soooo close. You can play A and strategy can be ok in GTO, you can play B and strategy can be ok in GTO maybe you can even play C strategy still can be ok in GTO.
Of course we can't play face up vs good players. But what if all the good players study only GTO. Its mean they will not try to counter exploit other good players anymore. Because GTO is a defensive strategy and people try to use it vs regs to become unexploitable. What if they make some mistakes when try to implement GTO? Its mean you can still exploit them.
%20 of the reg population is very passive
%46 have normal agression with huge leaks
So %84 of the player pool between NL50-NL200 have really big leaks. If people spend all of their time to exploit %16 of the population i am not interested of that. Maybe after NL500 people become less exploitable. I really don't know because i only played 200K hands in NL500+.
May 11, 2022 | 1:05 p.m.
Why Do We Share Monthly Results?
I have different opinions than most people around me. Most of the things people do just make no sense to me. To give an example, I don't understand why people share photos of themselves. Whenever I see a person posting their own photo, I think they are not in a good place psychologically. Because I think this way, I prefer not to do it in my own life. Nor do I have the urge to do so. I am aware that monthly charts and results mean nothing when it comes to poker. So why can't I give the reaction I give in my normal life for poker? There is only one reason for this, I could not digest this subject enough.
How many hands can a mid-high stakes professional poker player can play in 1 month if he plays normal tables with good table selection?
-If he plays app games it will be around 25K-30K, if he plays normal games it will be around 35K-40K.
How accurate is the monthly graph for that hand sample in the %95 confidence interval?
-It depends on variance and winrate. Let's take variance 100 and winrate 2 ,4 ,6 ,8, 10.
2bb/100 player - [-9.55 BB/100, 13.55 BB/100]
4bb/100 player - [-7.55 BB/100, 15.55 BB/100]
6bb/100 player - [-5.55 BB/100, 17.55 BB/100]
8bb/100 player - [-3.55 BB/100, 19.55 BB/100]
10bb/100 player - [-1.55 BB/100, 21.55 BB/100]
As we saw above, after a month, the player's money gain or loss can be very different from the player's expected value. In other words, it is impossible to draw a conclusion about our game from the 1-month results. That's not the interesting part here. How do we decide our own winrate? Because we need at least 4,000,000 hands to be sure with a deviation of 1bb/100 from an average win rate. In other words, with a win rate that we are not sure of at the end of the day, we reach a result with a very high deviation.
So why am I sharing my monthly results? Because other people do it and I envy them.
Is it important to know that smoking is harmful or not to smoke?
No matter how much I write about the harmfulness of smoking, what does it mean as long as I smoke?
I have to constantly remind myself of perhaps one of the most important things in poker. Short-term results mean nothing.
Instead of preoccupying your brain with these, you can deal with more productive things with less stress. Believe what you know is right and try to add what you believe to your life.
(Note, this article was written as a personal review.)
May 5, 2022 | 10:56 a.m.
First of all, I couldn't reach my goal. My goal was to play poker for 100 hours. I was able to play 90 hours. Although I did not reach my goal, I am very happy. Because I tried to play poker only when I was fully focused on the table. Probably 90 hours played with high focus is better than 100 hours played with low focus.
Some days this month I tried to wake up without setting an alarm. Because of this, there were times when I woke up 1 hour later than my normal time. However, as my time in H2N was a bit too much, I didn't have much time to play.
I have snaping hip problem for about 1 year. I tried to fix this problem by stretching it without a plan, but it didn't work. My biggest goal in the new month is to stretch for 20-25 minutes a day, 6 days a week. No matter how actively I do sports, I have shortened both my hamstrings and hip flexors because I spend long periods of time sitting.If I don't take action on these, I think I will have bigger problems in my future life.
I continue to improve myself as a poker player. I think I'm starting to play most situations better than most players. I have problems especially with 3BP caller pots. I think this may have something to do with the high rake system of GGPoker. So this month I will focus on these situations.
March 31, 2022 | 1:22 p.m.
Hey it is one of the friend of mine i dont want to be go more detailed about it if you dont mind.
Yeah Crossfit is really great for me. I have so many friends from Crossfit. The best part me and my wife go Crossfit together and it give me more motivation.
March 25, 2022 | 10 a.m.
It was a really tough month. At the beginning of this month, my picology was not quite in place. There are many reasons for this. But I think the most important thing is that I stayed away from Crossfit for 2 months due to the closure of my salon and then the covid.
Another reason is that there are not many people around me that I can talk poker to in a healthy way. Most people don't look at poker the way I do. They're too GTO-oriented as a strategy, and I don't like it. Or they don't take the game as seriously as I do. I don't have many friends who can properly review and warn my game when I play badly.
I haven't been in good shape financially for the last two months. That's why I decided to stop our lessons with my coach for a while. I didn't share the big swing I had with him. Because I didn't want him to feel obligated to help me. But he did me a huge favor and offered to analyze my game for free. Because we also have a strong friendship. From that moment on, things started to go very well.
We found that most of the mistakes I made in the game were caused by losing my focus during the game. We found that most of the mistakes I made in the game were caused by losing my focus during the game. I realized that this was due to the fact that I had taken a break from sports for a long time and played a lot of tables. I immediately took action and applied some of the things we agreed with my coach to my poker life.
I put my phone in "Do not disturb" mode during the session. It rings if there is an emergency and someone calls me twice within 15 minutes. Other than that, it's like my phone is completely off.
I only played poker when I could focus. When I didn't feel well, I finished the session no matter how good the table was.
I started using Self Hypno Threapy program.
I continued to go to Crossfit 4 times a week.
I started to take notes of my feelings and distractions during the session.
With the new month, I will start shot to NL100. My case for the NL100 is currently 88 buyin. And I'm thinking of withdrawing about 5 buyin.
My biggest goal in the new month is to play poker for 100 hours with the habits I have acquired this month.
Good luck to everyone at the tables.
Feb. 28, 2022 | 1:06 p.m.
I think something wrong with your calculation about GGPoker. Because average winrate of the regs is higher than this in my calculation. And most of the high volume regs in low stakes of course have low winrate because they play for rakerace and they get massive money from rakerace.
Feb. 18, 2022 | 9:39 a.m.
Dealing with Big Downswing
It's my second 75+ downswing after I decided to join Pokerdetox and play poker professionally. As a person who has experienced this twice and survived it once, I think that I am more experienced than most people. That's why I wanted to write something about this topic.
First of all, I have to say that it is not easy to deal with such big swings. Although it may seem like a great advantage to gain experience before, it does not change the things experienced at all. You still feel like you're never going to win again.
Most of the things on the internet about this subject are very true in theory to me, but they don't make any sense in practice. Because everyone's life outside of poker is very different. This is what really creates the pressure. It is not the pressure created by poker, but the total pressure that poker creates when combined with our normal life.
When I faced 75 buyin swing a year ago, I wandered around the house like a spirit for 2 months. I was in a formation that I had dreamed of. I was learning a new strategy. Other than me, people who learned this strategy were getting very good results. I told my wife that everything would get better now, but I had the biggest swing of my life. I was feeling like an idiot. The unhappiness of failing at a job I've spent day and night for 10 years was indescribable. But financially I was in the best shape of my life. No matter how big the swing I experienced was, it didn't affect me much financially because the stake was low.
Now the situations are different. This bad trend started a month before my contract expired. I suffered a great loss in the first month of playing with my own bankroll. The economy in my country is in very bad shape. Everything started to become very expensive. Most of my money was in bitcoin, and it also suffered a serious drop. So, financially, I feel a lot more pressure than before. But this time my advantage is that I know that I am a good poker player.
As you can see, both cases have their own differences. Although the same person has experienced both situations, their reactions are very different. Therefore, each downswing is unique although the size is the same. Therefore, the pain can be different each time. So don't try to be a robot. Instead, be more human and emotionally trust your decisions. If you can't trust your feelings, question yourself as a human being.
Besides, I think there are a few key differences that allow me to deal with downswing better than a lot of people. These are very difficult to write. Because it's stupid to say what you do well. Instead, other people should praise you. That's why I'd like to share my takeaways from what other people have said about me.
-I have the perfect wife. Therefore, I am always at peace at home.
-I don't have any bad habits that I'm addicted to. I consume cigarettes and alcohol as appropriate, and as soon as I realize that I have consumed too much, I set myself long-term limits.
-I exercise regularly.
-I try to apply everything I've learned to become a better version of myself.
-I love integrating even simple things that other people learn and don't apply to my life. For example, after spending 45 minutes in front of the computer, I learned that it is very useful to look at a panoramic image for at least 5 minutes. I'm doing everything I can to apply this knowledge to my poker life.
-I have a lot of respect for the opinions of better players than me. For example, my friend told me that I was making fewer mistakes when I had the swing last time. So I am responsible for the growth of this swing.
-I have great respect for the work I do and I make the people around me feel it.
Feb. 9, 2022 | 10:31 a.m.
The Impact of Other Results on Us
How many times have you seen graphics on a poker training site and felt bad?
This has happened to me so much that I can't explain. Especially when everything goes bad, people start to question themselves. When you question yourself and see the results shared by other players, you start to feel even worse. Because people begin to ask themselves. Why am I in this state when these people are getting these results?
But there is something we forgot. Poker is very different from other sports. In other sports, good and bad players can be separated very easily. It takes a really long time to comment on two players in poker. Why? Because there is a concept called variance. That's why you hear from most poker players that short-term results don't make any sense.
What if I told you it's very difficult to compare two players even in the long run?
Player 1 he saw a graphic of one of the students of an educational site on the Internet. He thought how great it would be to take lessons from this site. He also thought about what a bad player he was. Because the results are not like the students on this site.
He has been playing poker for 1 year and has played a total of 500K hands of NL50. Pokertracker shows he is 2bb/100 winner. He wants to improve himself. Because he also wants to be 7.4bb/100 winner. What is the problem here?
Even in 500K hands he can't be sure about his true win rate.
He can be 5bb/100 winner : Probability of running below observed win rate (2.00 BB/100) over 500000 hands with a true win rate of 5.00 BB/100 1.6947%
He can be 4bb/100 winner : Probability of running below observed win rate (2.00 BB/100) over 500000 hands with a true win rate of 4.00 BB/100 7.8650%
He can be 3bb/100 winner : Probability of running below observed win rate (2.00 BB/100) over 500000 hands with a true win rate of 3.00 BB/100 23.9750%
Poker study sites or CFP s usually share the good results of players. That means this player can be in a very big upswing. I don’t want to write it again and again but we can give one extreme example.
Probability of running at or above observed win rate (7.40 BB/100) over 35000 hands with a true win rate of -1.00 BB/100 5.8034%
Our player maybe started to learn and play good poker in the last 100K hands but he hit a very hard downswing. In this case he can double his win rate compared to 2bb/100 in new 100K hands.
Our player can be in a high rake environment which can affect the graph. Let's compare 2 players that have very different winrates.
Player Green: Played with 5bb/100 and gets %20 rakeback. Which means 1.48 bb/100 rakeback. Total win rate will be 6.48 bb/100.
Player Blue: Played with 2bb/100 and gets %50 rakeback. Which means 5 bb/100 rakeback. Total win rate will be 7 bb/100.
As you can see, maybe he has better results, while he mentally affects himself badly because of why I don't have such a graph.
Our player can be a better player even if he has a bad win rate in the long run. So many players do not play poker for a job. So that means they will never be able to play that much to deal with the variance. Even if they play 250K hands with 2bb/100 expected win rate in a year which is not that low they will experience so much variance.
95% confidence interval he will be in [-2.00 BB/100, 6.00 BB/100]
Let’s imagine two friends playing exactly the same strategy and one of them hit -2bb /100 win rate when the other one hit 6bb /100 win rate. Can you imagine how different the two would feel?
One of them will perhaps see this as a career opportunity and quit their job. The other will think that poker is not the game for him and will stop playing poker.
What can happen if they play 500K hands.
95% confidence interval they will be in [-0.83 BB/100, 4.83 BB/100]
Hmm ok. What about 750K hands.
95% confidence interval they will be in [-0.31 BB/100, 4.31 BB/100]
Of course, I am aware that these are extreme examples. But is there any guarantee that you are not one of these extreme examples?
When I had 75 buyin swings, all the other players in my group were winning. When I examined their hands, I realized that they were not doing anything very different from me. In fact, I was sure that I was playing poker more accurately than most. But I couldn't understand why I was in this situation. Players better than me said there weren't too many bugs in my game. I thought they were doing this to keep my motivation high. But later I realized this. The results in poker are not what we think.
Even when we make these calculations and give examples, we are talking about a constant static situation. We are talking about the situations that the player will experience when he plays the whole set of hands with the same winrate. But poker is not like that. Some days we play 1 out of 10, some days we play 10 out of 10.
I want to share with you the biggest lesson I learned for myself last year. Do not compare your results with anyone in poker. Because making an accurate comparison is impossible in most cases. This will do you more harm than good.
Jan. 18, 2022 | 10:54 a.m.
Hello guys. I wanted to open a forum to share what's going on in my poker life in the new year.
If I have to talk about myself briefly, I am 31 years old. I am married. I love poker. My goal is to make me and my wife happier with my love of poker. I've been playing poker for many years. I quit my job 2 years ago and since then my only livelihood has been poker.
Last year was incredible for me. I signed a contract with Pokerdetox. I convinced my wife and myself that everything would be incredible. I encountered this in my first 1.5 months.
(All the hands from GGPoker high rake game)
It was really hard. Because i never experience any winning day for 1.5 month when i face with that downswing. The more difficult part is that this happens right at the time of getting used to the new training site. I saw this as an opportunity for myself. If I could handle this, I was sure I would be stronger. I was very lucky because the people around me trusted me more than I did. Great things have happened with their support.
In that graph i paid 19500$ Rake and get 8775$ back which is around 4bb/100 rakeback.I shot NL500 4-5 times but it didn't go well.
I didn't renew my contract this year and decided to start all over again on my own. Because I think my other missing part for me is bankroll management. I'm not very good at managing my own money, as I've had salaried jobs for years. I want to train myself more for the ups and downs of poker. My goal this year is to start playing NL500 by aggressively managing the bankroll.
I have never been a money-oriented person at any stage of my life. Even making money still doesn't motivate me much. But in poker there is no better value than money to measure my hard work in the long run. That's why I want to set my 2022 goal as earning 75K$. I know that I will work harder than anyone around me while trying to achieve this goal.
My bankroll is 40 Buyin for NL200. I will start with agressive shot to NL200 with 5 buyin. If all goes well i can stay in that limit. If not i will drop down to NL100 to build my NL200 bankroll again. I hope it will be a good year for all of us.
Jan. 3, 2022 | 6:06 a.m.
You mentioned many times in this forum that GTO program is very useful for learning exploit games. Using the node lock feature is really hard on multiple flops. On top of that, when we constantly change the Turn and River cards, things can get very complicated. What do you think we should follow to establish an exploit game? Do we need to learn the GTO game very well?
Aug. 6, 2020 | 5:48 a.m.
Just got back from vacation. We have finished July and it's time to set new goals for August.
- Play 30K hands.
- If you don't have a positive win, spend money on coaching.
- Mark different hands you play and try to develop a strategy on it using node lock.
- Record your deductions from these hands in a notebook, and review them again at the beginning of the week and at the end of the month.
Aug. 1, 2020 | 6:38 a.m.
Overall, I am not happy with your game. Although I knew how little bluff the NL60 players were doing, I made a lot of calls. In general, there are not many players pushing me at the tables.
It is only me that force me.
Pokerbros has no timebank, there are spots I missed while playing 5 tables. For this reason, I reduced my table count to 4 in half the hand set. I think I made healthier decisions after that.
I have some problems with my work routine. I can't work as planned as before.
In general, I would like to share a working day.Maybe there may be things I did wrong.
06:00 - Wake Upp
06:00-06:30 - Breathe Exercise, Making Good Coffee
06:30-06:45 - Warm Up (Mixed things about poker)
06:45-08:45 - Session11
09:00-11:00 - Session22
11:15-12:15 - Session33
12:15-12:30 - Quick look to handss
12:30-13:30 - Breakfastt
13:30-14:00 - Napp
14:00-15:30 - Studyy
15:30-16:30 - Session44
16:30-17:00 - Hand revieww
17:00-18:00 - Free Time (Some streching-Watching Videos))
18:00-20:30 - Crossfitt
20:30-21:30 - Dinnerr
21:30-22:00 - Free Timee
22:00 - Sleep
I plan to go on a small holiday for 4 days over the weekend. I haven't been on vacation for a long time and I hope this is good for me.
July 23, 2020 | 11:12 a.m.
I had tried Challenge before but I failed. I haven't played well enough lately. I'm having trouble focusing. After playing about 150k hands of NL200, I thought I should step back and work on my game. I hope this forum will help me in the development process. I will start again from NL60.