Hawkish's avatar


11 points

Hi Buddha, I play in the $50 and $100 NL games on WSOP as well. From my experience, this is a pretty underbluffed line at these stakes.

No one at this level on WSOP is ever betting the Q of diamonds for value. The overbet on pot into two players (including the PFR) is incredibly strong on this site. As a result, I like your fold - as you've essentially just got a bluff catcher and his line feels very much like a flopped set and a rivered boat.

Scared to let it check through on the flop, so he bets big; checks the scare card on the turn, bombs the river when he's essentially nutted.

Good fold IMO.


Nov. 10, 2022 | 3:04 a.m.

I guess I can understand if someone has an objection to gambling, but I use this as a way to frame less outcome-based behavior in my kids. E.g. AA vs. KK wins a specific percentage of the time, and KK wins the remaining percentage of the time. So as these things have elapsed, my son (13 y/o) is able to understand at a deeper level about how I don't care about results, I care about making the best decisions you can with the information you have.

So now, he looks at things from a less perfectionistic mindset and more of a "did I do the best job that I could, and did I think the process through" - if he did, then the results don't matter. Keep making good decisions over time.

Its an abstract twist on it, but thats worked for me with my kids.

Nov. 10, 2022 | 2:56 a.m.

Thanks for the graph, helps me button that down. I generally play 50NL, and in general, the play is relatively suspect, so I think I've slowly started to let calls creep in.

I definitely get the point about rake. Which makes it much more of a 3b or fold scenario. Thanks for the assist Raoul.

Nov. 10, 2022 | 2:37 a.m.

Lately I've just kind of come to a mental blind zone regarding this spot. Tightish EP opener (UTG in 6 max, EP in 8 max) opens to 2.5x. Folds around to me in SB. What hands should I be calling with here?

  1. Assuming AQ suited and better are 3 bets vs. this specific spot
  2. Assuming my calling range should be rather polar here? Perhaps from AQ off down to maybe AT suited, KJ suited? Then stuff like suited connectors between 87, 76, 65?

Seems like facing an opponent repping strength from an early position forces me out of a lot of medium strength hands here. But like I said, lately, this seems to be a mental block and just wanted to get some input.

Thanks all.


Nov. 8, 2022 | 11:50 p.m.

Great video, love the analysis. Glad you're back.

Oct. 27, 2022 | 2:30 a.m.

at the 20:46 mark, don't we want to be building a bigger pot so we can take advantage of his 9x range to get stacks in, as well as forcing his draws to pay a bigger price while drawing dead. You mentioned he'd raise your small bet with 9x, but wouldn't he also raise a bigger bet with the same holdings?

Dec. 16, 2021 | 4:06 a.m.

I think I'm probably checking the flop here. We don't have any real nut draws or nut blockers, and in a case like that, I feel like we want to keep the pot small. When he min-raises the flop (essentially setting up a pot sized shove on the turn), I'm folding there since there are only two cards (either K) that gives us confidence to continue.

Dec. 5, 2021 | 1:48 a.m.

x/r river (as was in your title) would be leaving plenty of value on the table just as the other commented indicated, there are spades that would call behind. I expected the villain's range to be significantly stronger than he showed up with, especially considering he called a UTG open immediately to act after. With that, I expected to see pocket pairs or suited broadways - which easily could have a spade to call river.

Jan. 26, 2021 | 2:08 a.m.

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