Long time 180's and Low Stakes MTT grinder here!
Been strugling a bit lately in my game, especially in terms of motivation. Doing eveything by myself is not as stimulating as I think it would be if I had a nice group of players to work with.
So I'm looking for some 180's and MTT grinders interested in evolving together.
I've been playing Poker full time for 5 years now with some nice results.
I'm knowledgeable of lots of softwares (HM2, ICMizer, PIO Solver, Table Optimizer, etc..) and able to work with lots os poker tools. I'm a active subscriber of RIO for some years now (from basic to elite level) and I also made the RYE Masterclass in the beginig of the year.
My main goal is to keep improving my 180's game and to be able to make the total transition to MTTs at some point. (But 180's will always be in my heart ahah)
Add me on Skype (JMMaga) if you already have some experience in the games, I can do coaching too, but the main goal for now is to find people at the same level as me and to work with and maybe later, who knows, develop a team.
Best of luck for everyone! Keep in touch
May 15, 2018 | 5:18 p.m.
Totaly understand your thoughts but I think it is a ICM fold.
Normally in this type os spots were I know in theory is a fold (like you seem to know) but I really want to call because because someone is clearly shoving very light I think "If the payjumps were 100times bigger would I make the call?" ... "nope" lol And I have my answer ;)
Jan. 22, 2018 | 4:02 p.m.
Now I'm going to see how I'm doing with my ranges in each position and with diferent stack sizes in terms of profitability.
My plan is to check the bottom of the range and to see if, from the hands I VPIP more often, I'm loosing any money.
4BB-6BB I don't think I have enough hands to take any conclusions.
As you can see, aldough I win money even with the bottom of my shoving range, seems that I'm losing money with the hand I VPIP the most from this range, A5s.
A4s, A5s, A6s, T9s and Q9s all seem to be loosing hands. I probably cannot completely eliminate them from my range but I wonder if the ones I VPIP the most, A5s and T9s should be in my shoving range with less frequency. 100% seems too much and maybe I should have some type of criteria to shove this hands instead of just blind shove because is in the Nash Range. Choose a tigh BB or wait for an amateur player to be in the BB seems the two most important factors to consider in this case or maybe let them go if the table is full of REGs. What do you think guys?
Well, the hand in question is the same, A5s. Aldough is not the one with the bigger absolut frequency, is the one that I have the highest VPIP (100% Shove Freq) and still loose money with it.
Only lower on the list comes 87s (57.1% Shove Freq) and J8s (35% Shove Freq).
Anyway A2s, A3s and A4s are all profitable with a lower shove frequency so I guess the conclusion I can take is that I can't just shove A5s and wait for the hand to turn a profit. I have to choose more carefully the spots using probably the criteria I described above.
Nothing seems to frequent to take any conclusions and the hands I VPIP more are in the green and only lower on the list some unprofitable hands come up, but with a very low absolute frequency.
In this data sheet I decided to order hands by absolut frequency because I had a bunch of 100% VPIP hands but just with one or two occurrences.
As you can see, from the hands I get the most K6o and Q9o seem to be the ones I need to pay more atention to the spot when I shove. I have a high frequency shove with this hands and I'm loosing money, so something needs to change ;)
The ones lower on the list I will not consider due to lack of occurrences.
Taking a look at the numbers nothing seems too crazy because I don't have enough data to take any serious conclusions. I would say just to pay atention to the offsuit hands I'm shoving with more frequency and to let some of them go especially in SB spots where the BB is a REG that is going to have a proper calling range and frequency.
I'm glad to see that I'm winnig money even with the bottom of my shoving range in every position.
Anyway, the positions I think I need to improve more are the early ones where seems that sometimes I do not pick the right frequencies to shove some hands, especially A5s.
Waiting for some feedback guys ;) Take care!
Jan. 17, 2018 | 1:46 a.m.
Now I'll do the same exercise for a stack size between 8BB and 12BB.
First the NASH RANGES for 10BB Stacks:
UTG - 14.7% - 44+ A8s+ A5s ATo+ K9s+ KQo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s+
UTG+1 - 17% - 33+ A4s+ ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s+
MP1 - 19.8% - 22+ A3s+ A9o+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T8s+ 98s
MP2 - 22.6% - 22+ A2s+ A8o+ K8s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J8s+ T8s+ 98s 87s
MP3 - 28.5% - 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K7s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J8s+ JTo T8s+ 97s+ 87s
CO - 34% - 22+ Ax+ K5s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
BTN - 42.7% - 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K6o+ Q5s+ Q9o J7s+ J9o T6s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 75s+ 65s 54s
SB - 71%% - 22+ Qx+ J2s+ J5o T2s+ T7o+ 93s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 74s+ 76o 63s+ 65o 53s+ 43s
Now my stats for 8BB-12BB Stacks:
Aldough I know sometimes I have a Open Raise range with 12BB, the vast majory of the time I'm shoving as the stats show.
Comparing the stats with the ranges we can some trends:
- EP I'm playing a range looser than Nash, 18.4% stats vs something between 15% and 17% from Nash. This can come from two things: or I'm shoving too much or I'm raise folding some hands (for sure is the later);
- MP seems that I'm pretty much on the sweet spot 24.8% stats vs something between 20% and 28.5% from Nash;
- CO 33.8% stats vs 34% Nash, seems about perfect;
- BTN 43% stats vs 42.7% Nash, seems again very good;
- SB 69.6% stats vs 71% Nash, seems on the mouche again;
So, from this numbers I can say I'm very pleased to see that I'm playing very solid when it comes to shove from a 8BB to 12BB Stack;
Now I would like to know the profitability of this Nash ranges against the average field I face when I play. Maybe they are mathematically perfect, but not perfect against a non GTO calling range from the field I face.
That's the subject of the next post.
Thanks again guys. Waiting for some feedback ;)
Jan. 15, 2018 | 7:27 p.m.
For the next part, my idea was to filter my hands for stack sizes in each position in unopened pots to see my UO PRF% and see if it matches the numbers from nash shoving ranges.
I have charts for all 8 positions and HM2 only alows me to work with 5 positions so some interpretation is needed.
NASH SHOVING RANGES for 5BB Stack: (You can also compare with yours and see if we have the same results)
UTG - 24.1% - 22+ A2s+ A7o+ K6s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo+ J9s+ T8s+ 98s
UTG+1 - 28.5% - 22+ A2s+ A5o+ K5s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J9s+ JTo T8s+ 98s 87s
MP1 - 31.8% - 22+ A2s+ A3o+ K4s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s 87s
MP2 - 34.8% - 22+ Ax+ K3s+ K9o+ Q6s+ Q9o+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s 87s
MP3 - 40% - 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K7o+ Q5s+ Q9o+ J7s+ J9o T7s+ T9o 97s+ 87s 76s
CO - 45.1% - 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K5o+ Q3s+ Q8o+ J6s+ J8o T6s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s
BTN - 54.4% - 22+ Kx+ Q2s+ Q5o+ J4s+ J8o T6s+ T8o 96s+ 98o 86s+ 76s
SB - 83.3% - 22+ Tx+ 92s+ 94o+ 82s+ 85o+ 73s+ 75o+ 63s+ 65o 53s+ 43s
Now my stats for 4BB-6BB Stacks:
Comparing the stats with the ranges we can some trends:
- EP I'm playing too loose 35.1% vs the nash ranges of 24.1% and 28.5%;
- MP I'm playing 43.7% vs MP ranges all of them below 40%, again too loose;
- CO stats 49.1% vs 45.1% nash, again too loose;
- BTN stats 55% vs 54.4% nash, seems right;
- SB stats 81.5% vs 83.3%, seems ok on the tight side.
So, seems that I'm pushing a bit too loose as we go from LP to EP and I it's probably a leak of my game that I have to fix. More patience and wait for the right spot even If I have to fold some good looking hads with this shorter of a stack.
Now, my main doubt if that if 3.2K hands in this situations is enough to take this type of conclusions or if I need a bigger sample. What do you guys think?
Next post I'll do the same exercise with 8-12BB Stacks.
Thanks a lot
Jan. 15, 2018 | 6:37 p.m.
In this first months of 2018 I'm trying to do a deep database analisys from the hands I played in 2017.
Mostly they come from 3$ to 109$ MTT and 3R and 8$ 180's.
I would like your help to suggest some improvements I need to do to my game and what kind of filters should I use to learn more about my game and my weaknesses.
To begin, I'll show you my stats by Position and by Stack size:
What do you guy's think about this? I guess I'm a ok reg but I have no idea about what numbers should I have or not to have.
My first idea for the database analisys was to review some of my shortstack play since I like to play turbos a lot. And to do that I was trying to see if my shoving ranges were doing ok in the diferent positions and by the diferent stack sizes.
I was planing to see 4BB-6BB; 8BB-12BB; 14BB-16BB in all the positions (EP, MP, CO, BTN, SB only these ones and not the full 9 because I can't get MP3 ou EP2 in HM2). What do you think? My overall doubt here is if I have enough hands in each spot to take any conclusions about the profitability of the hand in that spot, but anyway I think I can see some trends I can fix.
So, in the next post I'll try to show some results comparing the ranges I shove in unoppened pots (mostly Nash EQ ranges) vs the results I got vs the overall field I play against.
Thanks a lot in advance. I really hope this post to help me and you guys to answer some questions about database review ;)
Jan. 12, 2018 | 1:10 p.m.
Seems acurate ;)
He snaped me off with KQo.
I don't think it's a bad call but for my experience at FT buble people tend to cry and often fold that hand vs a 17BB shove especially when he had a bit less than 50BB and my stack was still a big portion of his.
Thanks for helping out on the conversation ;)
Nov. 21, 2017 | 3:48 p.m.
Seems a trend these days that crypto currency poker sites are poping up from every corner.
I'm a bit ignorant in this hole new crypto currency thing. Can anyone tell me if these site are legal? Can we play in it from every country? Even the ones with a segregated player poll? How can we start to change normal money to crypto currency? I don't know if it's in the plans of some coach to do a video on this but for sure it would be interesting!
Forgive me the ignorance :)
Thanks in advance
Nov. 16, 2017 | 8:46 p.m.
SB: 64,643 (Hero)
BTN 29/28 3Bet 12
Nov. 10, 2017 | 11:21 p.m.
Bare with me on the bigger text :)
I've been wondering about this for some time, Open raise size strategy.
I would say for the most part of my MTT career I was playing a standard 3x open raise in EP and MP in the early stages, a 2x open raise in LP and as the MTT progresses and stacks get shallower I would go to a 2x size from all positions. Seems the tendency for about some years now.
Also, last few years, as the game evolved, BB started to defend a lot more and I start to wonder if that Min raise strategy is the best strategy now.
I say this based on some premisses.
First of all, one of the first things I read about Poker strategy was that most of the time we should bet an amount that makes our oponents call incorrectly against our hand/range. And nowadays we know that 2x OR makes BB defend with almost any 2 pretty damm ok.
Second, I also learned that BTN was the best position on the table and we expect to win more on average when we play in position, so, why are we putting less money pre in BTN and CO (the classic 2x OR positions) if they are the positions where we expect to make most money?
“Oh, is because you have the widest range and you're opening fairly often and to do that you need to reduce your OR size.” Ok, I understand that, but, should'nt the wide LP positions range charge more vs SB and BB defending ranges then just a min raise? Especially because it will make their defend correct and because wide range vs wide range will lead to more variance?
To conclude, the idea is this:
Should we open progressively bigger from UTG till BTN? Like, 2x UTG and MP, 2.5x late MP HJ and CO and 2.8x BTN?
I heard something about this and didn't sound the worst thing to me.
You allow a correct wide defend from the BB when you're EP but you will crush his range with your tight range and with a good hand selection to cover most of boards you will be fine.
And on MP and LP you increase your size to charge their defends even more when you have a wider range and going to play IP. (Of course to use this strategy you will probably have to decrease your OR frequency a bit, but that seems fine).
Also, this is a strategy that works better with deeper stacks, but even at a 20BB Stack we could use 2x EP, 2.25x MP, and 2.4x LP.
What do you think abou this guys?
Nov. 9, 2017 | 5:56 p.m.
Nov. 7, 2017 | 3:12 p.m.
Great Video Phil!!
As a begginer in PLO, I would say I prefer zoom tables especially to understand what hands should I VPIP.
But to break the routine this format seems great! 1.5x speed looks good and no sound from the fotage prevents distractions and any speech information I guess you would remeber, so all in all a great format!
Keep them come ;)
Oct. 2, 2017 | 7:09 p.m.
Hi Daniel! Thanks for the video!
At min 21 in your video you're assigning BTN flating range and you give an 100% weight to his unsuited hands and 50% wheight to his suited hands.
I'm by no means an high stakes player, so my question / sugestion could be wrong, but: shouldn't most of the flating range of BTN be playable hands that he wants to play post flop IP vs an amateur (and don't mind play multiway) and his 3Bet for Value and Bluffing range consists more of the top of the range and some less post flop playable hands with good blockers (that he wants to play mostly HU vs the amateur when gets called) ?
And by this I mean, shouldn't his flating range has more suited hands than his 3Bet range?
At min 30, you're talking about your line and that you dont like your check-raise on the flop.
Should that be your line only with a lower SPR and not with 250BB? With some stack size where you can check raise something like 3.5x on the flop and then pot shove blank turns? Or do you think that even with a lower SPR your line should include more leads like your line with 250BB?
Thanks a lot, keep up the good work ;)
Sept. 9, 2017 | 4:36 a.m.
Very interesting video Owen!
I think it would be a good follow up video one where you aplly this sheet and the information in it to a range vs range situation (something like BTN vs BB) to see how the diferent SPRs influence your lines regarding the diferent parts of your range.
Or maybe you can choose a specific hand and see how diferent lines can be aplied in diferent board textures with diferent SPRs.
Keep up the good work!
Aug. 1, 2017 | 2:01 a.m.
35:00 I agree with your read when you say maybe you should fold vs a possible dominating draw in a spot that you have your read but are not totaly sure about it.
Now lets say you have KQs (nut flush draw), would you act on your read that they could be both weak and shove with your better draw? I tend to just call in a board Axx because I always get the feeling that most inexperienced players tend not to fold in this boards their top pair and I don't have enough fold EQ. But maybe I'm playing it wrong and should embrace a more variance heavy line in this type of spots. What do you think?
Keep up the good work!
July 10, 2017 | 7:59 a.m.
Hi Nicolau, great video!
In the beginning of the video you talk about the AJo (UTG) and how you prefer to open maybe 98s. I would say for the most part I agree, but is it a consideration for you, on that decision, the stakes you are playing or the players you have at the table? Lets say, do you open AJo in a 11$ and not in a 109$? Or do you fold with a bunch of regs behind but open with 4/5 amateurs players (with tipical 40/10 Stats) ? Or do you think just the pure value of the hand and your position is enough for you to take your decision?
Min 33 with the A6s, you talk about your SB strategy and how you have 100% 3Bet strategy for some hands. For the most part I agree and I employ that strategy too. Now my question is: Do you think balance is important in this kind of spots or you don't mind to have a more caped calling range in the SB when you decide to just flat call? Especially with >75BB in Mtt, I tend to be more unbalenced and my calling range will me caped for the most part (tight and very playable, but capped) and only when I get down to <30BB, I start to mix some AA or KK traps with some agressive BB behind. Do you think balence is overvalued in Mtt or you think it should be a concern in this type of SB strategy decisions?
Thanks a lot, keep up the good work! Vammoooo =)