With normal sizings like open 2,5bb and 3bet to 7,5-8bb:
1. Call with some 4bets
2, Depending on sizing and opponents it can go from pure call to pure fold
3. 4bet, small freq call
4. Call and 4bet mix.
In spot you mentioned we open for pot(3,5bb) and are facing pot 3bet (12bb) 3bet my response would be:
1. 4bet or fold
2. Pure fold
3. Pure 4bet
4. Complete mix between all 3 choices, nut sure how my response should change there :D
Oct. 18, 2020 | 5:41 a.m.
You are super-capped after checking twice - in his eyes you never have full house or flush, Jx is also very unlikely. Additionally he would probably too often bet himself with goods on flop. It leads to conclusion that he is likely overbluffing there - especially when he bets 'only' 2/3. Good reg would probably consider there overbet as thin as good Jx.
Oct. 13, 2020 | 5:42 a.m.
Honestly I'm a bit shocked that some people are saying this is not pure open from CO. I would never fold it unless I'm facing only tough regs in BU-BB positions.
Flop both raise and call are fine, on turn easy call. He can be doing it with AxKd, KxKd or even sets. Not folding on 100bb.
Oct. 11, 2020 | 1:46 a.m.
Completely agree with you, especially on decent board where opponent can only have 33 from sets.
BTW. What do you think about using big bet on turn and overbet on river? Maybe I'm wrong but it can work even better. People on micros underdefend to overbets, so after first overbet his range is significantly stronger than it should be in equilibrium. With 2/3-3/4 bet we keep in range many Kx/Qx/ pair+ draw hands and confirm again that he doesnt have flush.
Oct. 11, 2020 | 1:39 a.m.
- Bigger sizing should discourage you from calling on SB even more, you should also 3bet a bit tighter but 88 is obviously still in 3bet range.
- Against shortstack you can use smaller 3bet sizing.
- Its easy call to shove. You call 10.57 to win 35.64 so you need less than 30% equity. Against AQ+,99+ you have 35%.
Oct. 6, 2020 | 5:13 p.m.
Whales usually likes to overbluff with halfpot aka 'I dont know how much I want to bet' , all his potential draws from turn like 5x,87, fd missed so I dont feel bad catching it on river - that king is blank. Also I prefer this hand as call preflop. It is close to bottom of 3betting range against BU and calling can increase our EV a lot by letting recreational player in.
Oct. 1, 2020 | 3:15 a.m.
I doubt there is room for anything else than 5bet shove:
-its blinds war so folding AK even against nit is out of question
-his 4bet is large and he is on shortstack so there is no room for postflop play - We can't fold postflop after calling preflop with those odds-> so its better to just 5bet.
Sept. 30, 2020 | 2:44 p.m.
It depends on spot - I have PIO and GTO+ and in many spots there is no difference at all, but in some both solvers take different approach. Obviously both ways are not wrong there is no one golden solution that is 'true' equlibrium.
I think it can have a big impact, cbetting more in a balanced way and
using a size instead of two is way easyer to apply to strategy
IN GTO+ you can also edit tree and delete sizings solver is using less to simplify strategy.
Sept. 30, 2020 | 1:11 a.m.
We have so much value from all those gutshots(including 'combodraws' like JT with club) that its crime to not bet KQ with club. If he really has flush then we also have outs with our Qc. BTW I would probably little more than 1/3 to get closer to 1.0 stack to pot ratio on river.
Sept. 29, 2020 | 5:34 a.m.
This spot is super weird cause of preflop:
1) you used very large 4bet - I would either clickback to ~30bb or just go all in. Second option is very tempting as you have 20bb as deadmoney in middle
2) He probably should play 5bet or fold strategy mostly
So in the end its really hard to put him on correct range preflop. Still I think xback is better than jamming. Jam would play very well against whale that will peel too many 'pretty hands'. Against tight player, especially regular I would prefer to xback unless you are confident to bet/call because you should see a lot of shoving from his side against your bet.
Sept. 29, 2020 | 2:30 a.m.
Preflop - You have to go bigger - I would go for 15-16bb.
Flop - I prefer big bet, but 1/2 is fine too
Turn - 3s is never improving villain calling range so you should bet a lot there with your overpair advantage.
River - clean runout, easy shove. If he has set so be it, folding overpair there is out of question.
Sept. 28, 2020 | 11:31 p.m.
I think you misinterpret a bit his preflop stats.
4bet 11% - its on lower side of spectrum, obviously 2k hands is not enough to get reliable sample on that stat but in long run I really doubt he is 4betting a lot AK there. Even in equilibrium its like 50% or more flat preflop, almost certainly player with low 4bet is flatting even more.
Why do you think he is not opening KQo on MP? 20/13 is not that tight on full ring games. Also his big VPIP/PFR suggest that he can be weaker player + he is folding only 36% to 3bet so I think its very likely that actually he has a lot of KQo in his range
About river - I really doubt that you want have blockbet there - you are not betting less than trips. I wouldnt use it unless I want to induce something. Blockbet is only reducing value you get from worse hands.
Sept. 23, 2020 | 8:08 p.m.
To be honest I think most of his range have maximum one pair - KJ/KT and maybe JT should consider frequenty x/r flop to 1/3 cbet. Thats why I think something like 3/4 is printing money. I would be cautious with overbetting as you should be blasting a lot on turn - board is completely crushed by your range so if you check then he can be suspicious, especially if you overbet representing only Qx.
Sept. 23, 2020 | 1:18 a.m.
Its definitely too thin. He can have KK/JJ/77/AK/KQ/KJ/KT/spades played this way. If you want to valuebet then small bet is better - his range is not capped and he can easily find enough Kx+ to defend against your overbet.
Sept. 18, 2020 | 8:53 p.m.
I think its reasonable to bet range on that types of board when we are IP against wide BB range. Many people are not aware that they should defend there a lot - for example 98o with diamond is call there, but many people will snap fold on flop.
Sept. 16, 2020 | 7:19 p.m.
You are blocking 99/88 which is bad thing cause 88-JJ are hands that will often bet flop, call turn and fold river. I also do expect villain to have sdv there so I would pick AdXd or KdXd(not sure there as we dont expect KQo to 3bet often) for blockers to top of villain range. You should also have some backdoor hearts to bluff. Additionally your value shove range is very narrow there - AQs, some A4s, very little amount of 44-55 and thats all so its very easy to overbluff.
Sept. 16, 2020 | 1:22 p.m.
I kinda understand him. You used ridiculously big sizings both as 4bet and cbet(even if you consider stacks depth), he is out of position so this spot is clearly not exciting for him. Yeah, he is making probably mistake, but its small one given that playerpool is usually value heavy if they increase sizing on dry texture.
Sept. 15, 2020 | 3:02 p.m.
Its pointless trying to understand solution solved on completely fucked up ranges.
Sept. 12, 2020 | 2:30 p.m.
Its very interesting spot to be honest. With AQo I'm happily going 3bet/call against 23bb fish I'm expecting a lot of 55, ATo, KJo etc in his jaming range.
In situation above we have additional 4bb from dead money posted by MP and CO - dunno if this is not making AJo as decent squeeze/call?
Sept. 11, 2020 | 6:47 a.m.
AK from 6:15 - on nl50zoom you reach rake cap over 40$ pot, so in this situation you pay same rake, it doesnt matter if you minraise or raise 500bb. Anyway you are just hoping villain is fish and stackoff with Tx. I doubt reg will find a call with Tx anyway as he has a lot of Ax to call with.
QQ from 11:35 - Obviously QQ,JJ or AK are losing when you get it in preflop, but its not whole picture as you pick a lot of money from folds, but against stacking off range you have less than 45% equity(as you are crushed vs KK+) so its natural that all-in pre with QQ is 'losing' play as you win less than 45% stackoffs.
Sept. 11, 2020 | 6:38 a.m.
Preflop is clear 3bet for value vs this guy, we want more mergy approach even from BB there against whale. On flop I think there is no need to balance your range in any way - bet small with bluffs and bigger with value. You need also be prepared to often fire turn as whales love to float every possible backdoor which often makes them prone to overfold on turn.
Sept. 10, 2020 | 12:12 p.m.
I'm not huge fan of bluffraising overbet in this situation, and if you want some bluffs after this line then you should do it with OESD or something like A3. As played on river you have weird spot but it is probably fold. He probably shouldnt 3bet flop so on river he has all sets, QT, many twopairs and his bluff candidates are only T8 and 76s.
Sept. 3, 2020 | 2:18 a.m.
On turn I would bet standard size 2/3 and call his shove. He can easily have ther AQ/AJ and some sets. Also board blocks a lot of his flushes so if he had flush then so be it.
Aug. 31, 2020 | 10:11 p.m.
Are you sure you dont use enter as hotkey for 'bet/raise' action?
Aug. 31, 2020 | 10:04 p.m.
Usually in 3bet pots as caller you should opt for smaller bet vs miss cb sizing. You dont have range advantage nor more strong hands in range - TT and even 88 can be in his 3bet range, he also has more overpairs and flushes as his range is build on suited broadways.
As played I like your line, but on river I think you should go for max value and just shove - you are not betting river with less than flush so going all in makes a lot of sense. For bluffs you should have more than enough AK with club blocking Qx and flushes.