Jusc's avatar

Jusc

10 points

i would ch/c flop (given theres no raise), the board hits CO and SB range pretty good. No need to inflate the pot with non-nut draw and weak SD value. Also fold flop given your spot. Ch/b rvras played. Hes either folding or has a better hand (Q9s, boats, some BD flushes).

Nov. 25, 2016 | 12:30 p.m.

that yes , i just dont think Lodden ch/r any value hand OTF when weak player called in the SB

May 12, 2015 | 10:17 a.m.

I think lodden 'bluffed' himself from the hand :)
His line is so retarded , and he knows mateos knows that. That being known, mateos still has decent value range (99, A9s, 33) and his only bluffs are floats which bet/call flop multiway so its really tough for him to call rvr. And i really think he ch called turn because he has some SD value + 4 outs to nuts :)

May 10, 2015 | 10:50 a.m.

Hand History | Jusc posted in NLHE: tricky spot OTR 3bet pot
Blinds: $5.00/$10.00 (6 Players) BN: $1227.43
SB: $330.50
BB: $1157.50
UTG: $1000.00
MP: $1122.00 (Hero)
CO: $1000.00
Preflop ($15.00) Hero is MP with Q K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $30.00, 3 folds, BB raises to $105.00, Hero calls $75.00
Flop ($215.00) 3 J Q
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($215.00) 3 J Q 9
BB bets $105.00, Hero calls $105.00
River ($425.00) 3 J Q 9 T
BB checks, Hero bets $211.00, BB raises to $947.50 and is all in

March 27, 2015 | 12:07 p.m.

i think its fine to bet/fold against most of the opps here unless you have very nitty/not bluffy image or he is very tricky otr
very interesting question what should be good candidates in villains range to ch/r rvr as a bluff. with any Kx we can just call rvr. i think we could choose 8x hands for this, the ones without spade, and not blocking 67 or 69, so stuff like Q8, J8, A8.
i presume we raise our flopped sets most of the time, so our value range would be KT, maybe K8, and maybe sometimes TT which we didn't 3bet for some reason, so its ok to add few 8x hands as a bluff

March 19, 2015 | 1:19 p.m.

hi there !
12:10 J9o
im not really well into limping SB strategy, but don't you think its a better ch pre hand ?
also, after him calling turn , i don't ever see him folding blank rvr , so would just give up rvr here. after seeing SD from this specific player it becomes even better plan :)
Also, QQ hand (14:50), looking at his turn sizing i want to just fold turn. It looks like hes not gonna give up rvr, and as you mentioned you will have all AK hands and KQs, which you can call all 3 streets (maybe fold KQ rvr). so folding 99-QQ against this sizing looks ok to me. what do you think ?
thanks

March 19, 2015 | 1:03 p.m.

6:30 QJo , question for preflop : do you 4bet that hand as a std ? for me it makes sense to call against vs aggro SB 3bettors (like 20ish % +) , since we have pos and decent eq vs their range and 4bet more tight opponents as a bluff ? 10:20 similar question for A6s vs BB: since his range is usually polarized, doesn't pretty much all suited A play better as a call ? you dominate his bluff range a lot, and not that many value Aces. I would rather choose 4bet suited Ks or Qs or fewer offsuit A

Feb. 12, 2015 | 9:52 a.m.

i have 4bet/folded KK in live games and don't regret that at all :)
generally speaking, its ok to raise and fold KK in spots, where weak players call their entire value range except AA which they will raise/shove. lets say a sample hand which happened to me some time ago : i raise EP 80 (10/20 game) EP with KK, MP1 weak players raises to 280, folds back to me i raise to 900, he raises 2.6k leaving behind 3k. i hate my life but i fold. reason for this : his range for 3bet will be smth like AK and QQ+, which he will never fold to 4bet, but ONLY call, and his 5bet range will be AA prob 8/10 times and other times KK or QQ, AK
in your hand its snap fold for the reasons Apotheosis stated.
against good regulars you don't raise/fold KK but start considering calling instead of 4betting

Feb. 1, 2015 | 9:20 p.m.

i prob even would not have a 6bet range here, and just call all value hands, including AA. If hes 5beting KK for value, you will stack him anyway,and if hes 5betting AK or bluff hes not GII pre (but he is on K or A high flops often when holding AK). against very polarized range its better to call here preflop i guess
postflop kinda similar spot. i would consider leading some semi dangerous turns like Q-T, but this one i would ch
OTR, after his ch back OTT, i dont see much value in betting. if he ch backed hand like KK he will bet anyway + bet some bluffs,and i really doubt he will call with AK if you bet rvr here. so ch/call rvr. if he happens to have hand like AJ (although i dont see much reason in cbeting AJ OTF), then say nh and move on to next hand :)

and shoving rvr is a spew obv :)

Feb. 1, 2015 | 7:59 p.m.

Hand History | Jusc posted in NLHE: GS+FD OOP turn play
Blinds: $5.00/$10.00 (4 Players) SB: $276.10
BB: $1423.55
CO: $1165.00 (Hero)
BN: $1374.30
im BB here, some probs with converting
Preflop ($15.00) Hero is CO with Q 5
BN raises to $30.00, SB calls $25.00, Hero calls $20.00
Flop ($90.00) 3 T 6
SB checks, Hero bets $63.00, BN raises to $170.00, SB folds, Hero calls $107.00

Jan. 20, 2015 | 10:34 a.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on 3bet sizing when deep

i think it depends on his adjustment to stack sizes what concerns opening range. if he loosens up a lot - lets say starts opening 70 % instead of 50 ish , you should increase your bet size to prob 120ish or so (just en estimate)
if he continues playing same open range, i don't see any reason to make it 18 bb 3bet, your success rate will be rather low adjusted to how much you risk, and you will be OOP in already big pot with lots of monyz behind against usually competent player. Overall, i think the deeper you are the less you should 3bet OOP against good opp. If hes opening pretty much std range, i would even consider calling more hands vs 3betting given that BB is not super squeeze happy

Jan. 20, 2015 | 10:17 a.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on OESD OOP turn play

thanks. Hm, ok, regarding flop : i flat smth like that preflop :
Range

so yes, ATo looks like a fold now, we will have a lot of better hands to continue with.
any comments on preflop range ? :)

Jan. 16, 2015 | 8:10 a.m.

Hand History | Jusc posted in NLHE: OESD OOP turn play
Blinds: $3.00/$6.00 (6 Players) SB: $742.16
BB: $923.00
UTG: $898.08 (Hero)
MP: $600.00
CO: $2197.36
BN: $752.40
im BB, no idea what it shows UTG :)
opener is a reg RFI CO 25 %
Preflop ($9.00) Hero is UTG with T A
MP folds, CO raises to $18.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $12.00
Flop ($39.00) 9 7 4
Hero checks, CO bets $23.40, Hero calls $23.40
Turn ($85.80) 9 7 4 8
Hero checks, CO bets $60.06, Hero raises to $186.18, CO calls $126.12
sizing is kinda big too, calling seems less an option now
River ($458.16) 9 7 4 8 A
Hero checks, CO bets $320.71, Hero folds
Final Pot CO wins $455.16
Rake is $3.00

Jan. 15, 2015 | 9:56 p.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on Big Pot Review

Hi Mark, few notes : i think A4cc is a fold OTT. when he 3bets OTF, i think his range is usually sets+, and almost never a random bluff since your calling range hits that board very well and hes deep OOP. On turn you are facing 250 into 400 , but against a range of TT-99,77,J8s,86s,AdJd (AJ as a bluff for him)
you have only 17 % and reversed odds when he boats rvr and u call with flush
also since his range is strong here, i expect him to ch fold almost never OTR, exept maybe when the Jc or 8c comes and he has a set. even worse four your exact hand :) by that i mean you don't have enough good cards to bluff OTR together with poor direct equity OTT.
AA on A66 is a fancy play which im pretty sure doesnt give the best EV. I really doubt any good regular would float a 5bet on Axx flop, so your small sizing on turn doesn't accomplish anything : if he has KK he folds turn no matter how much u bet, and if he has AK, AQ (very rarely though), QQ u loose value since AK might (and prob should) fold to pot bet jam OTR,

Jan. 14, 2015 | 9:53 a.m.

yes, i would consider 5 % turn raise pretty low, but also would look how much he wins at SD when he does so, if you have 44 opportunities for him raising turn in 3b pot, that should be huge hand sample.
so, his value range is A4-A7s, 44, 55, 75s, 86s (2 combos), so total around 13 combos, and his bluff range is smth like 65s, 76s, maybe 66 or 88 once in a year, so total ~ 6 combos, i would not count in any air hands pretty much never. So against his semibluff range we have ONLY ~ 64%, and we are drawing pretty much dead against his value range. So i think calling is out of question, since we let him realize his semi bluffs "cheap. imo the choice is between shove/fold.
if you think he might play semibluffs aggressively and hes not weighted towards value majority of the time , shove is a better option. i would choose calling stronger hands on turn, like A4, A5, and AA

Dec. 11, 2014 | 1:19 p.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on Turning TP into a bluff

yes, its very close even with your very optimistic assumptions (wide calling range pre and high barreling frequencies). in real life i think less than 5 % of the field will value bet K7 on this board or double barrel this turn with "any two". thanks for input , still got some things to think about !! :)

Dec. 10, 2014 | 8:49 p.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on Turning TP into a bluff

how do you end up having 88 OTR here ? :)
agree that blocking A is not that good, but not much to choose from here

Dec. 9, 2014 | 9:15 p.m.

i think if you want to fold, then fold turn.
on the other hand, if you fold AQ, you basically don't have a calling range here

Dec. 9, 2014 | 6:45 p.m.

You should think GTO when you dont have additional info or you play vs very well balnced opp, and play exploitative otherwise. Theres no sense play GTO if your opponent makes obvious mistakes AND YOU KNOW IT. So lets say against this guy bluff less with no equity and pick good spots to bluff rvrs
Here it might be ok to bluff all 3 if you have really good reads about his rvr play, but it should be big sample, good history, etc.
As i said in this spot, i would expect close to 0 FE otr after you pot turn in 3bet pot

Dec. 8, 2014 | 8:10 p.m.

I think when he calls pot on turn, henever folds rvr, so you saved yourself some €€.
Dont like the sizings all streets , would go 80-90 preflop, and around 100-120 otf. Turn ipdepends on his pre-flop tendencies. Since you have a lot of AJ, AK, J9, 89s, turn FDs , i dont like the pot bet on turn, hes never folding a Q, and against other hands you have decent equity. Against active floater, would ch/r turn
Otr we are overbluffing esp with these stacks

Dec. 8, 2014 | 4:56 p.m.

Agree about not 3betting preflop. The deeper u are the less u should be willing t do that. If u loose less by 3bet , i think there are some leaks postflop...
Flop is a bet i think, this flop doesnt hit his calling range most of the time, his range will be very heavy weighted towards broadways usually, and you have somebarreling potential AND two pair draw :)
I would choose between betting smaller turn, or even cheking to protect our ch/c range
Rvr i would ch/f, esp after your turn pot bet, hes either going to SD with TT-QQ type hads or jams better hands

Dec. 8, 2014 | 4:18 p.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on Turning TP into a bluff

dont agree here ;)
i think majority of the field will overfold here readless , not overcall. i really expect to fold a lot players (and this esp) big portion of there v range , what is AJ+
i know i rep thin, o the other hand there's no bluffs i can have except turning A into bluff. the river raise is kinda big, so not v good odds to call too for opp
But agree with above that A2 and A4 are best candidates for this

Dec. 7, 2014 | 10:31 p.m.

Hand History | Jusc posted in NLHE: Turning TP into a bluff
Blinds: $2.00/$4.00 (5 Players) BB: $400.00 (Hero)
UTG: $1185.78
CO: $312.00
BN: $780.81
SB: $487.39
btn is reg, stealing 57 OTB, his barreling stats are 57/60/56
Preflop ($6.00) Hero is BB with A X
2 folds, BN raises to $8.00, SB folds, Hero calls $4.00
Flop ($18.00) A 2 7
Hero checks, BN bets $11.21, Hero calls $11.21
Turn ($40.42) A 2 7 4
Hero checks, BN bets $28.34, Hero calls $28.34
River ($97.10) A 2 7 4 7
Hero checks, BN bets $68.00, Hero raises to $244.00, BN raises to $733.26 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot BN wins $582.10
Rake is $3.00

Dec. 3, 2014 | 9:35 a.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on NL200z trips vs fish

Firstly, i don't see any reason to overbet turn agains weak opponent. His flop c/c is usually pretty weak, and with overbet you pretty much targeting AA-KK hands which he might play sometimes (very rarely though). especially since hes OOP vs 2 opponents. But he would very often play QQ this way "OMG i hit nuts i have to trap !!" :) reasoning. i understand you want more money in the pot but i thinks its not the max EV solution here. So, i would bet in the area 60-75 on the turn. When he raises, i think majority of his range is QQ. Ofc if you know hes being aggressive preflop he might end up having AJ or QJ too, maybe QT (the only hand you beat). i dont think a "random" recreational player would ch/r AcKc here, especially against overbet. Range you have given is too optimistic, imo you just trying to justify call/shove ;)
so, i think its a bet/fold OTT as weak as it looks. Now you may start to argue that if we bet fold this we are being exploited and so on, but i think recreational player will never think of it and just play his hand ;)
against regular ofc we dont bet/fold turn

Dec. 3, 2014 | 9:22 a.m.

Nice vid ! AT hand would be more interesting if villain bets the turn. Whats your play there ? Also, with the range that will have pair + gs or just GS+ over(s), so hands like KQ, KT, Q9,Q8,97 etc ? looks kinda too weak to call, but can we balance that out with strong enough value range ? As played i agree that no sense in bluffing the river, we pretty much trying to fold AQ or AK exactly, maybe some 77-55 type hands, but thats about it, and very few players will try to bluff with B-X-B line when that turn improves our perceived range

Dec. 2, 2014 | 8:38 p.m.

i would rather have a pretty polarized range : 3bet hands that can play for stacks, and add hands that are too poor to call (like offsuit Aces, some suited A), and some suited connectors, which can call open too, but are pretty good to call a 4bet as well (like 67s,78s). that way you will be tough to play against, opponent will have tough time doing both (calling oop and 4beting you alot). Also, you will not have domination problems when calling a 4bet or when your 3bet gets called. I also think 3beting/calling 4bet with AQoff is a suicide against aggresive player :)


Oct. 5, 2014 | 8:27 a.m.

very good analysis imo, and agree with most of your points, but i think i would choose to cbet the flop with this exact hand (and prob QQ?) and ch/b hands like AA-KK for reasons you stated. Also, i think there's very few sets someone could have : original opener''s range is usually TT-QQ, AQs, AK, maybe few AA-KK combos, so we can discount him heavily here. since BB is a weak player (isn't he ? ) , CO will have 99,77,66 for sure, but still, hitting a set is hard in this game, and i don't see him calling EP open with suited connector 100 deep almost ever , so overall i wouldn't be too worried about the flop though it looks scary :) if as you say hes very creative and tricky, he def can decide to rep huge draws/sets to your cbet and raise flop/shove turn, but that's where you can play for stacks with AKs and be happy about it imo. QQ+ has around 38 % equity against a range of 

99-66, 98s, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, 8d7d

and AdKd will have 43 %. Also, with KK-AA you can call profitable any turn + a lot rivers, while with AK you will not be able to do so if you don't improve. So, overall, i think its much better/easier decision to cbet AK here and ch/b AA (especially with d) and KK sometimes for the reasons you stated 

Oct. 5, 2014 | 7:04 a.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on NL400 Missed 4bet Pot

I likely wouldn't 4bet bluff him super often given his stats. With that being said, KQ with my image is the perfect time to do so.
doesn't make any sense to me :) i would also pretty much never 4bet bluff against someone whos foldt4bet is that low, especially when you are OOP. postflop i agree with M BigFiszh that one bet wont do anything, so i guess ch/f this and maybe cbet flop with BD flush draw where you can jam T, 9, A not being drawing dead. 

Sept. 27, 2014 | 11:24 a.m.

i think if you bluff this, you overbluff this board a lot : you will have AQ, AJ, QJ, J9s, Q9s, A3s, A5s, other FDs in your range, so you should bluff some of those imo. i would also not expect good regular to fold after calling turn and bricking rvr. if i ended otr with A2 i would rather bluff hearts, Q,J, maybe 9. for above reasons i dont like turn cbet too. your flop plan was to cbet turns that improve your actual hand, well it didn't, i would just give up

Sept. 27, 2014 | 10:41 a.m.

Comment | Jusc commented on NL600 Top Pair vs Stab

i would def squeeze preflop unless opener is very nitty, u have so much semi dead money, and if you get HU against weak player even better for you. On the flop i would also lead : you have the best hand majority of the time, if you get raised by original you can fold easily,  weaker players will call with worse , and so on... i also lead sets and good draws pretty often. as played i would not ch/r the flop, because you overrep your hand and will be behind if you get it in pretty often. Yes, will get called by draws/weaker J, but then again, the pot will get big OTT, and on many cards you will get yourself in tough spot with stacks pretty shallow and being OOP against undefined range.


Sept. 25, 2014 | 8:25 a.m.

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